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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2010 | 13.09 | 12.33 | -0.76 | 355 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2011 | 13.04 | 12.91 | -0.12 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 12.84 | 12.87 | 0.03 | 350 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 12.82 | 12.90 | 0.08 | 346 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 12.85 | 12.92 | 0.07 | 341 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2015 | 12.96 | 12.94 | -0.03 | 336 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2016 | 13.08 | 12.96 | -0.12 | 331 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2017 | 13.27 | 12.99 | -0.28 | 325 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2018 | 13.50 | 13.01 | -0.49 | 318 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2019 | 13.78 | 13.02 | -0.75 | 311 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2020 | 14.07 | 13.04 | -1.03 | 302 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 13.06 | -1.29 | 292 | -0.10 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
2022 | 14.62 | 13.08 | -1.54 | 282 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2023 | 14.86 | 13.09 | -1.77 | 271 | -0.17 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2024 | 15.07 | 13.11 | -1.97 | 259 | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2025 | 15.27 | 13.12 | -2.15 | 246 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2026 | 15.43 | 13.13 | -2.30 | 233 | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
2027 | 15.56 | 13.14 | -2.42 | 220 | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
2028 | 15.67 | 13.15 | -2.52 | 206 | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.44 | ||
2029 | 15.74 | 13.15 | -2.59 | 192 | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
2030 | 15.78 | 13.16 | -2.62 | 178 | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2031 | 15.80 | 13.16 | -2.63 | 163 | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2032 | 15.79 | 13.16 | -2.62 | 149 | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2033 | 15.76 | 13.17 | -2.59 | 135 | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2034 | 15.70 | 13.17 | -2.54 | 121 | -1.00 | -0.05 | 0.94 | ||
2035 | 15.63 | 13.16 | -2.46 | 107 | -1.10 | -0.06 | 1.04 | ||
2036 | 15.53 | 13.16 | -2.37 | 93 | -1.21 | -0.07 | 1.14 | ||
2037 | 15.42 | 13.16 | -2.27 | 80 | -1.31 | -0.07 | 1.24 | ||
2038 | 15.29 | 13.15 | -2.14 | 67 | -1.42 | -0.08 | 1.35 | ||
2039 | 15.15 | 13.15 | -2.00 | 55 | -1.53 | -0.08 | 1.45 | ||
2040 | 15.00 | 13.14 | -1.86 | 43 | -1.64 | -0.09 | 1.55 | ||
2041 | 14.84 | 13.13 | -1.71 | 32 | -1.76 | -0.10 | 1.66 | ||
2042 | 14.68 | 13.12 | -1.56 | 21 | -1.87 | -0.10 | 1.77 | ||
2043 | 14.52 | 13.12 | -1.41 | 11 | -1.99 | -0.11 | 1.88 | ||
2044 | 14.37 | 13.11 | -1.26 | 2 | -2.11 | -0.12 | 1.99 | ||
2045 | 14.21 | 13.10 | -1.11 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.12 | 2.11 | ||
2046 | 14.06 | 13.09 | -0.97 | ---- | -2.35 | -0.13 | 2.22 | ||
2047 | 13.92 | 13.09 | -0.83 | ---- | -2.48 | -0.14 | 2.34 | ||
2048 | 13.77 | 13.08 | -0.69 | ---- | -2.60 | -0.15 | 2.46 | ||
2049 | 13.62 | 13.07 | -0.55 | ---- | -2.73 | -0.15 | 2.58 | ||
2050 | 13.48 | 13.07 | -0.41 | ---- | -2.85 | -0.16 | 2.69 | ||
2051 | 13.34 | 13.06 | -0.29 | ---- | -2.98 | -0.17 | 2.81 | ||
2052 | 13.22 | 13.05 | -0.16 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.17 | 2.93 | ||
2053 | 13.10 | 13.05 | -0.05 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.18 | 3.05 | ||
2054 | 12.98 | 13.04 | 0.06 | ---- | -3.37 | -0.19 | 3.18 | ||
2055 | 12.87 | 13.03 | 0.16 | ---- | -3.50 | -0.20 | 3.30 | ||
2056 | 12.77 | 13.03 | 0.26 | ---- | -3.63 | -0.20 | 3.42 | ||
2057 | 12.66 | 13.02 | 0.36 | ---- | -3.75 | -0.21 | 3.54 | ||
2058 | 12.56 | 13.02 | 0.46 | ---- | -3.88 | -0.22 | 3.66 | ||
2059 | 12.47 | 13.01 | 0.55 | ---- | -3.99 | -0.23 | 3.77 | ||
2060 | 12.37 | 13.01 | 0.64 | ---- | -4.11 | -0.23 | 3.88 | ||
2061 | 12.29 | 13.01 | 0.72 | ---- | -4.22 | -0.24 | 3.98 | ||
2062 | 12.21 | 13.00 | 0.79 | ---- | -4.32 | -0.25 | 4.08 | ||
2063 | 12.14 | 13.00 | 0.86 | ---- | -4.42 | -0.25 | 4.17 | ||
2064 | 12.08 | 13.00 | 0.92 | ---- | -4.51 | -0.26 | 4.25 | ||
2065 | 12.02 | 12.99 | 0.97 | ---- | -4.59 | -0.26 | 4.33 | ||
2066 | 11.98 | 12.99 | 1.02 | ---- | -4.68 | -0.27 | 4.41 | ||
2067 | 11.93 | 12.99 | 1.05 | 7 | -4.75 | -0.27 | 4.48 | ||
2068 | 11.90 | 12.99 | 1.09 | 16 | -4.82 | -0.27 | 4.55 | ||
2069 | 11.87 | 12.99 | 1.11 | 26 | -4.89 | -0.28 | 4.61 | ||
2070 | 11.85 | 12.98 | 1.13 | 35 | -4.96 | -0.28 | 4.67 | ||
2071 | 11.83 | 12.98 | 1.15 | 45 | -5.02 | -0.29 | 4.73 | ||
2072 | 11.82 | 12.98 | 1.17 | 56 | -5.08 | -0.29 | 4.79 | ||
2073 | 11.81 | 12.98 | 1.18 | 66 | -5.13 | -0.29 | 4.84 | ||
2074 | 11.80 | 12.98 | 1.18 | 77 | -5.18 | -0.30 | 4.89 | ||
2075 | 11.80 | 12.98 | 1.18 | 88 | -5.23 | -0.30 | 4.93 | ||
2076 | 11.80 | 12.98 | 1.18 | 99 | -5.27 | -0.30 | 4.97 | ||
2077 | 11.80 | 12.98 | 1.18 | 111 | -5.31 | -0.30 | 5.01 | ||
2078 | 11.81 | 12.98 | 1.17 | 122 | -5.35 | -0.31 | 5.05 | ||
2079 | 11.82 | 12.98 | 1.17 | 134 | -5.39 | -0.31 | 5.08 | ||
2080 | 11.83 | 12.99 | 1.16 | 145 | -5.42 | -0.31 | 5.11 | ||
2081 | 11.84 | 12.99 | 1.14 | 156 | -5.45 | -0.31 | 5.14 | ||
2082 | 11.86 | 12.99 | 1.13 | 168 | -5.48 | -0.31 | 5.17 | ||
2083 | 11.87 | 12.99 | 1.11 | 179 | -5.51 | -0.32 | 5.19 | ||
2084 | 11.89 | 12.99 | 1.10 | 191 | -5.53 | -0.32 | 5.22 | ||
2085 | 11.91 | 12.99 | 1.08 | 202 | -5.56 | -0.32 | 5.24 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2010 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2010-2084 | 13.79% | 13.89% | 0.10% | 2044 | -2.14% | -0.12% | 2.02% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2037. |
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