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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.12 | 12.86 | -0.25 | 342 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2014 | 13.06 | 12.91 | -0.15 | 338 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2015 | 13.06 | 12.93 | -0.13 | 333 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2016 | 13.09 | 12.96 | -0.13 | 329 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2017 | 13.17 | 12.99 | -0.18 | 325 | -0.29 | -0.01 | 0.28 | ||
2018 | 13.27 | 13.01 | -0.26 | 320 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2019 | 13.48 | 13.02 | -0.46 | 313 | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
2020 | 13.74 | 13.04 | -0.71 | 305 | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2021 | 14.02 | 13.06 | -0.96 | 296 | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
2022 | 14.27 | 13.07 | -1.20 | 286 | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2023 | 14.52 | 13.09 | -1.44 | 275 | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2024 | 14.75 | 13.10 | -1.65 | 264 | -0.65 | -0.03 | 0.62 | ||
2025 | 14.98 | 13.11 | -1.86 | 253 | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2026 | 15.18 | 13.13 | -2.06 | 241 | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2027 | 15.36 | 13.14 | -2.23 | 228 | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2028 | 15.52 | 13.15 | -2.37 | 214 | -0.82 | -0.04 | 0.78 | ||
2029 | 15.66 | 13.16 | -2.50 | 200 | -0.86 | -0.04 | 0.82 | ||
2030 | 15.76 | 13.16 | -2.59 | 186 | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2031 | 15.83 | 13.17 | -2.66 | 171 | -0.93 | -0.05 | 0.88 | ||
2032 | 15.90 | 13.18 | -2.72 | 156 | -0.96 | -0.05 | 0.91 | ||
2033 | 15.94 | 13.18 | -2.76 | 141 | -0.98 | -0.05 | 0.93 | ||
2034 | 15.97 | 13.19 | -2.79 | 126 | -1.01 | -0.05 | 0.96 | ||
2035 | 15.98 | 13.19 | -2.79 | 110 | -1.03 | -0.05 | 0.98 | ||
2036 | 15.98 | 13.19 | -2.79 | 94 | -1.05 | -0.06 | 0.99 | ||
2037 | 15.97 | 13.19 | -2.78 | 78 | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2038 | 15.94 | 13.19 | -2.75 | 62 | -1.08 | -0.06 | 1.02 | ||
2039 | 15.90 | 13.19 | -2.71 | 46 | -1.09 | -0.06 | 1.03 | ||
2040 | 15.85 | 13.19 | -2.66 | 30 | -1.10 | -0.06 | 1.04 | ||
2041 | 15.80 | 13.19 | -2.61 | 14 | -1.11 | -0.06 | 1.05 | ||
2042 | 15.76 | 13.19 | -2.57 | ---- | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2043 | 15.72 | 13.19 | -2.53 | ---- | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2044 | 15.69 | 13.18 | -2.50 | ---- | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2045 | 15.66 | 13.18 | -2.48 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2046 | 15.63 | 13.18 | -2.45 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2047 | 15.61 | 13.18 | -2.43 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2048 | 15.59 | 13.18 | -2.41 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2049 | 15.57 | 13.18 | -2.39 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2050 | 15.56 | 13.18 | -2.38 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2051 | 15.55 | 13.18 | -2.37 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2052 | 15.56 | 13.18 | -2.37 | ---- | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2053 | 15.56 | 13.19 | -2.38 | ---- | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2054 | 15.58 | 13.19 | -2.39 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2055 | 15.59 | 13.19 | -2.40 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2056 | 15.61 | 13.19 | -2.42 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2057 | 15.63 | 13.19 | -2.44 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2058 | 15.65 | 13.19 | -2.45 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2059 | 15.66 | 13.20 | -2.46 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2060 | 15.67 | 13.20 | -2.47 | ---- | -1.14 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2061 | 15.67 | 13.20 | -2.48 | ---- | -1.14 | -0.06 | 1.08 | ||
2062 | 15.68 | 13.20 | -2.48 | ---- | -1.14 | -0.06 | 1.08 | ||
2063 | 15.69 | 13.20 | -2.49 | ---- | -1.15 | -0.06 | 1.08 | ||
2064 | 15.70 | 13.20 | -2.50 | ---- | -1.15 | -0.06 | 1.09 | ||
2065 | 15.71 | 13.20 | -2.51 | ---- | -1.15 | -0.06 | 1.09 | ||
2066 | 15.73 | 13.20 | -2.53 | ---- | -1.16 | -0.06 | 1.09 | ||
2067 | 15.75 | 13.20 | -2.55 | ---- | -1.16 | -0.06 | 1.10 | ||
2068 | 15.77 | 13.21 | -2.57 | ---- | -1.17 | -0.06 | 1.10 | ||
2069 | 15.80 | 13.21 | -2.59 | ---- | -1.17 | -0.06 | 1.11 | ||
2070 | 15.83 | 13.21 | -2.62 | ---- | -1.18 | -0.06 | 1.11 | ||
2071 | 15.85 | 13.21 | -2.64 | ---- | -1.18 | -0.06 | 1.11 | ||
2072 | 15.88 | 13.21 | -2.67 | ---- | -1.18 | -0.07 | 1.12 | ||
2073 | 15.92 | 13.22 | -2.70 | ---- | -1.19 | -0.07 | 1.12 | ||
2074 | 15.95 | 13.22 | -2.73 | ---- | -1.19 | -0.07 | 1.13 | ||
2075 | 15.98 | 13.22 | -2.76 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.07 | 1.13 | ||
2076 | 16.01 | 13.22 | -2.79 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.07 | 1.13 | ||
2077 | 16.05 | 13.22 | -2.82 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.07 | 1.14 | ||
2078 | 16.08 | 13.23 | -2.85 | ---- | -1.21 | -0.07 | 1.14 | ||
2079 | 16.11 | 13.23 | -2.88 | ---- | -1.21 | -0.07 | 1.14 | ||
2080 | 16.15 | 13.23 | -2.91 | ---- | -1.22 | -0.07 | 1.15 | ||
2081 | 16.18 | 13.23 | -2.95 | ---- | -1.22 | -0.07 | 1.15 | ||
2082 | 16.22 | 13.24 | -2.98 | ---- | -1.22 | -0.07 | 1.16 | ||
2083 | 16.25 | 13.24 | -3.01 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.07 | 1.16 | ||
2084 | 16.29 | 13.24 | -3.05 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.07 | 1.16 | ||
2085 | 16.32 | 13.24 | -3.08 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.07 | 1.17 | ||
2086 | 16.35 | 13.24 | -3.11 | ---- | -1.24 | -0.07 | 1.17 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 15.35% | 13.98% | -1.37% | 2041 | -0.90% | -0.05% | 0.85% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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