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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2010 | 13.09 | 12.33 | -0.76 | 355 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2011 | 13.04 | 12.91 | -0.12 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 12.84 | 12.87 | 0.03 | 350 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 12.82 | 12.90 | 0.08 | 346 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 12.85 | 12.92 | 0.07 | 341 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2015 | 12.95 | 12.94 | -0.02 | 336 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2016 | 13.06 | 12.96 | -0.10 | 331 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2017 | 13.25 | 12.99 | -0.26 | 326 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2018 | 13.47 | 13.01 | -0.46 | 320 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2019 | 13.73 | 13.02 | -0.71 | 313 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
2020 | 14.01 | 13.04 | -0.97 | 304 | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2021 | 14.28 | 13.06 | -1.22 | 295 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2022 | 14.53 | 13.07 | -1.46 | 285 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2023 | 14.77 | 13.09 | -1.68 | 275 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2024 | 14.98 | 13.10 | -1.88 | 263 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.29 | ||
2025 | 15.18 | 13.11 | -2.07 | 251 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2026 | 15.35 | 13.12 | -2.23 | 238 | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
2027 | 15.50 | 13.14 | -2.36 | 225 | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2028 | 15.62 | 13.14 | -2.48 | 211 | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
2029 | 15.72 | 13.15 | -2.57 | 197 | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2030 | 15.78 | 13.16 | -2.62 | 183 | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2031 | 15.82 | 13.16 | -2.66 | 168 | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2032 | 15.85 | 13.17 | -2.68 | 154 | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2033 | 15.85 | 13.17 | -2.68 | 139 | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2034 | 15.84 | 13.17 | -2.66 | 124 | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.82 | ||
2035 | 15.80 | 13.17 | -2.63 | 109 | -0.93 | -0.05 | 0.88 | ||
2036 | 15.75 | 13.17 | -2.58 | 95 | -0.99 | -0.05 | 0.94 | ||
2037 | 15.68 | 13.17 | -2.51 | 80 | -1.05 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
2038 | 15.60 | 13.17 | -2.43 | 66 | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.05 | ||
2039 | 15.50 | 13.16 | -2.34 | 52 | -1.18 | -0.06 | 1.11 | ||
2040 | 15.40 | 13.16 | -2.24 | 38 | -1.24 | -0.07 | 1.17 | ||
2041 | 15.30 | 13.16 | -2.14 | 24 | -1.30 | -0.07 | 1.23 | ||
2042 | 15.19 | 13.15 | -2.04 | 11 | -1.36 | -0.08 | 1.28 | ||
2043 | 15.09 | 13.15 | -1.94 | ---- | -1.42 | -0.08 | 1.34 | ||
2044 | 14.99 | 13.14 | -1.85 | ---- | -1.48 | -0.08 | 1.40 | ||
2045 | 14.90 | 13.14 | -1.76 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.09 | 1.46 | ||
2046 | 14.81 | 13.14 | -1.67 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.09 | 1.52 | ||
2047 | 14.73 | 13.13 | -1.59 | ---- | -1.67 | -0.09 | 1.58 | ||
2048 | 14.64 | 13.13 | -1.51 | ---- | -1.73 | -0.10 | 1.64 | ||
2049 | 14.56 | 13.12 | -1.43 | ---- | -1.80 | -0.10 | 1.69 | ||
2050 | 14.48 | 13.12 | -1.36 | ---- | -1.86 | -0.10 | 1.75 | ||
2051 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -1.92 | -0.11 | 1.81 | ||
2052 | 14.35 | 13.12 | -1.23 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.11 | 1.87 | ||
2053 | 14.29 | 13.11 | -1.18 | ---- | -2.04 | -0.11 | 1.93 | ||
2054 | 14.25 | 13.11 | -1.13 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.12 | 1.98 | ||
2055 | 14.21 | 13.11 | -1.10 | ---- | -2.16 | -0.12 | 2.04 | ||
2056 | 14.17 | 13.11 | -1.06 | ---- | -2.22 | -0.13 | 2.09 | ||
2057 | 14.14 | 13.11 | -1.03 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.13 | 2.15 | ||
2058 | 14.11 | 13.11 | -1.00 | ---- | -2.33 | -0.13 | 2.20 | ||
2059 | 14.08 | 13.11 | -0.98 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.13 | 2.24 | ||
2060 | 14.06 | 13.11 | -0.95 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.14 | 2.29 | ||
2061 | 14.04 | 13.11 | -0.94 | ---- | -2.47 | -0.14 | 2.33 | ||
2062 | 14.03 | 13.10 | -0.92 | ---- | -2.51 | -0.14 | 2.36 | ||
2063 | 14.01 | 13.10 | -0.91 | ---- | -2.54 | -0.14 | 2.40 | ||
2064 | 14.01 | 13.10 | -0.90 | ---- | -2.58 | -0.15 | 2.43 | ||
2065 | 14.00 | 13.11 | -0.90 | ---- | -2.61 | -0.15 | 2.46 | ||
2066 | 14.01 | 13.11 | -0.90 | ---- | -2.64 | -0.15 | 2.49 | ||
2067 | 14.01 | 13.11 | -0.91 | ---- | -2.67 | -0.15 | 2.52 | ||
2068 | 14.02 | 13.11 | -0.91 | ---- | -2.70 | -0.15 | 2.55 | ||
2069 | 14.04 | 13.11 | -0.93 | ---- | -2.73 | -0.16 | 2.57 | ||
2070 | 14.05 | 13.11 | -0.94 | ---- | -2.75 | -0.16 | 2.60 | ||
2071 | 14.07 | 13.11 | -0.96 | ---- | -2.78 | -0.16 | 2.62 | ||
2072 | 14.09 | 13.11 | -0.98 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.16 | 2.64 | ||
2073 | 14.11 | 13.11 | -1.00 | ---- | -2.83 | -0.16 | 2.66 | ||
2074 | 14.13 | 13.12 | -1.02 | ---- | -2.85 | -0.16 | 2.69 | ||
2075 | 14.15 | 13.12 | -1.04 | ---- | -2.87 | -0.16 | 2.71 | ||
2076 | 14.17 | 13.12 | -1.06 | ---- | -2.90 | -0.17 | 2.73 | ||
2077 | 14.19 | 13.12 | -1.07 | ---- | -2.92 | -0.17 | 2.76 | ||
2078 | 14.21 | 13.12 | -1.09 | ---- | -2.95 | -0.17 | 2.78 | ||
2079 | 14.23 | 13.12 | -1.10 | ---- | -2.98 | -0.17 | 2.81 | ||
2080 | 14.24 | 13.12 | -1.12 | ---- | -3.01 | -0.17 | 2.84 | ||
2081 | 14.25 | 13.12 | -1.13 | ---- | -3.04 | -0.17 | 2.87 | ||
2082 | 14.26 | 13.13 | -1.13 | ---- | -3.08 | -0.18 | 2.90 | ||
2083 | 14.27 | 13.13 | -1.14 | ---- | -3.12 | -0.18 | 2.94 | ||
2084 | 14.27 | 13.13 | -1.15 | ---- | -3.15 | -0.18 | 2.97 | ||
2085 | 14.28 | 13.13 | -1.15 | ---- | -3.19 | -0.18 | 3.01 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2010 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2010-2084 | 14.58% | 13.93% | -0.65% | 2042 | -1.35% | -0.07% | 1.27% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2037. |
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