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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2012 | 13.83 | 12.89 | -0.93 | 340 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.95 | 12.83 | -1.12 | 329 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.98 | 12.93 | -1.05 | 315 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 12.95 | -1.01 | 302 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.94 | 12.98 | -0.96 | 290 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.91 | 13.01 | -0.91 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.96 | 13.03 | -0.93 | 265 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.13 | 13.05 | -1.08 | 253 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.36 | 13.07 | -1.28 | 241 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2021 | 14.61 | 13.10 | -1.51 | 228 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2022 | 14.89 | 13.12 | -1.77 | 214 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2023 | 15.17 | 13.14 | -2.03 | 200 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2024 | 15.42 | 13.15 | -2.26 | 185 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2025 | 15.64 | 13.17 | -2.47 | 170 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2026 | 15.83 | 13.18 | -2.65 | 154 | -0.32 | -0.02 | 0.30 | ||
2027 | 16.01 | 13.19 | -2.82 | 138 | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
2028 | 16.15 | 13.20 | -2.94 | 122 | -0.49 | -0.02 | 0.47 | ||
2029 | 16.25 | 13.21 | -3.04 | 105 | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2030 | 16.32 | 13.22 | -3.11 | 88 | -0.68 | -0.03 | 0.65 | ||
2031 | 16.36 | 13.22 | -3.14 | 70 | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.75 | ||
2032 | 16.36 | 13.22 | -3.14 | 52 | -0.89 | -0.04 | 0.85 | ||
2033 | 16.33 | 13.22 | -3.10 | 34 | -1.00 | -0.05 | 0.95 | ||
2034 | 16.26 | 13.22 | -3.04 | 16 | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2035 | 16.18 | 13.22 | -2.96 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.06 | 1.17 | ||
2036 | 16.08 | 13.21 | -2.86 | ---- | -1.35 | -0.07 | 1.28 | ||
2037 | 15.96 | 13.21 | -2.75 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.07 | 1.40 | ||
2038 | 15.82 | 13.20 | -2.62 | ---- | -1.60 | -0.08 | 1.52 | ||
2039 | 15.67 | 13.20 | -2.47 | ---- | -1.72 | -0.09 | 1.64 | ||
2040 | 15.50 | 13.19 | -2.32 | ---- | -1.85 | -0.09 | 1.76 | ||
2041 | 15.33 | 13.18 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.10 | 1.88 | ||
2042 | 15.16 | 13.17 | -1.99 | ---- | -2.12 | -0.11 | 2.01 | ||
2043 | 14.99 | 13.16 | -1.82 | ---- | -2.26 | -0.12 | 2.14 | ||
2044 | 14.81 | 13.15 | -1.66 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.12 | 2.28 | ||
2045 | 14.64 | 13.14 | -1.50 | ---- | -2.54 | -0.13 | 2.41 | ||
2046 | 14.47 | 13.14 | -1.33 | ---- | -2.69 | -0.14 | 2.55 | ||
2047 | 14.30 | 13.13 | -1.17 | ---- | -2.84 | -0.15 | 2.69 | ||
2048 | 14.13 | 13.12 | -1.01 | ---- | -2.99 | -0.16 | 2.83 | ||
2049 | 13.96 | 13.11 | -0.85 | ---- | -3.13 | -0.16 | 2.97 | ||
2050 | 13.80 | 13.10 | -0.69 | ---- | -3.28 | -0.17 | 3.11 | ||
2051 | 13.64 | 13.09 | -0.55 | ---- | -3.43 | -0.18 | 3.25 | ||
2052 | 13.49 | 13.09 | -0.40 | ---- | -3.58 | -0.19 | 3.39 | ||
2053 | 13.34 | 13.08 | -0.26 | ---- | -3.73 | -0.20 | 3.53 | ||
2054 | 13.20 | 13.07 | -0.13 | ---- | -3.88 | -0.20 | 3.67 | ||
2055 | 13.07 | 13.07 | 0.00 | ---- | -4.03 | -0.21 | 3.81 | ||
2056 | 12.93 | 13.06 | 0.13 | ---- | -4.17 | -0.22 | 3.95 | ||
2057 | 12.81 | 13.05 | 0.25 | ---- | -4.32 | -0.23 | 4.09 | ||
2058 | 12.68 | 13.05 | 0.37 | ---- | -4.46 | -0.24 | 4.22 | ||
2059 | 12.55 | 13.04 | 0.49 | ---- | -4.60 | -0.24 | 4.35 | ||
2060 | 12.42 | 13.03 | 0.61 | ---- | -4.73 | -0.25 | 4.48 | ||
2061 | 12.30 | 13.03 | 0.73 | ---- | -4.87 | -0.26 | 4.61 | ||
2062 | 12.17 | 13.02 | 0.85 | ---- | -5.00 | -0.26 | 4.73 | ||
2063 | 12.05 | 13.01 | 0.96 | ---- | -5.13 | -0.27 | 4.85 | ||
2064 | 11.93 | 13.01 | 1.08 | ---- | -5.25 | -0.28 | 4.98 | ||
2065 | 11.82 | 13.00 | 1.19 | ---- | -5.38 | -0.29 | 5.10 | ||
2066 | 11.71 | 13.00 | 1.29 | ---- | -5.51 | -0.29 | 5.22 | ||
2067 | 11.60 | 12.99 | 1.39 | ---- | -5.64 | -0.30 | 5.34 | ||
2068 | 11.50 | 12.99 | 1.49 | ---- | -5.77 | -0.31 | 5.46 | ||
2069 | 11.40 | 12.98 | 1.58 | ---- | -5.90 | -0.31 | 5.58 | ||
2070 | 11.30 | 12.98 | 1.68 | ---- | -6.03 | -0.32 | 5.71 | ||
2071 | 11.20 | 12.97 | 1.77 | ---- | -6.15 | -0.33 | 5.83 | ||
2072 | 11.10 | 12.97 | 1.87 | ---- | -6.28 | -0.33 | 5.94 | ||
2073 | 11.00 | 12.96 | 1.96 | ---- | -6.40 | -0.34 | 6.06 | ||
2074 | 10.91 | 12.96 | 2.05 | ---- | -6.53 | -0.35 | 6.18 | ||
2075 | 10.81 | 12.95 | 2.14 | ---- | -6.65 | -0.36 | 6.30 | ||
2076 | 10.71 | 12.95 | 2.23 | ---- | -6.77 | -0.36 | 6.41 | ||
2077 | 10.62 | 12.94 | 2.32 | ---- | -6.89 | -0.37 | 6.52 | ||
2078 | 10.53 | 12.94 | 2.41 | ---- | -7.01 | -0.38 | 6.64 | ||
2079 | 10.43 | 12.93 | 2.50 | ---- | -7.14 | -0.38 | 6.76 | ||
2080 | 10.34 | 12.93 | 2.58 | ---- | -7.26 | -0.39 | 6.87 | ||
2081 | 10.26 | 12.92 | 2.67 | ---- | -7.38 | -0.40 | 6.99 | ||
2082 | 10.17 | 12.92 | 2.75 | ---- | -7.51 | -0.40 | 7.10 | ||
2083 | 10.09 | 12.91 | 2.83 | ---- | -7.63 | -0.41 | 7.22 | ||
2084 | 10.00 | 12.91 | 2.91 | ---- | -7.75 | -0.42 | 7.34 | ||
2085 | 9.92 | 12.90 | 2.98 | ---- | -7.87 | -0.42 | 7.45 | ||
2086 | 9.84 | 12.90 | 3.06 | 19 | -7.99 | -0.43 | 7.57 | ||
2087 | 9.76 | 12.90 | 3.14 | 50 | -8.11 | -0.44 | 7.68 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2012 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2012-2086 | 13.92% | 13.88% | -0.04% | 2034 | -2.77% | -0.14% | 2.62% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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