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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2012 | 13.83 | 12.89 | -0.93 | 340 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.95 | 12.83 | -1.12 | 329 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.98 | 12.93 | -1.05 | 315 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 12.95 | -1.01 | 302 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.94 | 12.98 | -0.96 | 290 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.91 | 13.01 | -0.90 | 278 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.95 | 13.03 | -0.92 | 266 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2019 | 14.11 | 13.05 | -1.06 | 254 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2020 | 14.34 | 13.07 | -1.27 | 241 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2021 | 14.60 | 13.10 | -1.50 | 228 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2022 | 14.89 | 13.12 | -1.77 | 214 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2023 | 15.17 | 13.14 | -2.03 | 200 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2024 | 15.44 | 13.15 | -2.29 | 185 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2025 | 15.68 | 13.17 | -2.52 | 169 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2026 | 15.91 | 13.18 | -2.72 | 153 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2027 | 16.11 | 13.19 | -2.92 | 137 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
2028 | 16.28 | 13.21 | -3.07 | 120 | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2029 | 16.41 | 13.21 | -3.20 | 102 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2030 | 16.52 | 13.22 | -3.30 | 84 | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
2031 | 16.59 | 13.23 | -3.36 | 65 | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
2032 | 16.62 | 13.23 | -3.39 | 46 | -0.63 | -0.04 | 0.59 | ||
2033 | 16.62 | 13.23 | -3.39 | 26 | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2034 | 16.60 | 13.23 | -3.37 | 7 | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2035 | 16.55 | 13.23 | -3.32 | ---- | -0.86 | -0.05 | 0.81 | ||
2036 | 16.49 | 13.23 | -3.26 | ---- | -0.94 | -0.05 | 0.89 | ||
2037 | 16.41 | 13.23 | -3.18 | ---- | -1.02 | -0.06 | 0.97 | ||
2038 | 16.31 | 13.22 | -3.09 | ---- | -1.11 | -0.06 | 1.05 | ||
2039 | 16.20 | 13.22 | -2.98 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.07 | 1.13 | ||
2040 | 16.07 | 13.21 | -2.86 | ---- | -1.28 | -0.07 | 1.21 | ||
2041 | 15.95 | 13.20 | -2.74 | ---- | -1.37 | -0.08 | 1.29 | ||
2042 | 15.82 | 13.20 | -2.62 | ---- | -1.46 | -0.08 | 1.38 | ||
2043 | 15.69 | 13.19 | -2.50 | ---- | -1.56 | -0.09 | 1.47 | ||
2044 | 15.56 | 13.18 | -2.38 | ---- | -1.65 | -0.09 | 1.56 | ||
2045 | 15.44 | 13.18 | -2.26 | ---- | -1.75 | -0.10 | 1.65 | ||
2046 | 15.31 | 13.17 | -2.14 | ---- | -1.84 | -0.10 | 1.74 | ||
2047 | 15.19 | 13.16 | -2.03 | ---- | -1.94 | -0.11 | 1.83 | ||
2048 | 15.08 | 13.16 | -1.92 | ---- | -2.04 | -0.12 | 1.92 | ||
2049 | 14.96 | 13.15 | -1.81 | ---- | -2.13 | -0.12 | 2.01 | ||
2050 | 14.86 | 13.15 | -1.71 | ---- | -2.22 | -0.13 | 2.10 | ||
2051 | 14.76 | 13.14 | -1.62 | ---- | -2.31 | -0.13 | 2.18 | ||
2052 | 14.68 | 13.14 | -1.54 | ---- | -2.39 | -0.14 | 2.26 | ||
2053 | 14.60 | 13.13 | -1.47 | ---- | -2.47 | -0.14 | 2.33 | ||
2054 | 14.53 | 13.13 | -1.40 | ---- | -2.55 | -0.15 | 2.40 | ||
2055 | 14.48 | 13.13 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.62 | -0.15 | 2.47 | ||
2056 | 14.42 | 13.13 | -1.30 | ---- | -2.68 | -0.15 | 2.53 | ||
2057 | 14.38 | 13.12 | -1.25 | ---- | -2.74 | -0.16 | 2.59 | ||
2058 | 14.34 | 13.12 | -1.21 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.16 | 2.64 | ||
2059 | 14.30 | 13.12 | -1.18 | ---- | -2.85 | -0.16 | 2.69 | ||
2060 | 14.26 | 13.12 | -1.14 | ---- | -2.90 | -0.17 | 2.73 | ||
2061 | 14.22 | 13.12 | -1.11 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.17 | 2.77 | ||
2062 | 14.19 | 13.12 | -1.08 | ---- | -2.98 | -0.17 | 2.81 | ||
2063 | 14.17 | 13.11 | -1.05 | ---- | -3.01 | -0.17 | 2.84 | ||
2064 | 14.15 | 13.11 | -1.03 | ---- | -3.04 | -0.17 | 2.86 | ||
2065 | 14.13 | 13.11 | -1.02 | ---- | -3.07 | -0.18 | 2.89 | ||
2066 | 14.13 | 13.11 | -1.01 | ---- | -3.09 | -0.18 | 2.91 | ||
2067 | 14.13 | 13.11 | -1.01 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.18 | 2.94 | ||
2068 | 14.13 | 13.11 | -1.02 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.18 | 2.96 | ||
2069 | 14.14 | 13.11 | -1.03 | ---- | -3.16 | -0.18 | 2.97 | ||
2070 | 14.15 | 13.11 | -1.04 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.18 | 2.99 | ||
2071 | 14.16 | 13.12 | -1.05 | ---- | -3.19 | -0.18 | 3.01 | ||
2072 | 14.18 | 13.12 | -1.06 | ---- | -3.20 | -0.18 | 3.02 | ||
2073 | 14.19 | 13.12 | -1.07 | ---- | -3.21 | -0.18 | 3.03 | ||
2074 | 14.21 | 13.12 | -1.09 | ---- | -3.23 | -0.19 | 3.04 | ||
2075 | 14.23 | 13.12 | -1.11 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.05 | ||
2076 | 14.24 | 13.12 | -1.12 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.06 | ||
2077 | 14.26 | 13.12 | -1.14 | ---- | -3.25 | -0.19 | 3.06 | ||
2078 | 14.28 | 13.12 | -1.16 | ---- | -3.26 | -0.19 | 3.07 | ||
2079 | 14.31 | 13.13 | -1.18 | ---- | -3.27 | -0.19 | 3.08 | ||
2080 | 14.33 | 13.13 | -1.20 | ---- | -3.27 | -0.19 | 3.09 | ||
2081 | 14.36 | 13.13 | -1.23 | ---- | -3.28 | -0.19 | 3.09 | ||
2082 | 14.39 | 13.13 | -1.26 | ---- | -3.29 | -0.19 | 3.10 | ||
2083 | 14.42 | 13.13 | -1.28 | ---- | -3.30 | -0.19 | 3.11 | ||
2084 | 14.45 | 13.13 | -1.31 | ---- | -3.31 | -0.19 | 3.12 | ||
2085 | 14.48 | 13.14 | -1.34 | ---- | -3.32 | -0.19 | 3.13 | ||
2086 | 14.51 | 13.14 | -1.37 | ---- | -3.33 | -0.19 | 3.13 | ||
2087 | 14.54 | 13.14 | -1.40 | ---- | -3.33 | -0.19 | 3.14 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2012 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2012-2086 | 15.11% | 13.93% | -1.18% | 2034 | -1.57% | -0.09% | 1.48% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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