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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.94 | -1.03 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 12.95 | -1.14 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 12.96 | -1.26 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 12.98 | -1.36 | 219 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 13.01 | -1.51 | 204 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.72 | 13.03 | -1.69 | 189 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2024 | 14.94 | 13.06 | -1.88 | 173 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2025 | 15.14 | 13.08 | -2.06 | 158 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2026 | 15.33 | 13.10 | -2.23 | 143 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2027 | 15.50 | 13.11 | -2.39 | 127 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2028 | 15.67 | 13.12 | -2.54 | 112 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2029 | 15.82 | 13.14 | -2.68 | 96 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.11 | ||
2030 | 15.95 | 13.15 | -2.80 | 80 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2031 | 16.06 | 13.16 | -2.90 | 63 | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
2032 | 16.14 | 13.17 | -2.98 | 46 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2033 | 16.20 | 13.17 | -3.03 | 29 | -0.28 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
2034 | 16.22 | 13.18 | -3.05 | 11 | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
2035 | 16.24 | 13.18 | -3.06 | ---- | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2036 | 16.24 | 13.18 | -3.06 | ---- | -0.44 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
2037 | 16.22 | 13.18 | -3.04 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.02 | 0.47 | ||
2038 | 16.17 | 13.18 | -2.99 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2039 | 16.11 | 13.18 | -2.92 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2040 | 16.03 | 13.18 | -2.84 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.03 | 0.65 | ||
2041 | 15.93 | 13.18 | -2.76 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2042 | 15.84 | 13.17 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.04 | 0.78 | ||
2043 | 15.74 | 13.17 | -2.57 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2044 | 15.64 | 13.17 | -2.48 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.05 | 0.92 | ||
2045 | 15.55 | 13.16 | -2.38 | ---- | -1.05 | -0.05 | 1.00 | ||
2046 | 15.44 | 13.16 | -2.29 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2047 | 15.35 | 13.16 | -2.19 | ---- | -1.21 | -0.06 | 1.15 | ||
2048 | 15.25 | 13.15 | -2.10 | ---- | -1.29 | -0.07 | 1.23 | ||
2049 | 15.16 | 13.15 | -2.01 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.07 | 1.31 | ||
2050 | 15.08 | 13.14 | -1.93 | ---- | -1.46 | -0.08 | 1.39 | ||
2051 | 15.00 | 13.14 | -1.86 | ---- | -1.55 | -0.08 | 1.47 | ||
2052 | 14.93 | 13.14 | -1.80 | ---- | -1.64 | -0.08 | 1.55 | ||
2053 | 14.88 | 13.14 | -1.74 | ---- | -1.73 | -0.09 | 1.64 | ||
2054 | 14.82 | 13.13 | -1.69 | ---- | -1.82 | -0.09 | 1.72 | ||
2055 | 14.78 | 13.13 | -1.64 | ---- | -1.91 | -0.10 | 1.81 | ||
2056 | 14.74 | 13.13 | -1.60 | ---- | -2.00 | -0.10 | 1.90 | ||
2057 | 14.70 | 13.13 | -1.57 | ---- | -2.09 | -0.11 | 1.99 | ||
2058 | 14.66 | 13.13 | -1.53 | ---- | -2.19 | -0.11 | 2.07 | ||
2059 | 14.62 | 13.13 | -1.49 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.12 | 2.16 | ||
2060 | 14.59 | 13.13 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.36 | -0.12 | 2.24 | ||
2061 | 14.55 | 13.13 | -1.43 | ---- | -2.45 | -0.13 | 2.32 | ||
2062 | 14.52 | 13.13 | -1.39 | ---- | -2.54 | -0.13 | 2.40 | ||
2063 | 14.49 | 13.12 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.62 | -0.14 | 2.49 | ||
2064 | 14.45 | 13.12 | -1.33 | ---- | -2.71 | -0.14 | 2.57 | ||
2065 | 14.42 | 13.12 | -1.30 | ---- | -2.79 | -0.15 | 2.65 | ||
2066 | 14.40 | 13.12 | -1.27 | ---- | -2.88 | -0.15 | 2.73 | ||
2067 | 14.37 | 13.12 | -1.25 | ---- | -2.96 | -0.16 | 2.80 | ||
2068 | 14.34 | 13.12 | -1.22 | ---- | -3.05 | -0.16 | 2.88 | ||
2069 | 14.32 | 13.12 | -1.20 | ---- | -3.13 | -0.17 | 2.96 | ||
2070 | 14.29 | 13.12 | -1.17 | ---- | -3.21 | -0.17 | 3.04 | ||
2071 | 14.26 | 13.12 | -1.15 | ---- | -3.29 | -0.18 | 3.12 | ||
2072 | 14.23 | 13.12 | -1.11 | ---- | -3.37 | -0.18 | 3.19 | ||
2073 | 14.19 | 13.11 | -1.07 | ---- | -3.45 | -0.18 | 3.26 | ||
2074 | 14.14 | 13.11 | -1.03 | ---- | -3.52 | -0.19 | 3.33 | ||
2075 | 14.09 | 13.11 | -0.98 | ---- | -3.59 | -0.19 | 3.40 | ||
2076 | 14.04 | 13.11 | -0.93 | ---- | -3.66 | -0.20 | 3.46 | ||
2077 | 13.98 | 13.10 | -0.87 | ---- | -3.73 | -0.20 | 3.53 | ||
2078 | 13.92 | 13.10 | -0.82 | ---- | -3.79 | -0.20 | 3.59 | ||
2079 | 13.85 | 13.10 | -0.76 | ---- | -3.85 | -0.21 | 3.65 | ||
2080 | 13.79 | 13.09 | -0.70 | ---- | -3.92 | -0.21 | 3.71 | ||
2081 | 13.73 | 13.09 | -0.64 | ---- | -3.98 | -0.21 | 3.77 | ||
2082 | 13.68 | 13.09 | -0.59 | ---- | -4.05 | -0.22 | 3.83 | ||
2083 | 13.64 | 13.09 | -0.55 | ---- | -4.11 | -0.22 | 3.89 | ||
2084 | 13.59 | 13.08 | -0.51 | ---- | -4.18 | -0.22 | 3.96 | ||
2085 | 13.56 | 13.08 | -0.48 | ---- | -4.25 | -0.23 | 4.02 | ||
2086 | 13.53 | 13.08 | -0.45 | ---- | -4.32 | -0.23 | 4.09 | ||
2087 | 13.49 | 13.08 | -0.42 | ---- | -4.39 | -0.23 | 4.16 | ||
2088 | 13.47 | 13.08 | -0.39 | ---- | -4.46 | -0.24 | 4.22 | ||
2089 | 13.44 | 13.08 | -0.36 | ---- | -4.53 | -0.24 | 4.29 | ||
2090 | 13.41 | 13.07 | -0.34 | ---- | -4.60 | -0.25 | 4.36 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 15.02% | 13.78% | -1.23% | 2034 | -1.53% | -0.08% | 1.45% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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