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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2010 | 13.09 | 12.33 | -0.76 | 355 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2011 | 13.04 | 12.91 | -0.12 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 12.84 | 12.87 | 0.03 | 350 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 12.82 | 12.90 | 0.08 | 346 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 12.85 | 12.92 | 0.06 | 341 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2015 | 12.96 | 12.94 | -0.03 | 336 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2016 | 13.08 | 12.96 | -0.12 | 331 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2017 | 13.26 | 12.99 | -0.28 | 325 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2018 | 13.49 | 13.01 | -0.48 | 319 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2019 | 13.75 | 13.02 | -0.73 | 312 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2020 | 14.04 | 13.04 | -0.99 | 303 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2021 | 14.31 | 13.06 | -1.25 | 294 | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2022 | 14.57 | 13.08 | -1.49 | 284 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2023 | 14.81 | 13.09 | -1.72 | 273 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2024 | 15.03 | 13.10 | -1.93 | 261 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2025 | 15.24 | 13.12 | -2.12 | 248 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
2026 | 15.42 | 13.13 | -2.29 | 235 | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
2027 | 15.58 | 13.14 | -2.44 | 221 | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2028 | 15.71 | 13.15 | -2.56 | 207 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2029 | 15.83 | 13.16 | -2.67 | 192 | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2030 | 15.91 | 13.17 | -2.75 | 177 | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
2031 | 15.98 | 13.17 | -2.81 | 162 | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
2032 | 16.03 | 13.18 | -2.86 | 146 | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2033 | 16.07 | 13.18 | -2.89 | 130 | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2034 | 16.09 | 13.19 | -2.90 | 114 | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2035 | 16.09 | 13.19 | -2.90 | 98 | -0.64 | -0.03 | 0.60 | ||
2036 | 16.07 | 13.19 | -2.88 | 81 | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2037 | 16.05 | 13.19 | -2.86 | 65 | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2038 | 16.01 | 13.19 | -2.82 | 48 | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2039 | 15.96 | 13.19 | -2.77 | 31 | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2040 | 15.91 | 13.19 | -2.72 | 15 | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2041 | 15.85 | 13.19 | -2.66 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2042 | 15.79 | 13.19 | -2.60 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2043 | 15.74 | 13.18 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2044 | 15.69 | 13.18 | -2.51 | ---- | -0.79 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2045 | 15.65 | 13.18 | -2.47 | ---- | -0.79 | -0.04 | 0.75 | ||
2046 | 15.62 | 13.18 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2047 | 15.59 | 13.18 | -2.41 | ---- | -0.81 | -0.05 | 0.76 | ||
2048 | 15.56 | 13.18 | -2.38 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.05 | 0.77 | ||
2049 | 15.53 | 13.18 | -2.35 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.05 | 0.77 | ||
2050 | 15.51 | 13.18 | -2.33 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.05 | 0.78 | ||
2051 | 15.50 | 13.18 | -2.32 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.05 | 0.78 | ||
2052 | 15.50 | 13.18 | -2.32 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.05 | 0.78 | ||
2053 | 15.50 | 13.18 | -2.32 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.05 | 0.78 | ||
2054 | 15.51 | 13.18 | -2.33 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.05 | 0.79 | ||
2055 | 15.53 | 13.18 | -2.35 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.05 | 0.79 | ||
2056 | 15.55 | 13.19 | -2.37 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.05 | 0.79 | ||
2057 | 15.57 | 13.19 | -2.39 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.05 | 0.79 | ||
2058 | 15.59 | 13.19 | -2.40 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.05 | 0.80 | ||
2059 | 15.61 | 13.19 | -2.42 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.05 | 0.80 | ||
2060 | 15.63 | 13.19 | -2.44 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.05 | 0.80 | ||
2061 | 15.65 | 13.20 | -2.46 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.05 | 0.80 | ||
2062 | 15.68 | 13.20 | -2.48 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.05 | 0.81 | ||
2063 | 15.70 | 13.20 | -2.50 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.05 | 0.81 | ||
2064 | 15.72 | 13.20 | -2.51 | ---- | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.82 | ||
2065 | 15.74 | 13.20 | -2.53 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2066 | 15.76 | 13.21 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2067 | 15.78 | 13.21 | -2.57 | ---- | -0.91 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2068 | 15.80 | 13.21 | -2.59 | ---- | -0.92 | -0.05 | 0.87 | ||
2069 | 15.82 | 13.21 | -2.61 | ---- | -0.95 | -0.05 | 0.89 | ||
2070 | 15.83 | 13.21 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.06 | 0.92 | ||
2071 | 15.85 | 13.21 | -2.63 | ---- | -1.00 | -0.06 | 0.94 | ||
2072 | 15.86 | 13.21 | -2.65 | ---- | -1.03 | -0.06 | 0.97 | ||
2073 | 15.87 | 13.21 | -2.65 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2074 | 15.88 | 13.22 | -2.66 | ---- | -1.11 | -0.06 | 1.04 | ||
2075 | 15.88 | 13.22 | -2.67 | ---- | -1.14 | -0.07 | 1.08 | ||
2076 | 15.88 | 13.22 | -2.67 | ---- | -1.19 | -0.07 | 1.12 | ||
2077 | 15.88 | 13.22 | -2.67 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.07 | 1.16 | ||
2078 | 15.88 | 13.22 | -2.67 | ---- | -1.28 | -0.07 | 1.21 | ||
2079 | 15.88 | 13.22 | -2.66 | ---- | -1.33 | -0.08 | 1.25 | ||
2080 | 15.87 | 13.22 | -2.65 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.08 | 1.30 | ||
2081 | 15.86 | 13.22 | -2.64 | ---- | -1.43 | -0.08 | 1.35 | ||
2082 | 15.85 | 13.22 | -2.63 | ---- | -1.49 | -0.09 | 1.40 | ||
2083 | 15.84 | 13.22 | -2.62 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.09 | 1.45 | ||
2084 | 15.83 | 13.22 | -2.61 | ---- | -1.60 | -0.09 | 1.51 | ||
2085 | 15.81 | 13.22 | -2.59 | ---- | -1.66 | -0.10 | 1.56 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  | |||||||||
  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2010 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2010-2084 | 15.30% | 13.97% | -1.33% | 2040 | -0.62% | -0.03% | 0.59% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2037. |
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