Proposed Provision: After the normal retirement age (NRA) reaches 67 for those age 62 in 2022, index the NRA to maintain a constant ratio of expected retirement years (life expectancy at NRA) to potential work years (NRA minus 20). We assume the NRA will increase 1 month every 2 years. Also, increase the earliest eligibility age (EEA) by the same amount as the NRA starting for those age 62 in 2022 so as to maintain a 5 year difference between the two ages. Include a hardship exemption with no EEA/NRA change for a worker with 25 years of earnings (with 4 quarters of coverage each), and average indexed monthly earnings (AIME) less than 250 percent of the poverty level (wage-indexed from 2012). The hardship exemption is phased out for those with AIME above 400 percent of the poverty level.
OASDI Trust Fund Ratio
(assets as a percentage of annual expenditures)
Year |
Present Law |
Provision |
2013 | 330 | 330 |
2014 | 315 | 315 |
2015 | 301 | 301 |
2016 | 286 | 286 |
2017 | 271 | 271 |
2018 | 257 | 257 |
2019 | 244 | 244 |
2020 | 231 | 231 |
2021 | 218 | 218 |
2022 | 204 | 204 |
2023 | 189 | 189 |
2024 | 173 | 174 |
2025 | 158 | 158 |
2026 | 142 | 142 |
2027 | 125 | 125 |
2028 | 108 | 109 |
2029 | 90 | 91 |
2030 | 71 | 72 |
2031 | 52 | 53 |
2032 | 31 | 33 |
2033 | 11 | 13 |
2034 | -11 | -8 |
2035 | -32 | -29 |
2036 | -55 | -51 |
2037 | -78 | -73 |
2038 | -101 | -95 |
2039 | -124 | -118 |
2040 | -148 | -141 |
2041 | -172 | -164 |
2042 | -196 | -187 |
2043 | -220 | -211 |
2044 | -245 | -234 |
2045 | -269 | -257 |
2046 | -294 | -281 |
2047 | -319 | -305 |
2048 | -345 | -329 |
2049 | -371 | -353 |
2050 | -397 | -378 |
2051 | -423 | -403 |
2052 | -449 | -427 |
2053 | -476 | -452 |
2054 | -502 | -477 |
2055 | -530 | -502 |
2056 | -557 | -527 |
2057 | -585 | -552 |
2058 | -613 | -578 |
2059 | -642 | -604 |
2060 | -671 | -631 |
2061 | -701 | -659 |
2062 | -732 | -687 |
2063 | -763 | -715 |
2064 | -794 | -744 |
2065 | -826 | -773 |
2066 | -859 | -802 |
2067 | -892 | -832 |
2068 | -925 | -862 |
2069 | -959 | -893 |
2070 | -993 | -924 |
2071 | -1028 | -956 |
2072 | -1064 | -988 |
2073 | -1101 | -1022 |
2074 | -1139 | -1056 |
2075 | -1178 | -1091 |
2076 | -1217 | -1126 |
2077 | -1258 | -1163 |
2078 | -1299 | -1200 |
2079 | -1340 | -1238 |
2080 | -1382 | -1276 |
2081 | -1424 | -1315 |
2082 | -1466 | -1353 |
2083 | -1508 | -1391 |
2084 | -1550 | -1427 |
2085 | -1592 | -1463 |
2086 | -1635 | -1501 |
2087 | -1678 | -1540 |
2088 | -1722 | -1579 |
back