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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 13.10 | -0.13 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.24 | 0.24 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 13.33 | 0.15 | 342 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 | ||
2014 | 13.18 | 13.59 | 0.41 | 339 | 0.00 | 0.67 | 0.67 | ||
2015 | 13.25 | 13.80 | 0.55 | 338 | 0.00 | 0.86 | 0.86 | ||
2016 | 13.33 | 13.99 | 0.67 | 337 | 0.00 | 1.02 | 1.02 | ||
2017 | 13.46 | 14.18 | 0.71 | 337 | 0.00 | 1.18 | 1.17 | ||
2018 | 13.62 | 14.35 | 0.73 | 337 | 0.00 | 1.32 | 1.31 | ||
2019 | 13.89 | 14.49 | 0.60 | 335 | 0.01 | 1.45 | 1.44 | ||
2020 | 14.20 | 14.64 | 0.44 | 333 | 0.01 | 1.58 | 1.57 | ||
2021 | 14.53 | 14.77 | 0.24 | 331 | 0.01 | 1.69 | 1.67 | ||
2022 | 14.84 | 14.79 | -0.05 | 328 | 0.02 | 1.69 | 1.68 | ||
2023 | 15.15 | 14.81 | -0.33 | 324 | 0.02 | 1.70 | 1.68 | ||
2024 | 15.43 | 14.83 | -0.60 | 319 | 0.02 | 1.70 | 1.67 | ||
2025 | 15.70 | 14.85 | -0.86 | 314 | 0.03 | 1.70 | 1.67 | ||
2026 | 15.96 | 14.86 | -1.10 | 308 | 0.04 | 1.70 | 1.66 | ||
2027 | 16.19 | 14.88 | -1.31 | 301 | 0.04 | 1.70 | 1.66 | ||
2028 | 16.40 | 14.89 | -1.50 | 293 | 0.05 | 1.70 | 1.65 | ||
2029 | 16.58 | 14.91 | -1.67 | 285 | 0.06 | 1.70 | 1.65 | ||
2030 | 16.72 | 14.92 | -1.81 | 276 | 0.07 | 1.71 | 1.64 | ||
2031 | 16.84 | 14.93 | -1.91 | 267 | 0.08 | 1.71 | 1.63 | ||
2032 | 16.94 | 14.94 | -2.00 | 257 | 0.08 | 1.71 | 1.63 | ||
2033 | 17.02 | 14.95 | -2.08 | 248 | 0.09 | 1.71 | 1.62 | ||
2034 | 17.08 | 14.95 | -2.13 | 238 | 0.10 | 1.71 | 1.61 | ||
2035 | 17.12 | 14.96 | -2.17 | 228 | 0.11 | 1.72 | 1.60 | ||
2036 | 17.15 | 14.96 | -2.19 | 218 | 0.12 | 1.72 | 1.60 | ||
2037 | 17.17 | 14.97 | -2.20 | 208 | 0.13 | 1.72 | 1.59 | ||
2038 | 17.16 | 14.97 | -2.19 | 198 | 0.14 | 1.72 | 1.58 | ||
2039 | 17.14 | 14.97 | -2.17 | 188 | 0.15 | 1.72 | 1.58 | ||
2040 | 17.11 | 14.97 | -2.14 | 178 | 0.16 | 1.73 | 1.57 | ||
2041 | 17.08 | 14.97 | -2.10 | 168 | 0.17 | 1.73 | 1.56 | ||
2042 | 17.05 | 14.98 | -2.07 | 158 | 0.18 | 1.73 | 1.55 | ||
2043 | 17.02 | 14.98 | -2.05 | 148 | 0.19 | 1.73 | 1.55 | ||
2044 | 17.01 | 14.98 | -2.03 | 139 | 0.20 | 1.73 | 1.54 | ||
2045 | 16.99 | 14.98 | -2.01 | 129 | 0.21 | 1.74 | 1.53 | ||
2046 | 16.97 | 14.98 | -1.99 | 119 | 0.22 | 1.74 | 1.52 | ||
2047 | 16.96 | 14.98 | -1.98 | 109 | 0.22 | 1.74 | 1.52 | ||
2048 | 16.95 | 14.99 | -1.97 | 99 | 0.23 | 1.74 | 1.51 | ||
2049 | 16.95 | 14.99 | -1.96 | 89 | 0.24 | 1.75 | 1.50 | ||
2050 | 16.94 | 14.99 | -1.95 | 79 | 0.25 | 1.75 | 1.49 | ||
2051 | 16.94 | 15.00 | -1.95 | 69 | 0.26 | 1.75 | 1.49 | ||
2052 | 16.95 | 15.00 | -1.96 | 58 | 0.27 | 1.75 | 1.48 | ||
2053 | 16.97 | 15.00 | -1.97 | 48 | 0.28 | 1.76 | 1.47 | ||
2054 | 16.99 | 15.01 | -1.99 | 37 | 0.29 | 1.76 | 1.47 | ||
2055 | 17.02 | 15.01 | -2.01 | 26 | 0.30 | 1.76 | 1.46 | ||
2056 | 17.05 | 15.02 | -2.04 | 15 | 0.31 | 1.76 | 1.45 | ||
2057 | 17.08 | 15.02 | -2.06 | 4 | 0.32 | 1.77 | 1.45 | ||
2058 | 17.11 | 15.03 | -2.08 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.77 | 1.44 | ||
2059 | 17.13 | 15.03 | -2.10 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.77 | 1.44 | ||
2060 | 17.15 | 15.03 | -2.11 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.78 | 1.43 | ||
2061 | 17.17 | 15.04 | -2.13 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.78 | 1.43 | ||
2062 | 17.18 | 15.04 | -2.14 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.78 | 1.42 | ||
2063 | 17.20 | 15.05 | -2.16 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.78 | 1.42 | ||
2064 | 17.22 | 15.05 | -2.17 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.79 | 1.42 | ||
2065 | 17.24 | 15.05 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.79 | 1.41 | ||
2066 | 17.27 | 15.06 | -2.21 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.79 | 1.41 | ||
2067 | 17.30 | 15.06 | -2.24 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.79 | 1.41 | ||
2068 | 17.33 | 15.07 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.80 | 1.40 | ||
2069 | 17.37 | 15.07 | -2.30 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.80 | 1.40 | ||
2070 | 17.40 | 15.07 | -2.33 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.80 | 1.40 | ||
2071 | 17.44 | 15.08 | -2.36 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.80 | 1.40 | ||
2072 | 17.47 | 15.08 | -2.39 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.80 | 1.40 | ||
2073 | 17.52 | 15.09 | -2.43 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.81 | 1.40 | ||
2074 | 17.56 | 15.09 | -2.46 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.81 | 1.39 | ||
2075 | 17.60 | 15.10 | -2.50 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.81 | 1.39 | ||
2076 | 17.63 | 15.10 | -2.53 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.81 | 1.39 | ||
2077 | 17.67 | 15.10 | -2.57 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.81 | 1.39 | ||
2078 | 17.71 | 15.11 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.82 | 1.39 | ||
2079 | 17.75 | 15.11 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.82 | 1.39 | ||
2080 | 17.79 | 15.12 | -2.67 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.82 | 1.39 | ||
2081 | 17.83 | 15.12 | -2.71 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.82 | 1.39 | ||
2082 | 17.87 | 15.13 | -2.75 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.82 | 1.39 | ||
2083 | 17.92 | 15.13 | -2.78 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.82 | 1.39 | ||
2084 | 17.96 | 15.14 | -2.82 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.83 | 1.39 | ||
2085 | 18.00 | 15.14 | -2.86 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.83 | 1.39 | ||
2086 | 18.04 | 15.14 | -2.89 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.83 | 1.39 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 16.44% | 15.62% | -0.82% | 2057 | 0.19% | 1.60% | 1.41% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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