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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 12.87 | -0.31 | 341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.18 | 12.92 | -0.27 | 334 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.24 | 12.94 | -0.30 | 328 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.32 | 12.97 | -0.35 | 321 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.45 | 13.00 | -0.45 | 314 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2018 | 13.59 | 13.03 | -0.57 | 306 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2019 | 13.84 | 13.04 | -0.80 | 297 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2020 | 14.14 | 13.06 | -1.08 | 286 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2021 | 14.44 | 13.08 | -1.36 | 274 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2022 | 14.71 | 13.09 | -1.62 | 262 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2023 | 14.97 | 13.11 | -1.86 | 249 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2024 | 15.21 | 13.12 | -2.09 | 236 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2025 | 15.43 | 13.14 | -2.29 | 222 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2026 | 15.63 | 13.15 | -2.48 | 208 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
2027 | 15.79 | 13.16 | -2.63 | 193 | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2028 | 15.93 | 13.17 | -2.76 | 178 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
2029 | 16.04 | 13.18 | -2.86 | 162 | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
2030 | 16.11 | 13.18 | -2.93 | 146 | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
2031 | 16.14 | 13.19 | -2.96 | 129 | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2032 | 16.16 | 13.19 | -2.97 | 113 | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2033 | 16.16 | 13.19 | -2.97 | 96 | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2034 | 16.13 | 13.19 | -2.94 | 80 | -0.85 | -0.05 | 0.80 | ||
2035 | 16.08 | 13.19 | -2.89 | 63 | -0.93 | -0.05 | 0.88 | ||
2036 | 16.02 | 13.19 | -2.83 | 46 | -1.02 | -0.06 | 0.96 | ||
2037 | 15.94 | 13.19 | -2.75 | 30 | -1.10 | -0.06 | 1.04 | ||
2038 | 15.83 | 13.18 | -2.65 | 13 | -1.19 | -0.07 | 1.12 | ||
2039 | 15.72 | 13.18 | -2.54 | ---- | -1.27 | -0.07 | 1.20 | ||
2040 | 15.60 | 13.17 | -2.42 | ---- | -1.36 | -0.08 | 1.28 | ||
2041 | 15.47 | 13.17 | -2.30 | ---- | -1.44 | -0.08 | 1.36 | ||
2042 | 15.34 | 13.16 | -2.18 | ---- | -1.53 | -0.09 | 1.45 | ||
2043 | 15.21 | 13.15 | -2.06 | ---- | -1.63 | -0.09 | 1.54 | ||
2044 | 15.09 | 13.15 | -1.94 | ---- | -1.72 | -0.10 | 1.62 | ||
2045 | 14.97 | 13.14 | -1.83 | ---- | -1.81 | -0.10 | 1.71 | ||
2046 | 14.85 | 13.14 | -1.71 | ---- | -1.91 | -0.11 | 1.80 | ||
2047 | 14.74 | 13.13 | -1.61 | ---- | -2.00 | -0.11 | 1.89 | ||
2048 | 14.63 | 13.13 | -1.50 | ---- | -2.09 | -0.12 | 1.98 | ||
2049 | 14.52 | 13.12 | -1.40 | ---- | -2.18 | -0.12 | 2.06 | ||
2050 | 14.42 | 13.12 | -1.30 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.13 | 2.14 | ||
2051 | 14.33 | 13.11 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.35 | -0.13 | 2.21 | ||
2052 | 14.26 | 13.11 | -1.15 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.14 | 2.29 | ||
2053 | 14.19 | 13.11 | -1.09 | ---- | -2.50 | -0.14 | 2.35 | ||
2054 | 14.14 | 13.10 | -1.03 | ---- | -2.56 | -0.15 | 2.42 | ||
2055 | 14.09 | 13.10 | -0.99 | ---- | -2.63 | -0.15 | 2.48 | ||
2056 | 14.05 | 13.10 | -0.95 | ---- | -2.69 | -0.15 | 2.54 | ||
2057 | 14.01 | 13.10 | -0.92 | ---- | -2.75 | -0.16 | 2.59 | ||
2058 | 13.98 | 13.10 | -0.88 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.16 | 2.64 | ||
2059 | 13.95 | 13.10 | -0.85 | ---- | -2.85 | -0.16 | 2.69 | ||
2060 | 13.91 | 13.09 | -0.82 | ---- | -2.89 | -0.16 | 2.72 | ||
2061 | 13.89 | 13.09 | -0.79 | ---- | -2.93 | -0.17 | 2.76 | ||
2062 | 13.86 | 13.09 | -0.77 | ---- | -2.96 | -0.17 | 2.79 | ||
2063 | 13.85 | 13.09 | -0.76 | ---- | -2.99 | -0.17 | 2.82 | ||
2064 | 13.83 | 13.09 | -0.74 | ---- | -3.02 | -0.17 | 2.84 | ||
2065 | 13.83 | 13.09 | -0.74 | ---- | -3.04 | -0.17 | 2.87 | ||
2066 | 13.83 | 13.09 | -0.73 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.18 | 2.89 | ||
2067 | 13.83 | 13.09 | -0.74 | ---- | -3.08 | -0.18 | 2.91 | ||
2068 | 13.84 | 13.09 | -0.74 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.18 | 2.93 | ||
2069 | 13.85 | 13.09 | -0.76 | ---- | -3.12 | -0.18 | 2.94 | ||
2070 | 13.87 | 13.10 | -0.77 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.18 | 2.96 | ||
2071 | 13.88 | 13.10 | -0.79 | ---- | -3.15 | -0.18 | 2.97 | ||
2072 | 13.90 | 13.10 | -0.80 | ---- | -3.16 | -0.18 | 2.98 | ||
2073 | 13.93 | 13.10 | -0.83 | ---- | -3.18 | -0.18 | 3.00 | ||
2074 | 13.95 | 13.10 | -0.85 | ---- | -3.19 | -0.18 | 3.01 | ||
2075 | 13.98 | 13.10 | -0.88 | ---- | -3.20 | -0.18 | 3.02 | ||
2076 | 14.00 | 13.10 | -0.90 | ---- | -3.21 | -0.18 | 3.03 | ||
2077 | 14.03 | 13.11 | -0.92 | ---- | -3.22 | -0.18 | 3.03 | ||
2078 | 14.06 | 13.11 | -0.95 | ---- | -3.23 | -0.19 | 3.04 | ||
2079 | 14.09 | 13.11 | -0.98 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.05 | ||
2080 | 14.11 | 13.11 | -1.00 | ---- | -3.25 | -0.19 | 3.06 | ||
2081 | 14.14 | 13.11 | -1.03 | ---- | -3.26 | -0.19 | 3.07 | ||
2082 | 14.17 | 13.12 | -1.06 | ---- | -3.26 | -0.19 | 3.08 | ||
2083 | 14.21 | 13.12 | -1.09 | ---- | -3.27 | -0.19 | 3.08 | ||
2084 | 14.24 | 13.12 | -1.12 | ---- | -3.28 | -0.19 | 3.09 | ||
2085 | 14.27 | 13.12 | -1.14 | ---- | -3.29 | -0.19 | 3.10 | ||
2086 | 14.29 | 13.12 | -1.17 | ---- | -3.30 | -0.19 | 3.11 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 14.70% | 13.94% | -0.76% | 2038 | -1.55% | -0.09% | 1.46% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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