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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
|||
2011 | 13.35 | 12.52 | -0.82 | 353 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2012 | 13.23 | 12.87 | -0.36 | 347 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.18 | 12.87 | -0.31 | 341 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.18 | 12.92 | -0.27 | 334 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.24 | 12.94 | -0.30 | 328 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.32 | 12.97 | -0.35 | 321 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.46 | 13.00 | -0.46 | 314 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.61 | 13.03 | -0.59 | 306 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.87 | 13.04 | -0.83 | 296 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2020 | 14.18 | 13.06 | -1.12 | 285 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2021 | 14.49 | 13.08 | -1.42 | 273 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2022 | 14.79 | 13.10 | -1.69 | 260 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2023 | 15.06 | 13.11 | -1.95 | 246 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2024 | 15.31 | 13.13 | -2.18 | 232 | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
2025 | 15.54 | 13.14 | -2.40 | 218 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2026 | 15.75 | 13.15 | -2.59 | 203 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2027 | 15.92 | 13.16 | -2.75 | 187 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2028 | 16.06 | 13.17 | -2.88 | 171 | -0.29 | -0.02 | 0.27 | ||
2029 | 16.16 | 13.18 | -2.98 | 155 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2030 | 16.23 | 13.19 | -3.04 | 138 | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2031 | 16.26 | 13.19 | -3.07 | 121 | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
2032 | 16.27 | 13.19 | -3.07 | 104 | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2033 | 16.25 | 13.20 | -3.06 | 87 | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2034 | 16.21 | 13.20 | -3.02 | 70 | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2035 | 16.15 | 13.19 | -2.96 | 53 | -0.86 | -0.05 | 0.81 | ||
2036 | 16.07 | 13.19 | -2.88 | 36 | -0.96 | -0.05 | 0.91 | ||
2037 | 15.98 | 13.19 | -2.79 | 19 | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2038 | 15.85 | 13.18 | -2.67 | 2 | -1.17 | -0.06 | 1.10 | ||
2039 | 15.71 | 13.18 | -2.54 | ---- | -1.28 | -0.07 | 1.20 | ||
2040 | 15.57 | 13.17 | -2.40 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.08 | 1.31 | ||
2041 | 15.42 | 13.16 | -2.25 | ---- | -1.50 | -0.08 | 1.41 | ||
2042 | 15.26 | 13.16 | -2.10 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.09 | 1.52 | ||
2043 | 15.11 | 13.15 | -1.96 | ---- | -1.73 | -0.10 | 1.64 | ||
2044 | 14.96 | 13.14 | -1.81 | ---- | -1.86 | -0.10 | 1.75 | ||
2045 | 14.80 | 13.13 | -1.67 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.11 | 1.87 | ||
2046 | 14.65 | 13.13 | -1.52 | ---- | -2.11 | -0.12 | 1.99 | ||
2047 | 14.49 | 13.12 | -1.38 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.13 | 2.12 | ||
2048 | 14.34 | 13.11 | -1.23 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.13 | 2.25 | ||
2049 | 14.19 | 13.10 | -1.09 | ---- | -2.51 | -0.14 | 2.37 | ||
2050 | 14.04 | 13.09 | -0.94 | ---- | -2.65 | -0.15 | 2.50 | ||
2051 | 13.90 | 13.09 | -0.81 | ---- | -2.78 | -0.16 | 2.63 | ||
2052 | 13.76 | 13.08 | -0.68 | ---- | -2.92 | -0.17 | 2.75 | ||
2053 | 13.63 | 13.07 | -0.56 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.17 | 2.88 | ||
2054 | 13.51 | 13.07 | -0.44 | ---- | -3.19 | -0.18 | 3.01 | ||
2055 | 13.39 | 13.06 | -0.33 | ---- | -3.33 | -0.19 | 3.14 | ||
2056 | 13.27 | 13.06 | -0.22 | ---- | -3.47 | -0.20 | 3.27 | ||
2057 | 13.16 | 13.05 | -0.11 | ---- | -3.60 | -0.20 | 3.40 | ||
2058 | 13.05 | 13.04 | 0.00 | ---- | -3.73 | -0.21 | 3.52 | ||
2059 | 12.93 | 13.04 | 0.10 | ---- | -3.86 | -0.22 | 3.64 | ||
2060 | 12.83 | 13.03 | 0.21 | ---- | -3.98 | -0.23 | 3.75 | ||
2061 | 12.72 | 13.03 | 0.31 | ---- | -4.09 | -0.23 | 3.86 | ||
2062 | 12.62 | 13.02 | 0.40 | ---- | -4.20 | -0.24 | 3.96 | ||
2063 | 12.53 | 13.02 | 0.48 | ---- | -4.30 | -0.25 | 4.06 | ||
2064 | 12.45 | 13.01 | 0.56 | ---- | -4.40 | -0.25 | 4.15 | ||
2065 | 12.38 | 13.01 | 0.63 | ---- | -4.49 | -0.26 | 4.23 | ||
2066 | 12.31 | 13.01 | 0.69 | ---- | -4.58 | -0.26 | 4.32 | ||
2067 | 12.25 | 13.00 | 0.75 | ---- | -4.66 | -0.27 | 4.39 | ||
2068 | 12.20 | 13.00 | 0.80 | ---- | -4.74 | -0.27 | 4.47 | ||
2069 | 12.16 | 13.00 | 0.84 | ---- | -4.81 | -0.28 | 4.54 | ||
2070 | 12.12 | 13.00 | 0.87 | ---- | -4.88 | -0.28 | 4.60 | ||
2071 | 12.09 | 12.99 | 0.91 | ---- | -4.95 | -0.28 | 4.66 | ||
2072 | 12.06 | 12.99 | 0.93 | ---- | -5.01 | -0.29 | 4.72 | ||
2073 | 12.04 | 12.99 | 0.95 | ---- | -5.07 | -0.29 | 4.77 | ||
2074 | 12.02 | 12.99 | 0.97 | ---- | -5.12 | -0.29 | 4.83 | ||
2075 | 12.01 | 12.99 | 0.98 | ---- | -5.17 | -0.30 | 4.87 | ||
2076 | 12.00 | 12.99 | 0.99 | ---- | -5.22 | -0.30 | 4.92 | ||
2077 | 11.99 | 12.99 | 1.00 | ---- | -5.26 | -0.30 | 4.96 | ||
2078 | 11.99 | 12.99 | 1.00 | ---- | -5.30 | -0.30 | 5.00 | ||
2079 | 11.99 | 12.99 | 1.00 | ---- | -5.34 | -0.31 | 5.03 | ||
2080 | 11.99 | 12.99 | 1.00 | ---- | -5.37 | -0.31 | 5.06 | ||
2081 | 12.00 | 12.99 | 0.99 | ---- | -5.40 | -0.31 | 5.09 | ||
2082 | 12.01 | 12.99 | 0.98 | ---- | -5.43 | -0.31 | 5.12 | ||
2083 | 12.02 | 12.99 | 0.97 | ---- | -5.46 | -0.31 | 5.14 | ||
2084 | 12.03 | 12.99 | 0.96 | ---- | -5.48 | -0.32 | 5.17 | ||
2085 | 12.05 | 12.99 | 0.95 | ---- | -5.51 | -0.32 | 5.19 | ||
2086 | 12.06 | 13.00 | 0.93 | ---- | -5.53 | -0.32 | 5.21 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of exhaustion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2011 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2011-2085 | 14.16% | 13.91% | -0.26% | 2038 | -2.08% | -0.12% | 1.97% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of exhaustion
is 2036. |
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