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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 12.87 | -0.31 | 341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.18 | 12.92 | -0.27 | 334 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.24 | 12.94 | -0.30 | 328 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.32 | 12.97 | -0.35 | 321 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2017 | 13.45 | 13.00 | -0.45 | 314 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2018 | 13.59 | 13.03 | -0.56 | 306 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2019 | 13.84 | 13.04 | -0.80 | 297 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 13.06 | -1.07 | 286 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2021 | 14.43 | 13.08 | -1.35 | 275 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.09 | ||
2022 | 14.71 | 13.09 | -1.61 | 262 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2023 | 14.97 | 13.11 | -1.86 | 250 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2024 | 15.21 | 13.12 | -2.09 | 236 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2025 | 15.44 | 13.14 | -2.30 | 222 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2026 | 15.64 | 13.15 | -2.49 | 208 | -0.28 | -0.02 | 0.27 | ||
2027 | 15.81 | 13.16 | -2.65 | 193 | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
2028 | 15.96 | 13.17 | -2.79 | 177 | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2029 | 16.08 | 13.18 | -2.90 | 161 | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
2030 | 16.16 | 13.18 | -2.98 | 145 | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
2031 | 16.21 | 13.19 | -3.02 | 128 | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
2032 | 16.24 | 13.19 | -3.05 | 111 | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2033 | 16.25 | 13.20 | -3.06 | 94 | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2034 | 16.24 | 13.20 | -3.05 | 77 | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2035 | 16.21 | 13.20 | -3.01 | 59 | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2036 | 16.17 | 13.20 | -2.97 | 42 | -0.87 | -0.05 | 0.82 | ||
2037 | 16.11 | 13.20 | -2.91 | 25 | -0.93 | -0.05 | 0.88 | ||
2038 | 16.02 | 13.19 | -2.83 | 7 | -1.00 | -0.06 | 0.94 | ||
2039 | 15.92 | 13.19 | -2.73 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2040 | 15.82 | 13.19 | -2.64 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2041 | 15.71 | 13.18 | -2.53 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.07 | 1.13 | ||
2042 | 15.61 | 13.18 | -2.43 | ---- | -1.27 | -0.07 | 1.19 | ||
2043 | 15.50 | 13.17 | -2.33 | ---- | -1.33 | -0.07 | 1.26 | ||
2044 | 15.41 | 13.17 | -2.24 | ---- | -1.40 | -0.08 | 1.33 | ||
2045 | 15.31 | 13.16 | -2.15 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.08 | 1.39 | ||
2046 | 15.22 | 13.16 | -2.06 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.09 | 1.46 | ||
2047 | 15.13 | 13.15 | -1.97 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.09 | 1.52 | ||
2048 | 15.04 | 13.15 | -1.89 | ---- | -1.68 | -0.09 | 1.59 | ||
2049 | 14.95 | 13.15 | -1.80 | ---- | -1.75 | -0.10 | 1.65 | ||
2050 | 14.86 | 13.14 | -1.72 | ---- | -1.82 | -0.10 | 1.72 | ||
2051 | 14.79 | 13.14 | -1.65 | ---- | -1.89 | -0.11 | 1.78 | ||
2052 | 14.72 | 13.13 | -1.59 | ---- | -1.96 | -0.11 | 1.85 | ||
2053 | 14.66 | 13.13 | -1.53 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.11 | 1.91 | ||
2054 | 14.60 | 13.13 | -1.47 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.12 | 1.98 | ||
2055 | 14.55 | 13.13 | -1.42 | ---- | -2.17 | -0.12 | 2.05 | ||
2056 | 14.50 | 13.13 | -1.38 | ---- | -2.24 | -0.13 | 2.11 | ||
2057 | 14.45 | 13.12 | -1.33 | ---- | -2.31 | -0.13 | 2.18 | ||
2058 | 14.40 | 13.12 | -1.28 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.14 | 2.24 | ||
2059 | 14.35 | 13.12 | -1.23 | ---- | -2.45 | -0.14 | 2.31 | ||
2060 | 14.29 | 13.12 | -1.18 | ---- | -2.51 | -0.14 | 2.37 | ||
2061 | 14.24 | 13.11 | -1.13 | ---- | -2.57 | -0.15 | 2.43 | ||
2062 | 14.19 | 13.11 | -1.08 | ---- | -2.64 | -0.15 | 2.49 | ||
2063 | 14.14 | 13.11 | -1.03 | ---- | -2.70 | -0.15 | 2.55 | ||
2064 | 14.09 | 13.11 | -0.98 | ---- | -2.76 | -0.16 | 2.60 | ||
2065 | 14.05 | 13.10 | -0.94 | ---- | -2.82 | -0.16 | 2.66 | ||
2066 | 14.01 | 13.10 | -0.90 | ---- | -2.88 | -0.16 | 2.72 | ||
2067 | 13.97 | 13.10 | -0.87 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.17 | 2.77 | ||
2068 | 13.94 | 13.10 | -0.84 | ---- | -3.00 | -0.17 | 2.83 | ||
2069 | 13.91 | 13.10 | -0.81 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.17 | 2.88 | ||
2070 | 13.89 | 13.10 | -0.79 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.18 | 2.94 | ||
2071 | 13.87 | 13.10 | -0.77 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.18 | 2.98 | ||
2072 | 13.85 | 13.09 | -0.76 | ---- | -3.22 | -0.18 | 3.03 | ||
2073 | 13.84 | 13.09 | -0.75 | ---- | -3.26 | -0.19 | 3.08 | ||
2074 | 13.83 | 13.09 | -0.74 | ---- | -3.31 | -0.19 | 3.12 | ||
2075 | 13.82 | 13.09 | -0.73 | ---- | -3.35 | -0.19 | 3.16 | ||
2076 | 13.82 | 13.09 | -0.72 | ---- | -3.40 | -0.19 | 3.20 | ||
2077 | 13.82 | 13.09 | -0.72 | ---- | -3.43 | -0.20 | 3.24 | ||
2078 | 13.82 | 13.09 | -0.72 | ---- | -3.47 | -0.20 | 3.27 | ||
2079 | 13.82 | 13.09 | -0.72 | ---- | -3.50 | -0.20 | 3.30 | ||
2080 | 13.82 | 13.10 | -0.73 | ---- | -3.54 | -0.20 | 3.33 | ||
2081 | 13.83 | 13.10 | -0.74 | ---- | -3.57 | -0.21 | 3.36 | ||
2082 | 13.84 | 13.10 | -0.74 | ---- | -3.60 | -0.21 | 3.39 | ||
2083 | 13.85 | 13.10 | -0.76 | ---- | -3.62 | -0.21 | 3.42 | ||
2084 | 13.87 | 13.10 | -0.77 | ---- | -3.65 | -0.21 | 3.44 | ||
2085 | 13.88 | 13.10 | -0.78 | ---- | -3.67 | -0.21 | 3.46 | ||
2086 | 13.90 | 13.10 | -0.80 | ---- | -3.69 | -0.21 | 3.48 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 14.81% | 13.94% | -0.87% | 2038 | -1.44% | -0.08% | 1.36% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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