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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 15.27 | 1.39 | 298 | 0.00 | 2.39 | 2.39 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 15.36 | 1.47 | 297 | 0.00 | 2.45 | 2.45 | ||
2018 | 13.96 | 15.37 | 1.41 | 297 | -0.01 | 2.43 | 2.44 | ||
2019 | 14.08 | 15.37 | 1.29 | 297 | -0.01 | 2.42 | 2.42 | ||
2020 | 14.22 | 15.36 | 1.14 | 297 | -0.01 | 2.40 | 2.40 | ||
2021 | 14.34 | 15.36 | 1.03 | 297 | -0.01 | 2.38 | 2.39 | ||
2022 | 14.51 | 15.38 | 0.87 | 296 | -0.01 | 2.37 | 2.37 | ||
2023 | 14.72 | 15.37 | 0.65 | 294 | -0.01 | 2.34 | 2.35 | ||
2024 | 14.95 | 15.38 | 0.43 | 292 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
2025 | 15.15 | 15.39 | 0.24 | 290 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
2026 | 15.35 | 15.41 | 0.06 | 287 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
2027 | 15.54 | 15.43 | -0.12 | 285 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
2028 | 15.73 | 15.44 | -0.29 | 283 | -0.01 | 2.32 | 2.33 | ||
2029 | 15.91 | 15.46 | -0.46 | 281 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.33 | ||
2030 | 16.08 | 15.47 | -0.61 | 279 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.33 | ||
2031 | 16.22 | 15.48 | -0.74 | 277 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2032 | 16.35 | 15.49 | -0.86 | 274 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2033 | 16.45 | 15.50 | -0.95 | 271 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2034 | 16.53 | 15.51 | -1.02 | 267 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2035 | 16.59 | 15.52 | -1.08 | 264 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2036 | 16.65 | 15.52 | -1.13 | 260 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2037 | 16.69 | 15.53 | -1.16 | 256 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2038 | 16.70 | 15.53 | -1.16 | 252 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2039 | 16.69 | 15.54 | -1.16 | 248 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2040 | 16.68 | 15.54 | -1.14 | 245 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2041 | 16.65 | 15.54 | -1.11 | 241 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2042 | 16.62 | 15.54 | -1.09 | 238 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2043 | 16.60 | 15.54 | -1.06 | 235 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2044 | 16.57 | 15.54 | -1.03 | 232 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2045 | 16.55 | 15.54 | -1.01 | 229 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2046 | 16.52 | 15.54 | -0.98 | 226 | -0.05 | 2.33 | 2.38 | ||
2047 | 16.51 | 15.54 | -0.96 | 223 | -0.05 | 2.33 | 2.38 | ||
2048 | 16.49 | 15.54 | -0.95 | 220 | -0.05 | 2.33 | 2.38 | ||
2049 | 16.48 | 15.55 | -0.94 | 218 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.38 | ||
2050 | 16.48 | 15.55 | -0.93 | 215 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2051 | 16.49 | 15.55 | -0.94 | 212 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2052 | 16.51 | 15.55 | -0.96 | 209 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2053 | 16.54 | 15.56 | -0.98 | 206 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2054 | 16.57 | 15.56 | -1.01 | 202 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2055 | 16.62 | 15.56 | -1.05 | 198 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2056 | 16.67 | 15.57 | -1.10 | 194 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2057 | 16.72 | 15.57 | -1.14 | 190 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2058 | 16.77 | 15.58 | -1.19 | 185 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2059 | 16.82 | 15.58 | -1.24 | 180 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2060 | 16.87 | 15.59 | -1.28 | 175 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
2061 | 16.92 | 15.59 | -1.33 | 169 | -0.08 | 2.34 | 2.42 | ||
2062 | 16.97 | 15.60 | -1.38 | 164 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.42 | ||
2063 | 17.02 | 15.60 | -1.42 | 157 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.42 | ||
2064 | 17.07 | 15.60 | -1.47 | 151 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2065 | 17.13 | 15.61 | -1.52 | 144 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2066 | 17.18 | 15.61 | -1.57 | 137 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2067 | 17.24 | 15.62 | -1.62 | 130 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2068 | 17.30 | 15.62 | -1.67 | 122 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
2069 | 17.35 | 15.63 | -1.72 | 114 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
2070 | 17.41 | 15.63 | -1.77 | 105 | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2071 | 17.46 | 15.64 | -1.82 | 96 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2072 | 17.50 | 15.64 | -1.86 | 87 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2073 | 17.54 | 15.65 | -1.89 | 78 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2074 | 17.57 | 15.65 | -1.92 | 68 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2075 | 17.59 | 15.65 | -1.93 | 58 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2076 | 17.60 | 15.65 | -1.94 | 48 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2077 | 17.61 | 15.66 | -1.95 | 38 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2078 | 17.61 | 15.66 | -1.95 | 28 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2079 | 17.61 | 15.66 | -1.95 | 17 | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2080 | 17.61 | 15.66 | -1.95 | 7 | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2081 | 17.62 | 15.66 | -1.96 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2082 | 17.63 | 15.66 | -1.97 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2083 | 17.65 | 15.67 | -1.98 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2084 | 17.68 | 15.67 | -2.01 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2085 | 17.71 | 15.67 | -2.04 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2086 | 17.75 | 15.68 | -2.07 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2087 | 17.79 | 15.68 | -2.11 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.37 | 2.46 | ||
2088 | 17.83 | 15.68 | -2.15 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.37 | 2.46 | ||
2089 | 17.87 | 15.69 | -2.19 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.37 | 2.47 | ||
2090 | 17.92 | 15.69 | -2.23 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.37 | 2.47 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.49% | 16.17% | -0.32% | 2080 | -0.05% | 2.31% | 2.36% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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