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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 12.87 | -0.31 | 341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.18 | 12.92 | -0.27 | 334 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.24 | 12.94 | -0.30 | 328 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.32 | 12.97 | -0.35 | 321 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.46 | 13.00 | -0.46 | 314 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.61 | 13.03 | -0.58 | 306 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2019 | 13.87 | 13.04 | -0.83 | 296 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2020 | 14.18 | 13.06 | -1.12 | 285 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2021 | 14.49 | 13.08 | -1.41 | 273 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2022 | 14.77 | 13.10 | -1.67 | 260 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2023 | 15.05 | 13.11 | -1.93 | 247 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2024 | 15.30 | 13.13 | -2.17 | 233 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2025 | 15.55 | 13.14 | -2.40 | 218 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.12 | ||
2026 | 15.79 | 13.16 | -2.63 | 203 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.13 | ||
2027 | 16.00 | 13.17 | -2.83 | 187 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2028 | 16.18 | 13.18 | -3.00 | 170 | -0.17 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2029 | 16.33 | 13.19 | -3.14 | 152 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
2030 | 16.45 | 13.20 | -3.25 | 135 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2031 | 16.53 | 13.21 | -3.32 | 116 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2032 | 16.60 | 13.22 | -3.39 | 97 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2033 | 16.65 | 13.22 | -3.43 | 78 | -0.28 | -0.01 | 0.27 | ||
2034 | 16.68 | 13.23 | -3.45 | 59 | -0.30 | -0.01 | 0.29 | ||
2035 | 16.68 | 13.23 | -3.45 | 39 | -0.33 | -0.01 | 0.32 | ||
2036 | 16.67 | 13.23 | -3.44 | 20 | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2037 | 16.65 | 13.23 | -3.42 | ---- | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
2038 | 16.60 | 13.23 | -3.37 | ---- | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2039 | 16.53 | 13.23 | -3.30 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.44 | ||
2040 | 16.46 | 13.23 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.02 | 0.47 | ||
2041 | 16.38 | 13.22 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.02 | 0.51 | ||
2042 | 16.30 | 13.22 | -3.08 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.02 | 0.55 | ||
2043 | 16.22 | 13.22 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2044 | 16.15 | 13.22 | -2.93 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.03 | 0.63 | ||
2045 | 16.08 | 13.21 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.03 | 0.68 | ||
2046 | 16.00 | 13.21 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.03 | 0.72 | ||
2047 | 15.93 | 13.21 | -2.72 | ---- | -0.81 | -0.03 | 0.77 | ||
2048 | 15.86 | 13.21 | -2.66 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.04 | 0.82 | ||
2049 | 15.80 | 13.21 | -2.59 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.04 | 0.86 | ||
2050 | 15.73 | 13.20 | -2.53 | ---- | -0.95 | -0.04 | 0.91 | ||
2051 | 15.68 | 13.20 | -2.48 | ---- | -1.00 | -0.04 | 0.96 | ||
2052 | 15.63 | 13.20 | -2.43 | ---- | -1.05 | -0.04 | 1.00 | ||
2053 | 15.59 | 13.20 | -2.39 | ---- | -1.10 | -0.05 | 1.05 | ||
2054 | 15.56 | 13.20 | -2.36 | ---- | -1.14 | -0.05 | 1.09 | ||
2055 | 15.54 | 13.20 | -2.34 | ---- | -1.18 | -0.05 | 1.13 | ||
2056 | 15.53 | 13.20 | -2.33 | ---- | -1.21 | -0.05 | 1.16 | ||
2057 | 15.52 | 13.20 | -2.32 | ---- | -1.24 | -0.05 | 1.19 | ||
2058 | 15.51 | 13.20 | -2.31 | ---- | -1.27 | -0.06 | 1.22 | ||
2059 | 15.49 | 13.20 | -2.29 | ---- | -1.30 | -0.06 | 1.25 | ||
2060 | 15.48 | 13.20 | -2.28 | ---- | -1.33 | -0.06 | 1.27 | ||
2061 | 15.46 | 13.20 | -2.26 | ---- | -1.35 | -0.06 | 1.29 | ||
2062 | 15.45 | 13.20 | -2.25 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.06 | 1.32 | ||
2063 | 15.44 | 13.20 | -2.24 | ---- | -1.39 | -0.06 | 1.33 | ||
2064 | 15.44 | 13.20 | -2.24 | ---- | -1.41 | -0.06 | 1.35 | ||
2065 | 15.45 | 13.20 | -2.24 | ---- | -1.42 | -0.06 | 1.36 | ||
2066 | 15.46 | 13.20 | -2.25 | ---- | -1.43 | -0.06 | 1.37 | ||
2067 | 15.47 | 13.20 | -2.26 | ---- | -1.45 | -0.06 | 1.38 | ||
2068 | 15.48 | 13.20 | -2.28 | ---- | -1.46 | -0.07 | 1.39 | ||
2069 | 15.50 | 13.21 | -2.30 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.07 | 1.40 | ||
2070 | 15.53 | 13.21 | -2.32 | ---- | -1.48 | -0.07 | 1.41 | ||
2071 | 15.55 | 13.21 | -2.34 | ---- | -1.48 | -0.07 | 1.42 | ||
2072 | 15.57 | 13.21 | -2.36 | ---- | -1.49 | -0.07 | 1.43 | ||
2073 | 15.60 | 13.21 | -2.39 | ---- | -1.50 | -0.07 | 1.43 | ||
2074 | 15.63 | 13.22 | -2.41 | ---- | -1.51 | -0.07 | 1.44 | ||
2075 | 15.66 | 13.22 | -2.44 | ---- | -1.52 | -0.07 | 1.45 | ||
2076 | 15.68 | 13.22 | -2.46 | ---- | -1.53 | -0.07 | 1.46 | ||
2077 | 15.71 | 13.22 | -2.49 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.07 | 1.47 | ||
2078 | 15.74 | 13.22 | -2.51 | ---- | -1.55 | -0.07 | 1.48 | ||
2079 | 15.76 | 13.22 | -2.54 | ---- | -1.56 | -0.07 | 1.49 | ||
2080 | 15.79 | 13.23 | -2.57 | ---- | -1.57 | -0.07 | 1.50 | ||
2081 | 15.82 | 13.23 | -2.59 | ---- | -1.58 | -0.07 | 1.51 | ||
2082 | 15.85 | 13.23 | -2.62 | ---- | -1.59 | -0.07 | 1.51 | ||
2083 | 15.89 | 13.23 | -2.65 | ---- | -1.59 | -0.07 | 1.52 | ||
2084 | 15.92 | 13.24 | -2.68 | ---- | -1.60 | -0.07 | 1.53 | ||
2085 | 15.95 | 13.24 | -2.71 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.07 | 1.53 | ||
2086 | 15.98 | 13.24 | -2.74 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.07 | 1.54 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 15.56% | 13.99% | -1.57% | 2036 | -0.69% | -0.03% | 0.66% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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