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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2012 | 13.83 | 12.89 | -0.93 | 340 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2013 | 13.95 | 12.83 | -1.12 | 329 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2014 | 13.98 | 13.40 | -0.58 | 315 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 | ||
2015 | 13.97 | 13.92 | -0.05 | 305 | 0.00 | 0.97 | 0.97 | ||
2016 | 13.94 | 14.44 | 0.50 | 299 | 0.00 | 1.46 | 1.46 | ||
2017 | 13.92 | 14.94 | 1.02 | 297 | 0.00 | 1.93 | 1.93 | ||
2018 | 13.96 | 15.41 | 1.45 | 298 | 0.00 | 2.38 | 2.38 | ||
2019 | 14.14 | 15.43 | 1.29 | 302 | 0.00 | 2.37 | 2.37 | ||
2020 | 14.38 | 15.41 | 1.03 | 304 | 0.01 | 2.34 | 2.34 | ||
2021 | 14.66 | 15.43 | 0.76 | 305 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2022 | 14.98 | 15.45 | 0.47 | 304 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2023 | 15.30 | 15.47 | 0.17 | 302 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2024 | 15.61 | 15.49 | -0.12 | 299 | 0.01 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2025 | 15.90 | 15.50 | -0.39 | 296 | 0.02 | 2.32 | 2.31 | ||
2026 | 16.17 | 15.52 | -0.65 | 292 | 0.02 | 2.33 | 2.31 | ||
2027 | 16.44 | 15.54 | -0.90 | 287 | 0.03 | 2.33 | 2.30 | ||
2028 | 16.67 | 15.56 | -1.11 | 282 | 0.03 | 2.33 | 2.30 | ||
2029 | 16.87 | 15.57 | -1.30 | 276 | 0.04 | 2.33 | 2.30 | ||
2030 | 17.05 | 15.58 | -1.46 | 269 | 0.04 | 2.33 | 2.29 | ||
2031 | 17.19 | 15.59 | -1.60 | 263 | 0.05 | 2.34 | 2.29 | ||
2032 | 17.30 | 15.60 | -1.70 | 255 | 0.05 | 2.34 | 2.28 | ||
2033 | 17.39 | 15.61 | -1.78 | 248 | 0.06 | 2.34 | 2.28 | ||
2034 | 17.44 | 15.62 | -1.83 | 240 | 0.06 | 2.34 | 2.28 | ||
2035 | 17.48 | 15.62 | -1.86 | 232 | 0.07 | 2.34 | 2.27 | ||
2036 | 17.50 | 15.62 | -1.88 | 224 | 0.07 | 2.34 | 2.27 | ||
2037 | 17.51 | 15.63 | -1.88 | 216 | 0.08 | 2.34 | 2.27 | ||
2038 | 17.50 | 15.63 | -1.88 | 208 | 0.08 | 2.35 | 2.26 | ||
2039 | 17.48 | 15.63 | -1.85 | 201 | 0.09 | 2.35 | 2.26 | ||
2040 | 17.45 | 15.63 | -1.82 | 193 | 0.09 | 2.35 | 2.25 | ||
2041 | 17.42 | 15.63 | -1.79 | 186 | 0.10 | 2.35 | 2.25 | ||
2042 | 17.38 | 15.63 | -1.75 | 178 | 0.10 | 2.35 | 2.25 | ||
2043 | 17.35 | 15.63 | -1.72 | 171 | 0.11 | 2.35 | 2.24 | ||
2044 | 17.33 | 15.63 | -1.69 | 164 | 0.11 | 2.36 | 2.24 | ||
2045 | 17.31 | 15.63 | -1.67 | 156 | 0.12 | 2.36 | 2.24 | ||
2046 | 17.28 | 15.63 | -1.65 | 149 | 0.12 | 2.36 | 2.23 | ||
2047 | 17.27 | 15.64 | -1.63 | 142 | 0.13 | 2.36 | 2.23 | ||
2048 | 17.25 | 15.64 | -1.61 | 135 | 0.13 | 2.36 | 2.23 | ||
2049 | 17.23 | 15.64 | -1.60 | 128 | 0.14 | 2.36 | 2.23 | ||
2050 | 17.22 | 15.64 | -1.58 | 120 | 0.14 | 2.37 | 2.22 | ||
2051 | 17.22 | 15.64 | -1.58 | 113 | 0.15 | 2.37 | 2.22 | ||
2052 | 17.22 | 15.64 | -1.58 | 106 | 0.15 | 2.37 | 2.22 | ||
2053 | 17.23 | 15.65 | -1.58 | 98 | 0.16 | 2.37 | 2.22 | ||
2054 | 17.24 | 15.65 | -1.59 | 91 | 0.16 | 2.37 | 2.21 | ||
2055 | 17.26 | 15.65 | -1.60 | 83 | 0.16 | 2.38 | 2.21 | ||
2056 | 17.27 | 15.66 | -1.62 | 75 | 0.17 | 2.38 | 2.21 | ||
2057 | 17.29 | 15.66 | -1.63 | 67 | 0.17 | 2.38 | 2.21 | ||
2058 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.65 | 58 | 0.17 | 2.38 | 2.21 | ||
2059 | 17.33 | 15.67 | -1.66 | 50 | 0.18 | 2.38 | 2.20 | ||
2060 | 17.34 | 15.67 | -1.67 | 41 | 0.18 | 2.38 | 2.20 | ||
2061 | 17.34 | 15.67 | -1.67 | 32 | 0.18 | 2.39 | 2.20 | ||
2062 | 17.35 | 15.67 | -1.68 | 23 | 0.19 | 2.39 | 2.20 | ||
2063 | 17.36 | 15.68 | -1.69 | 14 | 0.19 | 2.39 | 2.20 | ||
2064 | 17.38 | 15.68 | -1.70 | 5 | 0.19 | 2.39 | 2.20 | ||
2065 | 17.39 | 15.68 | -1.71 | ---- | 0.19 | 2.39 | 2.20 | ||
2066 | 17.41 | 15.68 | -1.73 | ---- | 0.19 | 2.39 | 2.20 | ||
2067 | 17.44 | 15.69 | -1.75 | ---- | 0.20 | 2.40 | 2.20 | ||
2068 | 17.46 | 15.69 | -1.77 | ---- | 0.20 | 2.40 | 2.20 | ||
2069 | 17.49 | 15.69 | -1.80 | ---- | 0.20 | 2.40 | 2.20 | ||
2070 | 17.53 | 15.70 | -1.83 | ---- | 0.20 | 2.40 | 2.20 | ||
2071 | 17.55 | 15.70 | -1.85 | ---- | 0.20 | 2.40 | 2.20 | ||
2072 | 17.58 | 15.70 | -1.88 | ---- | 0.20 | 2.40 | 2.20 | ||
2073 | 17.61 | 15.71 | -1.90 | ---- | 0.20 | 2.41 | 2.20 | ||
2074 | 17.64 | 15.71 | -1.93 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.41 | 2.20 | ||
2075 | 17.67 | 15.71 | -1.95 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.41 | 2.20 | ||
2076 | 17.69 | 15.72 | -1.98 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.41 | 2.20 | ||
2077 | 17.72 | 15.72 | -2.00 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.41 | 2.20 | ||
2078 | 17.75 | 15.72 | -2.02 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.41 | 2.20 | ||
2079 | 17.78 | 15.73 | -2.05 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.41 | 2.20 | ||
2080 | 17.82 | 15.73 | -2.08 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.42 | 2.21 | ||
2081 | 17.85 | 15.74 | -2.12 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.42 | 2.21 | ||
2082 | 17.89 | 15.74 | -2.15 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.42 | 2.21 | ||
2083 | 17.93 | 15.74 | -2.19 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.42 | 2.21 | ||
2084 | 17.97 | 15.75 | -2.22 | ---- | 0.21 | 2.42 | 2.21 | ||
2085 | 18.01 | 15.75 | -2.26 | ---- | 0.22 | 2.42 | 2.21 | ||
2086 | 18.05 | 15.75 | -2.30 | ---- | 0.22 | 2.43 | 2.21 | ||
2087 | 18.09 | 15.76 | -2.33 | ---- | 0.22 | 2.43 | 2.21 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2012 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2012-2086 | 16.79% | 16.23% | -0.56% | 2064 | 0.10% | 2.21% | 2.11% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2033. |
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