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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.94 | -1.03 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 12.95 | -1.14 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 12.96 | -1.26 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 12.98 | -1.36 | 219 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 13.01 | -1.51 | 204 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.71 | 13.03 | -1.68 | 189 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2024 | 14.93 | 13.06 | -1.87 | 173 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2025 | 15.12 | 13.08 | -2.04 | 158 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2026 | 15.29 | 13.09 | -2.19 | 143 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2027 | 15.44 | 13.11 | -2.33 | 128 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.11 | ||
2028 | 15.59 | 13.12 | -2.47 | 113 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2029 | 15.71 | 13.13 | -2.58 | 98 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2030 | 15.81 | 13.14 | -2.67 | 83 | -0.29 | -0.01 | 0.27 | ||
2031 | 15.88 | 13.15 | -2.73 | 67 | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2032 | 15.93 | 13.16 | -2.77 | 51 | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
2033 | 15.95 | 13.16 | -2.79 | 34 | -0.53 | -0.02 | 0.51 | ||
2034 | 15.93 | 13.16 | -2.77 | 18 | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2035 | 15.90 | 13.16 | -2.74 | 1 | -0.72 | -0.03 | 0.69 | ||
2036 | 15.86 | 13.17 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2037 | 15.79 | 13.17 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.93 | -0.04 | 0.89 | ||
2038 | 15.69 | 13.16 | -2.52 | ---- | -1.04 | -0.05 | 0.99 | ||
2039 | 15.57 | 13.16 | -2.41 | ---- | -1.16 | -0.05 | 1.10 | ||
2040 | 15.43 | 13.15 | -2.28 | ---- | -1.28 | -0.06 | 1.22 | ||
2041 | 15.29 | 13.15 | -2.14 | ---- | -1.40 | -0.07 | 1.33 | ||
2042 | 15.14 | 13.14 | -2.00 | ---- | -1.53 | -0.07 | 1.45 | ||
2043 | 14.98 | 13.14 | -1.84 | ---- | -1.66 | -0.08 | 1.58 | ||
2044 | 14.82 | 13.13 | -1.69 | ---- | -1.80 | -0.09 | 1.71 | ||
2045 | 14.66 | 13.12 | -1.54 | ---- | -1.94 | -0.09 | 1.84 | ||
2046 | 14.49 | 13.11 | -1.38 | ---- | -2.08 | -0.10 | 1.98 | ||
2047 | 14.33 | 13.11 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.11 | 2.12 | ||
2048 | 14.17 | 13.10 | -1.07 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.12 | 2.26 | ||
2049 | 14.01 | 13.09 | -0.92 | ---- | -2.53 | -0.12 | 2.40 | ||
2050 | 13.86 | 13.09 | -0.77 | ---- | -2.68 | -0.13 | 2.55 | ||
2051 | 13.71 | 13.08 | -0.63 | ---- | -2.84 | -0.14 | 2.70 | ||
2052 | 13.57 | 13.07 | -0.50 | ---- | -3.00 | -0.15 | 2.85 | ||
2053 | 13.44 | 13.07 | -0.37 | ---- | -3.16 | -0.16 | 3.00 | ||
2054 | 13.32 | 13.06 | -0.26 | ---- | -3.32 | -0.17 | 3.16 | ||
2055 | 13.20 | 13.06 | -0.14 | ---- | -3.49 | -0.18 | 3.31 | ||
2056 | 13.09 | 13.05 | -0.03 | ---- | -3.65 | -0.18 | 3.47 | ||
2057 | 12.98 | 13.05 | 0.07 | ---- | -3.82 | -0.19 | 3.62 | ||
2058 | 12.87 | 13.04 | 0.18 | ---- | -3.98 | -0.20 | 3.78 | ||
2059 | 12.76 | 13.04 | 0.28 | ---- | -4.14 | -0.21 | 3.93 | ||
2060 | 12.65 | 13.03 | 0.38 | ---- | -4.30 | -0.22 | 4.08 | ||
2061 | 12.55 | 13.03 | 0.48 | ---- | -4.46 | -0.23 | 4.23 | ||
2062 | 12.45 | 13.02 | 0.58 | ---- | -4.61 | -0.24 | 4.38 | ||
2063 | 12.35 | 13.02 | 0.67 | ---- | -4.76 | -0.24 | 4.52 | ||
2064 | 12.25 | 13.01 | 0.77 | ---- | -4.92 | -0.25 | 4.66 | ||
2065 | 12.15 | 13.01 | 0.86 | ---- | -5.07 | -0.26 | 4.81 | ||
2066 | 12.05 | 13.01 | 0.95 | ---- | -5.22 | -0.27 | 4.95 | ||
2067 | 11.96 | 13.00 | 1.04 | ---- | -5.37 | -0.28 | 5.09 | ||
2068 | 11.87 | 13.00 | 1.13 | ---- | -5.52 | -0.28 | 5.23 | ||
2069 | 11.78 | 12.99 | 1.21 | ---- | -5.67 | -0.29 | 5.37 | ||
2070 | 11.69 | 12.99 | 1.30 | ---- | -5.81 | -0.30 | 5.51 | ||
2071 | 11.59 | 12.98 | 1.39 | ---- | -5.96 | -0.31 | 5.65 | ||
2072 | 11.50 | 12.98 | 1.48 | ---- | -6.10 | -0.31 | 5.78 | ||
2073 | 11.40 | 12.97 | 1.58 | ---- | -6.23 | -0.32 | 5.91 | ||
2074 | 11.30 | 12.97 | 1.67 | ---- | -6.37 | -0.33 | 6.04 | ||
2075 | 11.19 | 12.96 | 1.78 | ---- | -6.50 | -0.34 | 6.16 | ||
2076 | 11.08 | 12.96 | 1.88 | ---- | -6.62 | -0.34 | 6.28 | ||
2077 | 10.97 | 12.95 | 1.99 | ---- | -6.74 | -0.35 | 6.39 | ||
2078 | 10.85 | 12.95 | 2.10 | ---- | -6.85 | -0.36 | 6.50 | ||
2079 | 10.74 | 12.94 | 2.20 | ---- | -6.97 | -0.36 | 6.61 | ||
2080 | 10.62 | 12.94 | 2.31 | ---- | -7.08 | -0.37 | 6.72 | ||
2081 | 10.51 | 12.93 | 2.42 | ---- | -7.20 | -0.37 | 6.83 | ||
2082 | 10.41 | 12.92 | 2.52 | ---- | -7.32 | -0.38 | 6.94 | ||
2083 | 10.31 | 12.92 | 2.61 | ---- | -7.44 | -0.39 | 7.05 | ||
2084 | 10.21 | 12.91 | 2.70 | ---- | -7.56 | -0.39 | 7.17 | ||
2085 | 10.12 | 12.91 | 2.79 | ---- | -7.69 | -0.40 | 7.29 | ||
2086 | 10.03 | 12.90 | 2.88 | ---- | -7.82 | -0.41 | 7.41 | ||
2087 | 9.94 | 12.90 | 2.96 | ---- | -7.94 | -0.41 | 7.53 | ||
2088 | 9.86 | 12.90 | 3.04 | ---- | -8.07 | -0.42 | 7.65 | ||
2089 | 9.77 | 12.89 | 3.12 | 16 | -8.20 | -0.43 | 7.77 | ||
2090 | 9.69 | 12.89 | 3.20 | 48 | -8.33 | -0.43 | 7.89 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 13.77% | 13.72% | -0.04% | 2035 | -2.78% | -0.14% | 2.64% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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