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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 13.09 | -0.09 | 341 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.23 | ||
2014 | 13.18 | 13.35 | 0.16 | 336 | 0.00 | 0.43 | 0.43 | ||
2015 | 13.24 | 13.54 | 0.30 | 332 | 0.00 | 0.60 | 0.60 | ||
2016 | 13.33 | 13.73 | 0.40 | 330 | 0.00 | 0.75 | 0.75 | ||
2017 | 13.46 | 13.89 | 0.43 | 328 | 0.00 | 0.89 | 0.89 | ||
2018 | 13.62 | 14.05 | 0.43 | 326 | 0.00 | 1.02 | 1.02 | ||
2019 | 13.89 | 14.08 | 0.19 | 323 | 0.01 | 1.03 | 1.03 | ||
2020 | 14.21 | 14.13 | -0.08 | 318 | 0.01 | 1.07 | 1.06 | ||
2021 | 14.53 | 14.15 | -0.38 | 312 | 0.02 | 1.07 | 1.05 | ||
2022 | 14.85 | 14.17 | -0.68 | 305 | 0.02 | 1.07 | 1.05 | ||
2023 | 15.15 | 14.19 | -0.96 | 298 | 0.03 | 1.07 | 1.05 | ||
2024 | 15.44 | 14.21 | -1.23 | 289 | 0.03 | 1.07 | 1.04 | ||
2025 | 15.71 | 14.22 | -1.49 | 280 | 0.04 | 1.07 | 1.03 | ||
2026 | 15.97 | 14.24 | -1.73 | 270 | 0.05 | 1.08 | 1.03 | ||
2027 | 16.20 | 14.25 | -1.95 | 259 | 0.06 | 1.08 | 1.02 | ||
2028 | 16.41 | 14.27 | -2.14 | 247 | 0.06 | 1.08 | 1.01 | ||
2029 | 16.59 | 14.28 | -2.31 | 235 | 0.07 | 1.08 | 1.01 | ||
2030 | 16.74 | 14.29 | -2.45 | 223 | 0.08 | 1.08 | 1.00 | ||
2031 | 16.85 | 14.30 | -2.55 | 209 | 0.09 | 1.08 | 0.99 | ||
2032 | 16.96 | 14.31 | -2.65 | 196 | 0.10 | 1.08 | 0.98 | ||
2033 | 17.04 | 14.32 | -2.72 | 182 | 0.11 | 1.09 | 0.97 | ||
2034 | 17.10 | 14.33 | -2.78 | 168 | 0.12 | 1.09 | 0.96 | ||
2035 | 17.15 | 14.33 | -2.81 | 154 | 0.13 | 1.09 | 0.96 | ||
2036 | 17.18 | 14.34 | -2.84 | 139 | 0.14 | 1.09 | 0.95 | ||
2037 | 17.19 | 14.34 | -2.85 | 125 | 0.15 | 1.09 | 0.94 | ||
2038 | 17.18 | 14.34 | -2.84 | 110 | 0.16 | 1.09 | 0.93 | ||
2039 | 17.16 | 14.35 | -2.82 | 95 | 0.17 | 1.10 | 0.92 | ||
2040 | 17.14 | 14.35 | -2.79 | 80 | 0.18 | 1.10 | 0.91 | ||
2041 | 17.11 | 14.35 | -2.76 | 65 | 0.20 | 1.10 | 0.90 | ||
2042 | 17.08 | 14.35 | -2.73 | 50 | 0.21 | 1.10 | 0.90 | ||
2043 | 17.06 | 14.35 | -2.71 | 35 | 0.22 | 1.10 | 0.89 | ||
2044 | 17.04 | 14.35 | -2.69 | 20 | 0.23 | 1.11 | 0.88 | ||
2045 | 17.03 | 14.35 | -2.67 | 5 | 0.24 | 1.11 | 0.87 | ||
2046 | 17.01 | 14.35 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.11 | 0.86 | ||
2047 | 17.00 | 14.36 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.11 | 0.85 | ||
2048 | 16.99 | 14.36 | -2.63 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.11 | 0.84 | ||
2049 | 16.98 | 14.36 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.12 | 0.83 | ||
2050 | 16.98 | 14.36 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.12 | 0.83 | ||
2051 | 16.98 | 14.37 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.12 | 0.82 | ||
2052 | 17.00 | 14.37 | -2.63 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.12 | 0.81 | ||
2053 | 17.01 | 14.37 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.13 | 0.80 | ||
2054 | 17.04 | 14.38 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.13 | 0.79 | ||
2055 | 17.07 | 14.38 | -2.68 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.13 | 0.79 | ||
2056 | 17.10 | 14.39 | -2.71 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.14 | 0.78 | ||
2057 | 17.13 | 14.39 | -2.74 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.14 | 0.77 | ||
2058 | 17.16 | 14.40 | -2.76 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.14 | 0.77 | ||
2059 | 17.18 | 14.40 | -2.78 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.15 | 0.76 | ||
2060 | 17.20 | 14.41 | -2.79 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.15 | 0.76 | ||
2061 | 17.21 | 14.41 | -2.80 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.15 | 0.75 | ||
2062 | 17.23 | 14.42 | -2.82 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.15 | 0.75 | ||
2063 | 17.25 | 14.42 | -2.83 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.16 | 0.74 | ||
2064 | 17.27 | 14.42 | -2.85 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.16 | 0.74 | ||
2065 | 17.29 | 14.43 | -2.87 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.16 | 0.74 | ||
2066 | 17.32 | 14.43 | -2.89 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.16 | 0.73 | ||
2067 | 17.35 | 14.43 | -2.91 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.17 | 0.73 | ||
2068 | 17.38 | 14.44 | -2.94 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.17 | 0.73 | ||
2069 | 17.42 | 14.44 | -2.97 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.17 | 0.73 | ||
2070 | 17.45 | 14.45 | -3.00 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.17 | 0.72 | ||
2071 | 17.49 | 14.45 | -3.04 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.18 | 0.72 | ||
2072 | 17.52 | 14.46 | -3.07 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.18 | 0.72 | ||
2073 | 17.57 | 14.46 | -3.10 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.18 | 0.72 | ||
2074 | 17.61 | 14.46 | -3.14 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.18 | 0.72 | ||
2075 | 17.65 | 14.47 | -3.18 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.18 | 0.72 | ||
2076 | 17.68 | 14.47 | -3.21 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.18 | 0.71 | ||
2077 | 17.72 | 14.48 | -3.25 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.19 | 0.71 | ||
2078 | 17.76 | 14.48 | -3.28 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.19 | 0.71 | ||
2079 | 17.80 | 14.49 | -3.32 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.19 | 0.71 | ||
2080 | 17.84 | 14.49 | -3.35 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.19 | 0.71 | ||
2081 | 17.88 | 14.49 | -3.39 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.19 | 0.71 | ||
2082 | 17.92 | 14.50 | -3.42 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.19 | 0.71 | ||
2083 | 17.96 | 14.50 | -3.46 | ---- | 0.49 | 1.20 | 0.71 | ||
2084 | 18.01 | 14.51 | -3.50 | ---- | 0.49 | 1.20 | 0.71 | ||
2085 | 18.04 | 14.51 | -3.53 | ---- | 0.49 | 1.20 | 0.71 | ||
2086 | 18.08 | 14.51 | -3.57 | ---- | 0.49 | 1.20 | 0.71 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 16.47% | 15.06% | -1.41% | 2045 | 0.22% | 1.03% | 0.81% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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