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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 12.87 | -0.31 | 341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.18 | 12.92 | -0.27 | 334 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.24 | 12.94 | -0.30 | 328 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.33 | 12.97 | -0.36 | 321 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.46 | 13.00 | -0.46 | 314 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.61 | 13.03 | -0.59 | 306 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.87 | 13.04 | -0.82 | 296 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2020 | 14.16 | 13.06 | -1.10 | 285 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2021 | 14.45 | 13.08 | -1.38 | 273 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2022 | 14.72 | 13.09 | -1.63 | 261 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2023 | 14.97 | 13.11 | -1.86 | 249 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2024 | 15.19 | 13.12 | -2.07 | 236 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2025 | 15.39 | 13.14 | -2.25 | 222 | -0.29 | -0.01 | 0.27 | ||
2026 | 15.56 | 13.15 | -2.41 | 208 | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.35 | ||
2027 | 15.70 | 13.16 | -2.54 | 194 | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2028 | 15.81 | 13.16 | -2.64 | 180 | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
2029 | 15.89 | 13.17 | -2.71 | 165 | -0.63 | -0.03 | 0.60 | ||
2030 | 15.93 | 13.18 | -2.75 | 150 | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2031 | 15.93 | 13.18 | -2.75 | 135 | -0.83 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2032 | 15.91 | 13.18 | -2.73 | 119 | -0.94 | -0.05 | 0.89 | ||
2033 | 15.88 | 13.18 | -2.69 | 104 | -1.05 | -0.05 | 1.00 | ||
2034 | 15.81 | 13.18 | -2.63 | 89 | -1.17 | -0.06 | 1.11 | ||
2035 | 15.73 | 13.18 | -2.55 | 74 | -1.29 | -0.06 | 1.22 | ||
2036 | 15.63 | 13.18 | -2.45 | 60 | -1.41 | -0.07 | 1.34 | ||
2037 | 15.51 | 13.17 | -2.34 | 46 | -1.53 | -0.08 | 1.46 | ||
2038 | 15.36 | 13.16 | -2.20 | 32 | -1.66 | -0.08 | 1.57 | ||
2039 | 15.20 | 13.16 | -2.05 | 18 | -1.79 | -0.09 | 1.69 | ||
2040 | 15.04 | 13.15 | -1.89 | 5 | -1.92 | -0.10 | 1.82 | ||
2041 | 14.86 | 13.14 | -1.72 | ---- | -2.05 | -0.10 | 1.94 | ||
2042 | 14.69 | 13.13 | -1.55 | ---- | -2.18 | -0.11 | 2.07 | ||
2043 | 14.51 | 13.13 | -1.39 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.12 | 2.21 | ||
2044 | 14.34 | 13.12 | -1.23 | ---- | -2.47 | -0.13 | 2.34 | ||
2045 | 14.17 | 13.11 | -1.06 | ---- | -2.61 | -0.13 | 2.48 | ||
2046 | 14.00 | 13.10 | -0.89 | ---- | -2.76 | -0.14 | 2.62 | ||
2047 | 13.83 | 13.09 | -0.73 | ---- | -2.91 | -0.15 | 2.76 | ||
2048 | 13.66 | 13.09 | -0.57 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.16 | 2.90 | ||
2049 | 13.49 | 13.08 | -0.41 | ---- | -3.21 | -0.17 | 3.04 | ||
2050 | 13.33 | 13.07 | -0.26 | ---- | -3.36 | -0.17 | 3.19 | ||
2051 | 13.17 | 13.06 | -0.11 | ---- | -3.51 | -0.18 | 3.33 | ||
2052 | 13.02 | 13.05 | 0.04 | ---- | -3.66 | -0.19 | 3.47 | ||
2053 | 12.88 | 13.05 | 0.17 | ---- | -3.81 | -0.20 | 3.61 | ||
2054 | 12.74 | 13.04 | 0.30 | ---- | -3.96 | -0.21 | 3.76 | ||
2055 | 12.60 | 13.03 | 0.43 | ---- | -4.11 | -0.22 | 3.90 | ||
2056 | 12.48 | 13.03 | 0.55 | ---- | -4.26 | -0.22 | 4.04 | ||
2057 | 12.35 | 13.02 | 0.67 | ---- | -4.41 | -0.23 | 4.18 | ||
2058 | 12.22 | 13.02 | 0.79 | ---- | -4.56 | -0.24 | 4.32 | ||
2059 | 12.10 | 13.01 | 0.91 | ---- | -4.70 | -0.25 | 4.45 | ||
2060 | 11.97 | 13.00 | 1.03 | ---- | -4.83 | -0.25 | 4.58 | ||
2061 | 11.85 | 13.00 | 1.15 | ---- | -4.97 | -0.26 | 4.71 | ||
2062 | 11.72 | 12.99 | 1.27 | ---- | -5.10 | -0.27 | 4.83 | ||
2063 | 11.60 | 12.99 | 1.38 | ---- | -5.23 | -0.28 | 4.96 | ||
2064 | 11.49 | 12.98 | 1.49 | ---- | -5.36 | -0.28 | 5.08 | ||
2065 | 11.37 | 12.97 | 1.60 | ---- | -5.49 | -0.29 | 5.20 | ||
2066 | 11.27 | 12.97 | 1.70 | ---- | -5.62 | -0.30 | 5.33 | ||
2067 | 11.16 | 12.96 | 1.80 | 3 | -5.75 | -0.31 | 5.45 | ||
2068 | 11.06 | 12.96 | 1.90 | 19 | -5.88 | -0.31 | 5.57 | ||
2069 | 10.96 | 12.95 | 2.00 | 37 | -6.02 | -0.32 | 5.70 | ||
2070 | 10.86 | 12.95 | 2.09 | 56 | -6.15 | -0.33 | 5.82 | ||
2071 | 10.76 | 12.94 | 2.18 | 76 | -6.27 | -0.33 | 5.94 | ||
2072 | 10.66 | 12.94 | 2.28 | 98 | -6.40 | -0.34 | 6.06 | ||
2073 | 10.57 | 12.93 | 2.36 | 122 | -6.53 | -0.35 | 6.19 | ||
2074 | 10.48 | 12.93 | 2.45 | 147 | -6.66 | -0.35 | 6.31 | ||
2075 | 10.39 | 12.92 | 2.54 | 173 | -6.79 | -0.36 | 6.43 | ||
2076 | 10.30 | 12.92 | 2.62 | 202 | -6.92 | -0.37 | 6.55 | ||
2077 | 10.21 | 12.92 | 2.71 | 232 | -7.04 | -0.38 | 6.67 | ||
2078 | 10.12 | 12.91 | 2.79 | 263 | -7.17 | -0.38 | 6.79 | ||
2079 | 10.03 | 12.91 | 2.88 | 297 | -7.30 | -0.39 | 6.91 | ||
2080 | 9.94 | 12.90 | 2.96 | 332 | -7.42 | -0.40 | 7.02 | ||
2081 | 9.85 | 12.90 | 3.04 | 369 | -7.55 | -0.40 | 7.14 | ||
2082 | 9.77 | 12.89 | 3.12 | 408 | -7.67 | -0.41 | 7.26 | ||
2083 | 9.68 | 12.89 | 3.21 | 449 | -7.79 | -0.42 | 7.38 | ||
2084 | 9.60 | 12.88 | 3.28 | 491 | -7.92 | -0.42 | 7.49 | ||
2085 | 9.52 | 12.88 | 3.36 | 536 | -8.04 | -0.43 | 7.61 | ||
2086 | 9.43 | 12.88 | 3.44 | 583 | -8.16 | -0.44 | 7.72 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 13.50% | 13.88% | 0.38% | 2040 | -2.74% | -0.14% | 2.60% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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