Proposed Provision: After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, index the NRA to maintain a constant ratio of expected retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2 years. Also, increase the earliest eligibility age (EEA) by the same amount as the NRA starting for those age 62 in 2022 so as to maintain a 5 year difference between the two ages. Include a hardship exemption with no EEA/NRA change for a worker with 25 years of earnings (with 4 quarters of coverage each), and average indexed monthly earnings (AIME) less than 250 percent of the poverty level (wage-indexed from 2011). The hardship exemption is phased out for those with AIME above 400 percent of the poverty level.
OASDI Trust Fund Ratio
(assets as a percentage of annual expenditures)
Year |
Present Law |
Provision |
2012 | 340 | 340 |
2013 | 329 | 329 |
2014 | 315 | 315 |
2015 | 302 | 302 |
2016 | 290 | 290 |
2017 | 277 | 277 |
2018 | 265 | 265 |
2019 | 253 | 253 |
2020 | 240 | 240 |
2021 | 227 | 227 |
2022 | 212 | 212 |
2023 | 197 | 197 |
2024 | 181 | 181 |
2025 | 164 | 165 |
2026 | 147 | 148 |
2027 | 129 | 130 |
2028 | 110 | 111 |
2029 | 90 | 92 |
2030 | 70 | 72 |
2031 | 49 | 51 |
2032 | 27 | 29 |
2033 | 5 | 8 |
2034 | -18 | -15 |
2035 | -41 | -38 |
2036 | -65 | -61 |
2037 | -89 | -84 |
2038 | -114 | -108 |
2039 | -138 | -132 |
2040 | -163 | -156 |
2041 | -189 | -181 |
2042 | -215 | -206 |
2043 | -240 | -230 |
2044 | -266 | -255 |
2045 | -292 | -280 |
2046 | -319 | -306 |
2047 | -346 | -331 |
2048 | -373 | -357 |
2049 | -400 | -383 |
2050 | -428 | -409 |
2051 | -456 | -436 |
2052 | -484 | -462 |
2053 | -512 | -488 |
2054 | -540 | -515 |
2055 | -569 | -541 |
2056 | -598 | -568 |
2057 | -628 | -595 |
2058 | -657 | -623 |
2059 | -688 | -651 |
2060 | -719 | -679 |
2061 | -750 | -708 |
2062 | -782 | -737 |
2063 | -814 | -767 |
2064 | -847 | -797 |
2065 | -880 | -827 |
2066 | -913 | -857 |
2067 | -946 | -887 |
2068 | -980 | -918 |
2069 | -1014 | -948 |
2070 | -1049 | -980 |
2071 | -1084 | -1011 |
2072 | -1120 | -1043 |
2073 | -1156 | -1076 |
2074 | -1193 | -1109 |
2075 | -1230 | -1143 |
2076 | -1268 | -1176 |
2077 | -1307 | -1211 |
2078 | -1346 | -1247 |
2079 | -1385 | -1283 |
2080 | -1425 | -1319 |
2081 | -1465 | -1357 |
2082 | -1505 | -1395 |
2083 | -1547 | -1432 |
2084 | -1588 | -1468 |
2085 | -1631 | -1505 |
2086 | -1673 | -1540 |
2087 | -1717 | -1576 |
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