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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Beginning with those newly eligible for OASDI benefits in 2018, create a new bend point at the 50th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers and gradually reduce all PIA formula factors except for the 90 percent factor. By 2051: a) the 32 percent PIA formula factor below the new bend point reduces to 30 percent; b) the 32 percent PIA factor above the new bend point reduces to 10 percent; and c) the 15 percent factor reduces to 5 percent.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201113.3512.52-0.82
353
0.000.000.00
201213.2312.87-0.36
347
0.000.000.00
201313.1812.87-0.31
341
0.000.000.00
201413.1812.92-0.27
334
0.000.000.00
201513.2412.94-0.30
328
0.000.000.00
201613.3312.97-0.36
321
0.000.000.00
201713.4613.00-0.46
314
0.000.000.00
201813.6213.03-0.59
306
0.000.000.00
201913.8813.04-0.83
296
0.000.000.00
202014.1913.06-1.13
284
-0.010.000.01
202114.5113.08-1.43
272
-0.010.000.01
202214.8113.10-1.71
259
-0.020.000.02
202315.0913.11-1.98
245
-0.030.000.03
202415.3613.13-2.23
231
-0.050.000.05
202515.6113.15-2.46
216
-0.070.000.06
202615.8413.16-2.68
201
-0.090.000.08
202716.0313.17-2.86
184
-0.11-0.010.11
202816.2113.18-3.02
168
-0.14-0.010.13
202916.3513.19-3.15
150
-0.17-0.010.16
203016.4513.20-3.25
132
-0.20-0.010.19
203116.5213.21-3.32
114
-0.24-0.010.22
203216.5813.21-3.37
95
-0.27-0.010.26
203316.6213.22-3.40
76
-0.31-0.020.29
203416.6313.22-3.41
57
-0.35-0.020.33
203516.6213.22-3.40
38
-0.39-0.020.37
203616.6013.22-3.38
18
-0.43-0.020.41
203716.5613.22-3.34
----
-0.48-0.030.45
203816.5013.22-3.27
----
-0.53-0.030.50
203916.4213.22-3.20
----
-0.57-0.030.54
204016.3313.22-3.12
----
-0.62-0.030.59
204116.2413.21-3.03
----
-0.67-0.040.63
204216.1513.21-2.94
----
-0.72-0.040.68
204316.0713.20-2.86
----
-0.77-0.040.73
204415.9813.20-2.78
----
-0.83-0.040.78
204515.9013.20-2.70
----
-0.88-0.050.84
204615.8213.19-2.62
----
-0.94-0.050.89
204715.7413.19-2.55
----
-1.00-0.050.95
204815.6613.19-2.47
----
-1.06-0.061.00
204915.5813.18-2.40
----
-1.12-0.061.06
205015.5113.18-2.33
----
-1.18-0.061.11
205115.4413.18-2.26
----
-1.24-0.071.17
205215.3813.18-2.21
----
-1.30-0.071.23
205315.3313.17-2.16
----
-1.36-0.071.29
205415.2813.17-2.11
----
-1.42-0.081.34
205515.2413.17-2.07
----
-1.48-0.081.40
205615.2113.17-2.04
----
-1.54-0.081.45
205715.1713.17-2.00
----
-1.59-0.091.50
205815.1413.17-1.97
----
-1.64-0.091.55
205915.1013.17-1.94
----
-1.69-0.091.60
206015.0713.16-1.91
----
-1.73-0.091.64
206115.0413.16-1.87
----
-1.78-0.101.68
206215.0113.16-1.85
----
-1.81-0.101.72
206314.9913.16-1.82
----
-1.85-0.101.75
206414.9613.16-1.80
----
-1.89-0.101.78
206514.9513.16-1.79
----
-1.92-0.111.81
206614.9413.16-1.78
----
-1.95-0.111.84
206714.9413.16-1.78
----
-1.98-0.111.87
206814.9413.16-1.78
----
-2.00-0.111.89
206914.9413.16-1.78
----
-2.03-0.111.92
207014.9513.16-1.79
----
-2.05-0.111.94
207114.9613.16-1.80
----
-2.07-0.111.96
207214.9713.16-1.81
----
-2.10-0.121.98
207314.9913.16-1.83
----
-2.11-0.122.00
207415.0113.17-1.84
----
-2.13-0.122.01
207515.0313.17-1.86
----
-2.15-0.122.03
207615.0513.17-1.88
----
-2.16-0.122.04
207715.0713.17-1.90
----
-2.18-0.122.05
207815.1013.17-1.93
----
-2.19-0.122.07
207915.1313.17-1.95
----
-2.20-0.122.08
208015.1513.18-1.98
----
-2.21-0.122.09
208115.1813.18-2.00
----
-2.22-0.122.09
208215.2113.18-2.03
----
-2.23-0.122.10
208315.2413.18-2.06
----
-2.23-0.122.11
208415.2813.18-2.09
----
-2.24-0.122.12
208515.3113.19-2.12
----
-2.25-0.132.12
208615.3413.19-2.15
----
-2.26-0.132.13



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of
exhaustion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report.
2011-2085 15.35% 13.98% -1.38%
2036
-0.90% -0.05% 0.85%
 
1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion is 2036.

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Last reviewed or modified December 21, 2011