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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2012 | 13.83 | 12.89 | -0.93 | 340 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.95 | 14.99 | 1.04 | 329 | 0.00 | 2.16 | 2.16 | ||
2014 | 13.98 | 15.27 | 1.29 | 330 | 0.00 | 2.34 | 2.34 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 15.32 | 1.35 | 333 | 0.00 | 2.37 | 2.36 | ||
2016 | 13.95 | 15.37 | 1.43 | 336 | 0.01 | 2.39 | 2.39 | ||
2017 | 13.93 | 15.42 | 1.49 | 339 | 0.02 | 2.41 | 2.39 | ||
2018 | 13.99 | 15.44 | 1.46 | 342 | 0.02 | 2.41 | 2.38 | ||
2019 | 14.17 | 15.43 | 1.26 | 345 | 0.03 | 2.38 | 2.34 | ||
2020 | 14.42 | 15.42 | 1.00 | 345 | 0.05 | 2.35 | 2.30 | ||
2021 | 14.72 | 15.43 | 0.72 | 345 | 0.06 | 2.33 | 2.27 | ||
2022 | 15.05 | 15.46 | 0.41 | 343 | 0.07 | 2.33 | 2.25 | ||
2023 | 15.38 | 15.48 | 0.10 | 340 | 0.09 | 2.33 | 2.24 | ||
2024 | 15.70 | 15.50 | -0.20 | 336 | 0.11 | 2.33 | 2.23 | ||
2025 | 16.01 | 15.52 | -0.49 | 331 | 0.12 | 2.34 | 2.21 | ||
2026 | 16.30 | 15.54 | -0.76 | 326 | 0.14 | 2.34 | 2.20 | ||
2027 | 16.58 | 15.56 | -1.02 | 321 | 0.16 | 2.35 | 2.18 | ||
2028 | 16.82 | 15.58 | -1.25 | 315 | 0.19 | 2.35 | 2.16 | ||
2029 | 17.04 | 15.59 | -1.45 | 308 | 0.21 | 2.35 | 2.15 | ||
2030 | 17.23 | 15.61 | -1.63 | 300 | 0.23 | 2.36 | 2.13 | ||
2031 | 17.40 | 15.62 | -1.78 | 292 | 0.25 | 2.36 | 2.11 | ||
2032 | 17.52 | 15.63 | -1.89 | 284 | 0.27 | 2.37 | 2.09 | ||
2033 | 17.62 | 15.64 | -1.98 | 276 | 0.29 | 2.37 | 2.07 | ||
2034 | 17.69 | 15.65 | -2.05 | 267 | 0.32 | 2.37 | 2.06 | ||
2035 | 17.74 | 15.65 | -2.09 | 258 | 0.34 | 2.38 | 2.04 | ||
2036 | 17.78 | 15.66 | -2.12 | 249 | 0.36 | 2.38 | 2.02 | ||
2037 | 17.81 | 15.67 | -2.14 | 240 | 0.38 | 2.38 | 2.01 | ||
2038 | 17.82 | 15.67 | -2.15 | 231 | 0.40 | 2.39 | 1.99 | ||
2039 | 17.81 | 15.67 | -2.14 | 222 | 0.42 | 2.39 | 1.97 | ||
2040 | 17.80 | 15.68 | -2.12 | 213 | 0.44 | 2.39 | 1.96 | ||
2041 | 17.78 | 15.68 | -2.10 | 205 | 0.46 | 2.40 | 1.94 | ||
2042 | 17.76 | 15.68 | -2.08 | 196 | 0.48 | 2.40 | 1.92 | ||
2043 | 17.74 | 15.68 | -2.06 | 187 | 0.50 | 2.40 | 1.91 | ||
2044 | 17.73 | 15.68 | -2.04 | 178 | 0.52 | 2.41 | 1.89 | ||
2045 | 17.72 | 15.69 | -2.03 | 169 | 0.53 | 2.41 | 1.88 | ||
2046 | 17.71 | 15.69 | -2.02 | 160 | 0.55 | 2.41 | 1.86 | ||
2047 | 17.71 | 15.69 | -2.01 | 151 | 0.57 | 2.42 | 1.85 | ||
2048 | 17.70 | 15.70 | -2.01 | 142 | 0.59 | 2.42 | 1.83 | ||
2049 | 17.70 | 15.70 | -2.00 | 133 | 0.61 | 2.43 | 1.82 | ||
2050 | 17.70 | 15.70 | -2.00 | 124 | 0.62 | 2.43 | 1.81 | ||
2051 | 17.71 | 15.71 | -2.00 | 114 | 0.64 | 2.43 | 1.79 | ||
2052 | 17.72 | 15.71 | -2.01 | 105 | 0.65 | 2.44 | 1.78 | ||
2053 | 17.74 | 15.71 | -2.03 | 95 | 0.67 | 2.44 | 1.77 | ||
2054 | 17.77 | 15.72 | -2.05 | 85 | 0.69 | 2.44 | 1.76 | ||
2055 | 17.79 | 15.72 | -2.07 | 75 | 0.70 | 2.44 | 1.74 | ||
2056 | 17.82 | 15.73 | -2.09 | 64 | 0.71 | 2.45 | 1.73 | ||
2057 | 17.85 | 15.73 | -2.12 | 53 | 0.73 | 2.45 | 1.72 | ||
2058 | 17.88 | 15.74 | -2.14 | 43 | 0.74 | 2.45 | 1.72 | ||
2059 | 17.90 | 15.74 | -2.16 | 31 | 0.75 | 2.46 | 1.71 | ||
2060 | 17.91 | 15.74 | -2.17 | 20 | 0.76 | 2.46 | 1.70 | ||
2061 | 17.93 | 15.75 | -2.18 | 8 | 0.77 | 2.46 | 1.69 | ||
2062 | 17.94 | 15.75 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.77 | 2.46 | 1.69 | ||
2063 | 17.96 | 15.75 | -2.21 | ---- | 0.78 | 2.47 | 1.68 | ||
2064 | 17.97 | 15.76 | -2.22 | ---- | 0.79 | 2.47 | 1.68 | ||
2065 | 17.99 | 15.76 | -2.24 | ---- | 0.79 | 2.47 | 1.68 | ||
2066 | 18.02 | 15.76 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.80 | 2.47 | 1.67 | ||
2067 | 18.05 | 15.77 | -2.28 | ---- | 0.81 | 2.47 | 1.67 | ||
2068 | 18.08 | 15.77 | -2.31 | ---- | 0.81 | 2.48 | 1.67 | ||
2069 | 18.11 | 15.77 | -2.34 | ---- | 0.82 | 2.48 | 1.66 | ||
2070 | 18.15 | 15.78 | -2.37 | ---- | 0.82 | 2.48 | 1.66 | ||
2071 | 18.18 | 15.78 | -2.40 | ---- | 0.82 | 2.48 | 1.66 | ||
2072 | 18.21 | 15.79 | -2.42 | ---- | 0.83 | 2.48 | 1.66 | ||
2073 | 18.24 | 15.79 | -2.45 | ---- | 0.83 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2074 | 18.27 | 15.79 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2075 | 18.30 | 15.80 | -2.50 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2076 | 18.33 | 15.80 | -2.53 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2077 | 18.35 | 15.80 | -2.55 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.49 | 1.65 | ||
2078 | 18.39 | 15.81 | -2.58 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.50 | 1.65 | ||
2079 | 18.42 | 15.81 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.50 | 1.65 | ||
2080 | 18.46 | 15.81 | -2.64 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.50 | 1.65 | ||
2081 | 18.49 | 15.82 | -2.67 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.50 | 1.65 | ||
2082 | 18.53 | 15.82 | -2.71 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.50 | 1.65 | ||
2083 | 18.57 | 15.83 | -2.75 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.50 | 1.65 | ||
2084 | 18.62 | 15.83 | -2.78 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.51 | 1.65 | ||
2085 | 18.66 | 15.84 | -2.82 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.51 | 1.64 | ||
2086 | 18.70 | 15.84 | -2.86 | ---- | 0.87 | 2.51 | 1.64 | ||
2087 | 18.74 | 15.84 | -2.90 | ---- | 0.87 | 2.51 | 1.64 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2012 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2012-2086 | 17.14% | 16.39% | -0.75% | 2061 | 0.45% | 2.37% | 1.92% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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