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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2012 | 13.83 | 12.89 | -0.93 | 340 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.95 | 12.83 | -1.12 | 329 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.98 | 12.93 | -1.05 | 315 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.96 | 12.95 | -1.01 | 302 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2016 | 13.92 | 12.98 | -0.94 | 290 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 13.01 | -0.88 | 278 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2018 | 13.92 | 13.03 | -0.89 | 267 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2019 | 14.07 | 13.05 | -1.02 | 255 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2020 | 14.29 | 13.07 | -1.22 | 243 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2021 | 14.54 | 13.10 | -1.43 | 230 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2022 | 14.82 | 13.12 | -1.70 | 217 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2023 | 15.09 | 13.14 | -1.96 | 203 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2024 | 15.35 | 13.15 | -2.20 | 188 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2025 | 15.60 | 13.17 | -2.43 | 173 | -0.28 | -0.01 | 0.27 | ||
2026 | 15.82 | 13.18 | -2.64 | 158 | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
2027 | 16.04 | 13.19 | -2.85 | 141 | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2028 | 16.22 | 13.20 | -3.01 | 125 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2029 | 16.37 | 13.22 | -3.16 | 107 | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2030 | 16.51 | 13.22 | -3.28 | 89 | -0.50 | -0.02 | 0.47 | ||
2031 | 16.61 | 13.23 | -3.38 | 70 | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
2032 | 16.68 | 13.24 | -3.45 | 51 | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2033 | 16.73 | 13.24 | -3.49 | 31 | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2034 | 16.75 | 13.24 | -3.50 | 11 | -0.63 | -0.03 | 0.60 | ||
2035 | 16.75 | 13.25 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.03 | 0.63 | ||
2036 | 16.74 | 13.25 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2037 | 16.72 | 13.25 | -3.47 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2038 | 16.68 | 13.25 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.74 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2039 | 16.63 | 13.24 | -3.39 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2040 | 16.57 | 13.24 | -3.33 | ---- | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2041 | 16.51 | 13.24 | -3.28 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2042 | 16.46 | 13.24 | -3.22 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.04 | 0.78 | ||
2043 | 16.40 | 13.23 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.04 | 0.80 | ||
2044 | 16.35 | 13.23 | -3.12 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.04 | 0.82 | ||
2045 | 16.31 | 13.23 | -3.08 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.05 | 0.83 | ||
2046 | 16.27 | 13.23 | -3.04 | ---- | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2047 | 16.23 | 13.23 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.91 | -0.05 | 0.86 | ||
2048 | 16.19 | 13.23 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.92 | -0.05 | 0.87 | ||
2049 | 16.16 | 13.23 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.93 | -0.05 | 0.88 | ||
2050 | 16.14 | 13.22 | -2.91 | ---- | -0.94 | -0.05 | 0.90 | ||
2051 | 16.12 | 13.22 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.96 | -0.05 | 0.90 | ||
2052 | 16.10 | 13.22 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.05 | 0.91 | ||
2053 | 16.10 | 13.22 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.05 | 0.92 | ||
2054 | 16.10 | 13.22 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.98 | -0.05 | 0.93 | ||
2055 | 16.10 | 13.23 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.99 | -0.05 | 0.94 | ||
2056 | 16.11 | 13.23 | -2.88 | ---- | -1.00 | -0.05 | 0.95 | ||
2057 | 16.12 | 13.23 | -2.89 | ---- | -1.00 | -0.05 | 0.95 | ||
2058 | 16.13 | 13.23 | -2.90 | ---- | -1.01 | -0.05 | 0.96 | ||
2059 | 16.13 | 13.23 | -2.90 | ---- | -1.02 | -0.05 | 0.96 | ||
2060 | 16.14 | 13.23 | -2.91 | ---- | -1.02 | -0.05 | 0.97 | ||
2061 | 16.14 | 13.23 | -2.91 | ---- | -1.02 | -0.05 | 0.97 | ||
2062 | 16.14 | 13.23 | -2.91 | ---- | -1.03 | -0.05 | 0.97 | ||
2063 | 16.15 | 13.23 | -2.91 | ---- | -1.03 | -0.05 | 0.97 | ||
2064 | 16.15 | 13.23 | -2.92 | ---- | -1.03 | -0.05 | 0.98 | ||
2065 | 16.16 | 13.23 | -2.93 | ---- | -1.04 | -0.06 | 0.98 | ||
2066 | 16.18 | 13.23 | -2.95 | ---- | -1.04 | -0.06 | 0.98 | ||
2067 | 16.20 | 13.24 | -2.96 | ---- | -1.04 | -0.06 | 0.99 | ||
2068 | 16.22 | 13.24 | -2.98 | ---- | -1.04 | -0.06 | 0.99 | ||
2069 | 16.25 | 13.24 | -3.01 | ---- | -1.05 | -0.06 | 0.99 | ||
2070 | 16.28 | 13.24 | -3.03 | ---- | -1.05 | -0.06 | 0.99 | ||
2071 | 16.30 | 13.24 | -3.06 | ---- | -1.05 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
2072 | 16.32 | 13.24 | -3.08 | ---- | -1.05 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
2073 | 16.35 | 13.25 | -3.10 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
2074 | 16.37 | 13.25 | -3.13 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
2075 | 16.40 | 13.25 | -3.15 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
2076 | 16.42 | 13.25 | -3.17 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2077 | 16.45 | 13.25 | -3.20 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2078 | 16.47 | 13.25 | -3.22 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2079 | 16.50 | 13.26 | -3.25 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2080 | 16.54 | 13.26 | -3.28 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2081 | 16.57 | 13.26 | -3.31 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2082 | 16.60 | 13.26 | -3.34 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.02 | ||
2083 | 16.64 | 13.26 | -3.38 | ---- | -1.08 | -0.06 | 1.02 | ||
2084 | 16.68 | 13.27 | -3.41 | ---- | -1.08 | -0.06 | 1.02 | ||
2085 | 16.71 | 13.27 | -3.44 | ---- | -1.08 | -0.06 | 1.02 | ||
2086 | 16.75 | 13.27 | -3.48 | ---- | -1.08 | -0.06 | 1.02 | ||
2087 | 16.79 | 13.27 | -3.51 | ---- | -1.08 | -0.06 | 1.03 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2012 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2012-2086 | 16.01% | 13.99% | -2.02% | 2034 | -0.68% | -0.04% | 0.64% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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