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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 14.95 | 1.72 | 347 | 0.00 | 2.08 | 2.08 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 15.12 | 1.94 | 356 | 0.00 | 2.25 | 2.25 | ||
2014 | 13.19 | 15.20 | 2.01 | 366 | 0.00 | 2.28 | 2.28 | ||
2015 | 13.25 | 15.23 | 1.98 | 375 | 0.01 | 2.29 | 2.28 | ||
2016 | 13.34 | 15.27 | 1.93 | 384 | 0.02 | 2.30 | 2.28 | ||
2017 | 13.49 | 15.31 | 1.82 | 393 | 0.02 | 2.31 | 2.28 | ||
2018 | 13.65 | 15.35 | 1.70 | 399 | 0.03 | 2.32 | 2.29 | ||
2019 | 13.93 | 15.37 | 1.44 | 403 | 0.04 | 2.33 | 2.28 | ||
2020 | 14.25 | 15.38 | 1.12 | 405 | 0.06 | 2.32 | 2.26 | ||
2021 | 14.59 | 15.40 | 0.81 | 406 | 0.07 | 2.32 | 2.25 | ||
2022 | 14.92 | 15.42 | 0.51 | 406 | 0.09 | 2.32 | 2.24 | ||
2023 | 15.23 | 15.44 | 0.21 | 404 | 0.10 | 2.33 | 2.22 | ||
2024 | 15.53 | 15.46 | -0.06 | 402 | 0.12 | 2.33 | 2.21 | ||
2025 | 15.81 | 15.48 | -0.33 | 399 | 0.14 | 2.33 | 2.20 | ||
2026 | 16.08 | 15.50 | -0.58 | 396 | 0.16 | 2.34 | 2.18 | ||
2027 | 16.33 | 15.52 | -0.81 | 392 | 0.18 | 2.34 | 2.16 | ||
2028 | 16.55 | 15.54 | -1.01 | 387 | 0.20 | 2.35 | 2.15 | ||
2029 | 16.74 | 15.55 | -1.19 | 381 | 0.22 | 2.35 | 2.13 | ||
2030 | 16.90 | 15.56 | -1.33 | 376 | 0.24 | 2.35 | 2.11 | ||
2031 | 17.02 | 15.58 | -1.45 | 370 | 0.26 | 2.36 | 2.09 | ||
2032 | 17.14 | 15.59 | -1.55 | 363 | 0.28 | 2.36 | 2.08 | ||
2033 | 17.23 | 15.60 | -1.64 | 357 | 0.30 | 2.36 | 2.06 | ||
2034 | 17.31 | 15.60 | -1.70 | 350 | 0.33 | 2.37 | 2.04 | ||
2035 | 17.36 | 15.61 | -1.75 | 344 | 0.35 | 2.37 | 2.02 | ||
2036 | 17.40 | 15.62 | -1.78 | 337 | 0.37 | 2.37 | 2.01 | ||
2037 | 17.43 | 15.62 | -1.80 | 331 | 0.39 | 2.38 | 1.99 | ||
2038 | 17.43 | 15.63 | -1.80 | 324 | 0.41 | 2.38 | 1.97 | ||
2039 | 17.42 | 15.63 | -1.78 | 318 | 0.43 | 2.38 | 1.96 | ||
2040 | 17.40 | 15.64 | -1.76 | 312 | 0.44 | 2.39 | 1.94 | ||
2041 | 17.38 | 15.64 | -1.74 | 306 | 0.46 | 2.39 | 1.93 | ||
2042 | 17.35 | 15.64 | -1.71 | 300 | 0.48 | 2.39 | 1.91 | ||
2043 | 17.34 | 15.64 | -1.70 | 295 | 0.50 | 2.40 | 1.90 | ||
2044 | 17.33 | 15.65 | -1.69 | 289 | 0.52 | 2.40 | 1.88 | ||
2045 | 17.32 | 15.65 | -1.68 | 283 | 0.54 | 2.40 | 1.87 | ||
2046 | 17.31 | 15.65 | -1.66 | 277 | 0.55 | 2.41 | 1.85 | ||
2047 | 17.31 | 15.65 | -1.66 | 271 | 0.57 | 2.41 | 1.84 | ||
2048 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.65 | 266 | 0.59 | 2.41 | 1.83 | ||
2049 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.64 | 260 | 0.61 | 2.42 | 1.81 | ||
2050 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.64 | 254 | 0.62 | 2.42 | 1.80 | ||
2051 | 17.32 | 15.67 | -1.65 | 248 | 0.64 | 2.42 | 1.79 | ||
2052 | 17.33 | 15.67 | -1.66 | 241 | 0.65 | 2.43 | 1.77 | ||
2053 | 17.36 | 15.68 | -1.68 | 235 | 0.67 | 2.43 | 1.76 | ||
2054 | 17.38 | 15.68 | -1.70 | 228 | 0.68 | 2.43 | 1.75 | ||
2055 | 17.42 | 15.69 | -1.73 | 221 | 0.70 | 2.44 | 1.74 | ||
2056 | 17.45 | 15.69 | -1.76 | 214 | 0.71 | 2.44 | 1.73 | ||
2057 | 17.48 | 15.70 | -1.79 | 206 | 0.72 | 2.44 | 1.72 | ||
2058 | 17.51 | 15.70 | -1.81 | 199 | 0.73 | 2.44 | 1.71 | ||
2059 | 17.54 | 15.70 | -1.83 | 191 | 0.74 | 2.45 | 1.71 | ||
2060 | 17.55 | 15.71 | -1.85 | 183 | 0.75 | 2.45 | 1.70 | ||
2061 | 17.57 | 15.71 | -1.86 | 175 | 0.76 | 2.45 | 1.69 | ||
2062 | 17.59 | 15.72 | -1.87 | 167 | 0.77 | 2.45 | 1.69 | ||
2063 | 17.61 | 15.72 | -1.89 | 158 | 0.77 | 2.46 | 1.68 | ||
2064 | 17.63 | 15.72 | -1.91 | 150 | 0.78 | 2.46 | 1.68 | ||
2065 | 17.65 | 15.73 | -1.93 | 141 | 0.78 | 2.46 | 1.68 | ||
2066 | 17.68 | 15.73 | -1.95 | 132 | 0.79 | 2.46 | 1.67 | ||
2067 | 17.71 | 15.73 | -1.97 | 123 | 0.79 | 2.47 | 1.67 | ||
2068 | 17.74 | 15.74 | -2.00 | 113 | 0.80 | 2.47 | 1.67 | ||
2069 | 17.77 | 15.74 | -2.03 | 104 | 0.80 | 2.47 | 1.66 | ||
2070 | 17.81 | 15.75 | -2.07 | 94 | 0.81 | 2.47 | 1.66 | ||
2071 | 17.85 | 15.75 | -2.10 | 83 | 0.81 | 2.47 | 1.66 | ||
2072 | 17.88 | 15.75 | -2.13 | 73 | 0.82 | 2.47 | 1.66 | ||
2073 | 17.92 | 15.76 | -2.17 | 62 | 0.82 | 2.48 | 1.66 | ||
2074 | 17.97 | 15.76 | -2.20 | 51 | 0.82 | 2.48 | 1.65 | ||
2075 | 18.01 | 15.77 | -2.24 | 39 | 0.83 | 2.48 | 1.65 | ||
2076 | 18.04 | 15.77 | -2.27 | 28 | 0.83 | 2.48 | 1.65 | ||
2077 | 18.08 | 15.78 | -2.31 | 16 | 0.83 | 2.48 | 1.65 | ||
2078 | 18.12 | 15.78 | -2.34 | 4 | 0.84 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2079 | 18.16 | 15.78 | -2.38 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2080 | 18.20 | 15.79 | -2.41 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2081 | 18.24 | 15.79 | -2.45 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2082 | 18.28 | 15.80 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2083 | 18.33 | 15.80 | -2.53 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2084 | 18.37 | 15.80 | -2.56 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.50 | 1.65 | ||
2085 | 18.41 | 15.81 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.50 | 1.64 | ||
2086 | 18.45 | 15.81 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.50 | 1.64 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 16.69% | 16.37% | -0.32% | 2078 | 0.44% | 2.35% | 1.91% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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