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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive price indexing (40th percentile) of PIA formula factors for individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2020 through 2057: Create a new bend point at the 40th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefit credit for earners at the 40th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 formula factors above the 40th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status. Young survivors (children of deceased workers and surviving spouses with a child in care) are not affected.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201213.8312.89-0.93
340
0.000.000.00
201313.9512.83-1.12
329
0.000.000.00
201413.9812.93-1.05
315
0.000.000.00
201513.9712.95-1.01
302
0.000.000.00
201613.9412.98-0.96
290
0.000.000.00
201713.9113.01-0.91
277
0.000.000.00
201813.9613.03-0.93
265
0.000.000.00
201914.1313.05-1.08
253
0.000.000.00
202014.3713.07-1.30
240
0.000.000.00
202114.6513.11-1.54
227
0.000.000.00
202214.9613.13-1.83
213
-0.010.000.01
202315.2713.14-2.13
197
-0.020.000.02
202415.5613.16-2.40
182
-0.030.000.03
202515.8413.18-2.66
165
-0.050.000.04
202616.0913.19-2.89
148
-0.070.000.06
202716.3213.21-3.12
131
-0.090.000.08
202816.5213.22-3.30
112
-0.12-0.010.11
202916.6913.23-3.46
93
-0.15-0.010.14
203016.8313.24-3.59
74
-0.18-0.010.17
203116.9313.25-3.69
54
-0.21-0.010.20
203217.0013.25-3.75
33
-0.25-0.010.24
203317.0413.26-3.78
11
-0.29-0.020.27
203417.0513.26-3.79
----
-0.33-0.020.31
203517.0413.26-3.78
----
-0.37-0.020.35
203617.0113.26-3.75
----
-0.42-0.020.39
203716.9713.26-3.71
----
-0.46-0.030.44
203816.9113.25-3.66
----
-0.51-0.030.48
203916.8313.25-3.58
----
-0.56-0.030.53
204016.7513.25-3.50
----
-0.61-0.030.57
204116.6613.24-3.42
----
-0.66-0.040.62
204216.5713.24-3.33
----
-0.71-0.040.67
204316.4813.23-3.24
----
-0.77-0.040.72
204416.3913.23-3.16
----
-0.82-0.050.78
204516.3113.23-3.08
----
-0.88-0.050.83
204616.2213.22-3.00
----
-0.94-0.050.89
204716.1413.22-2.92
----
-1.00-0.060.94
204816.0613.21-2.84
----
-1.06-0.061.00
204915.9813.21-2.77
----
-1.12-0.061.05
205015.9013.21-2.70
----
-1.18-0.071.11
205115.8313.20-2.63
----
-1.24-0.071.17
205215.7713.20-2.57
----
-1.30-0.071.22
205315.7113.20-2.52
----
-1.36-0.081.28
205415.6613.20-2.47
----
-1.42-0.081.34
205515.6113.19-2.42
----
-1.48-0.081.39
205615.5713.19-2.38
----
-1.54-0.091.45
205715.5313.19-2.34
----
-1.60-0.091.51
205815.4813.19-2.29
----
-1.66-0.091.56
205915.4413.19-2.25
----
-1.71-0.101.61
206015.3913.18-2.21
----
-1.77-0.101.67
206115.3413.18-2.16
----
-1.82-0.101.71
206215.3013.18-2.12
----
-1.87-0.111.76
206315.2613.18-2.08
----
-1.92-0.111.81
206415.2213.17-2.05
----
-1.96-0.111.85
206515.1913.17-2.02
----
-2.01-0.121.89
206615.1713.17-2.00
----
-2.05-0.121.93
206715.1513.17-1.98
----
-2.09-0.121.97
206815.1413.17-1.97
----
-2.12-0.122.00
206915.1313.17-1.96
----
-2.16-0.122.04
207015.1313.17-1.96
----
-2.19-0.132.07
207115.1313.17-1.96
----
-2.23-0.132.10
207215.1213.17-1.95
----
-2.25-0.132.13
207315.1213.17-1.95
----
-2.28-0.132.15
207415.1313.17-1.95
----
-2.31-0.132.18
207515.1313.17-1.96
----
-2.33-0.132.20
207615.1313.17-1.96
----
-2.35-0.142.22
207715.1413.17-1.97
----
-2.37-0.142.24
207815.1513.17-1.98
----
-2.39-0.142.25
207915.1613.17-1.99
----
-2.41-0.142.27
208015.1813.18-2.00
----
-2.42-0.142.29
208115.2013.18-2.02
----
-2.44-0.142.30
208215.2213.18-2.04
----
-2.45-0.142.31
208315.2513.18-2.07
----
-2.47-0.142.33
208415.2813.18-2.09
----
-2.48-0.142.34
208515.3013.18-2.12
----
-2.49-0.142.35
208615.3313.19-2.15
----
-2.50-0.142.36
208715.3613.19-2.17
----
-2.51-0.142.37



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2012 Trustees Report.
2012-2086 15.73% 13.97% -1.76%
2033
-0.96% -0.05% 0.90%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2033.

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Last reviewed or modified February 20, 2013