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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2012 | 13.83 | 12.89 | -0.93 | 340 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.95 | 12.83 | -1.12 | 329 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.98 | 12.93 | -1.04 | 315 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2015 | 13.95 | 12.95 | -1.00 | 302 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2016 | 13.91 | 12.98 | -0.93 | 290 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2017 | 13.87 | 13.01 | -0.87 | 279 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2018 | 13.90 | 13.03 | -0.86 | 267 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2019 | 14.04 | 13.05 | -0.99 | 256 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.09 | ||
2020 | 14.25 | 13.07 | -1.18 | 244 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2021 | 14.49 | 13.10 | -1.39 | 232 | -0.17 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2022 | 14.76 | 13.12 | -1.64 | 219 | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2023 | 15.02 | 13.13 | -1.89 | 205 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2024 | 15.27 | 13.15 | -2.13 | 191 | -0.32 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
2025 | 15.50 | 13.16 | -2.34 | 176 | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2026 | 15.71 | 13.17 | -2.53 | 162 | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
2027 | 15.90 | 13.19 | -2.71 | 146 | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
2028 | 16.05 | 13.20 | -2.85 | 130 | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
2029 | 16.17 | 13.20 | -2.97 | 114 | -0.66 | -0.03 | 0.63 | ||
2030 | 16.27 | 13.21 | -3.06 | 97 | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2031 | 16.33 | 13.22 | -3.12 | 79 | -0.81 | -0.04 | 0.77 | ||
2032 | 16.36 | 13.22 | -3.14 | 62 | -0.89 | -0.05 | 0.84 | ||
2033 | 16.36 | 13.22 | -3.14 | 43 | -0.97 | -0.05 | 0.92 | ||
2034 | 16.33 | 13.22 | -3.11 | 25 | -1.05 | -0.05 | 0.99 | ||
2035 | 16.28 | 13.22 | -3.06 | 7 | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2036 | 16.22 | 13.22 | -3.00 | ---- | -1.21 | -0.06 | 1.15 | ||
2037 | 16.14 | 13.22 | -2.93 | ---- | -1.29 | -0.07 | 1.22 | ||
2038 | 16.05 | 13.21 | -2.84 | ---- | -1.37 | -0.07 | 1.30 | ||
2039 | 15.94 | 13.21 | -2.73 | ---- | -1.45 | -0.08 | 1.38 | ||
2040 | 15.82 | 13.20 | -2.62 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.08 | 1.45 | ||
2041 | 15.70 | 13.20 | -2.51 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.09 | 1.53 | ||
2042 | 15.58 | 13.19 | -2.39 | ---- | -1.70 | -0.09 | 1.61 | ||
2043 | 15.46 | 13.18 | -2.27 | ---- | -1.79 | -0.09 | 1.69 | ||
2044 | 15.34 | 13.18 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.87 | -0.10 | 1.77 | ||
2045 | 15.23 | 13.17 | -2.06 | ---- | -1.95 | -0.10 | 1.85 | ||
2046 | 15.12 | 13.17 | -1.96 | ---- | -2.04 | -0.11 | 1.93 | ||
2047 | 15.02 | 13.16 | -1.86 | ---- | -2.12 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2048 | 14.92 | 13.16 | -1.76 | ---- | -2.19 | -0.12 | 2.08 | ||
2049 | 14.83 | 13.15 | -1.68 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.12 | 2.15 | ||
2050 | 14.74 | 13.15 | -1.59 | ---- | -2.34 | -0.13 | 2.21 | ||
2051 | 14.67 | 13.15 | -1.52 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.13 | 2.27 | ||
2052 | 14.60 | 13.14 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.46 | -0.13 | 2.33 | ||
2053 | 14.55 | 13.14 | -1.41 | ---- | -2.52 | -0.14 | 2.39 | ||
2054 | 14.50 | 13.14 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.58 | -0.14 | 2.44 | ||
2055 | 14.46 | 13.14 | -1.32 | ---- | -2.63 | -0.14 | 2.49 | ||
2056 | 14.43 | 13.13 | -1.29 | ---- | -2.68 | -0.14 | 2.54 | ||
2057 | 14.40 | 13.13 | -1.26 | ---- | -2.73 | -0.15 | 2.58 | ||
2058 | 14.37 | 13.13 | -1.24 | ---- | -2.77 | -0.15 | 2.62 | ||
2059 | 14.34 | 13.13 | -1.21 | ---- | -2.81 | -0.15 | 2.65 | ||
2060 | 14.32 | 13.13 | -1.19 | ---- | -2.84 | -0.15 | 2.69 | ||
2061 | 14.29 | 13.13 | -1.16 | ---- | -2.87 | -0.16 | 2.71 | ||
2062 | 14.27 | 13.13 | -1.14 | ---- | -2.90 | -0.16 | 2.74 | ||
2063 | 14.25 | 13.13 | -1.13 | ---- | -2.92 | -0.16 | 2.76 | ||
2064 | 14.24 | 13.13 | -1.11 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.16 | 2.78 | ||
2065 | 14.23 | 13.13 | -1.11 | ---- | -2.97 | -0.16 | 2.80 | ||
2066 | 14.23 | 13.13 | -1.11 | ---- | -2.99 | -0.16 | 2.82 | ||
2067 | 14.24 | 13.13 | -1.11 | ---- | -3.00 | -0.16 | 2.84 | ||
2068 | 14.25 | 13.13 | -1.12 | ---- | -3.02 | -0.16 | 2.86 | ||
2069 | 14.26 | 13.13 | -1.13 | ---- | -3.04 | -0.17 | 2.87 | ||
2070 | 14.27 | 13.13 | -1.14 | ---- | -3.05 | -0.17 | 2.88 | ||
2071 | 14.29 | 13.13 | -1.16 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.17 | 2.90 | ||
2072 | 14.30 | 13.13 | -1.17 | ---- | -3.07 | -0.17 | 2.91 | ||
2073 | 14.32 | 13.13 | -1.19 | ---- | -3.08 | -0.17 | 2.92 | ||
2074 | 14.34 | 13.14 | -1.20 | ---- | -3.09 | -0.17 | 2.93 | ||
2075 | 14.36 | 13.14 | -1.22 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.17 | 2.93 | ||
2076 | 14.38 | 13.14 | -1.24 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.17 | 2.94 | ||
2077 | 14.39 | 13.14 | -1.25 | ---- | -3.12 | -0.17 | 2.95 | ||
2078 | 14.42 | 13.14 | -1.27 | ---- | -3.12 | -0.17 | 2.95 | ||
2079 | 14.44 | 13.14 | -1.30 | ---- | -3.13 | -0.17 | 2.96 | ||
2080 | 14.46 | 13.14 | -1.32 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.17 | 2.97 | ||
2081 | 14.49 | 13.15 | -1.35 | ---- | -3.15 | -0.17 | 2.98 | ||
2082 | 14.52 | 13.15 | -1.37 | ---- | -3.16 | -0.17 | 2.98 | ||
2083 | 14.55 | 13.15 | -1.40 | ---- | -3.16 | -0.17 | 2.99 | ||
2084 | 14.58 | 13.15 | -1.43 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.17 | 3.00 | ||
2085 | 14.61 | 13.15 | -1.46 | ---- | -3.18 | -0.17 | 3.01 | ||
2086 | 14.65 | 13.15 | -1.49 | ---- | -3.19 | -0.17 | 3.01 | ||
2087 | 14.68 | 13.16 | -1.52 | ---- | -3.20 | -0.18 | 3.02 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2012 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2012-2086 | 15.04% | 13.93% | -1.10% | 2035 | -1.65% | -0.09% | 1.56% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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