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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.96 | 12.94 | -1.02 | 264 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2019 | 14.07 | 12.95 | -1.12 | 249 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2020 | 14.19 | 12.96 | -1.23 | 234 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2021 | 14.29 | 12.98 | -1.31 | 220 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2022 | 14.44 | 13.01 | -1.43 | 206 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2023 | 14.62 | 13.03 | -1.59 | 191 | -0.11 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2024 | 14.82 | 13.06 | -1.76 | 176 | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2025 | 14.99 | 13.07 | -1.91 | 162 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2026 | 15.14 | 13.09 | -2.06 | 148 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2027 | 15.29 | 13.10 | -2.19 | 134 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2028 | 15.43 | 13.11 | -2.32 | 119 | -0.32 | -0.01 | 0.30 | ||
2029 | 15.56 | 13.12 | -2.43 | 105 | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.35 | ||
2030 | 15.67 | 13.13 | -2.53 | 90 | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
2031 | 15.75 | 13.14 | -2.61 | 75 | -0.49 | -0.02 | 0.47 | ||
2032 | 15.82 | 13.15 | -2.67 | 60 | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2033 | 15.86 | 13.16 | -2.70 | 44 | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2034 | 15.86 | 13.16 | -2.70 | 28 | -0.69 | -0.03 | 0.66 | ||
2035 | 15.86 | 13.16 | -2.70 | 12 | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2036 | 15.85 | 13.16 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2037 | 15.82 | 13.16 | -2.65 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.04 | 0.86 | ||
2038 | 15.75 | 13.16 | -2.59 | ---- | -0.98 | -0.05 | 0.93 | ||
2039 | 15.68 | 13.16 | -2.51 | ---- | -1.05 | -0.05 | 1.00 | ||
2040 | 15.59 | 13.16 | -2.43 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.07 | ||
2041 | 15.49 | 13.16 | -2.33 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.06 | 1.14 | ||
2042 | 15.38 | 13.15 | -2.23 | ---- | -1.28 | -0.06 | 1.22 | ||
2043 | 15.28 | 13.15 | -2.13 | ---- | -1.36 | -0.07 | 1.29 | ||
2044 | 15.17 | 13.14 | -2.03 | ---- | -1.44 | -0.07 | 1.37 | ||
2045 | 15.07 | 13.14 | -1.93 | ---- | -1.53 | -0.08 | 1.45 | ||
2046 | 14.96 | 13.14 | -1.83 | ---- | -1.61 | -0.08 | 1.53 | ||
2047 | 14.86 | 13.13 | -1.73 | ---- | -1.70 | -0.09 | 1.61 | ||
2048 | 14.77 | 13.13 | -1.64 | ---- | -1.78 | -0.09 | 1.69 | ||
2049 | 14.68 | 13.12 | -1.55 | ---- | -1.86 | -0.09 | 1.77 | ||
2050 | 14.60 | 13.12 | -1.48 | ---- | -1.94 | -0.10 | 1.84 | ||
2051 | 14.53 | 13.12 | -1.41 | ---- | -2.02 | -0.10 | 1.92 | ||
2052 | 14.47 | 13.12 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.11 | 1.99 | ||
2053 | 14.43 | 13.11 | -1.31 | ---- | -2.18 | -0.11 | 2.07 | ||
2054 | 14.39 | 13.11 | -1.28 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.12 | 2.14 | ||
2055 | 14.37 | 13.11 | -1.25 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.12 | 2.20 | ||
2056 | 14.35 | 13.11 | -1.24 | ---- | -2.39 | -0.12 | 2.27 | ||
2057 | 14.34 | 13.11 | -1.23 | ---- | -2.45 | -0.13 | 2.33 | ||
2058 | 14.33 | 13.11 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.51 | -0.13 | 2.38 | ||
2059 | 14.33 | 13.11 | -1.21 | ---- | -2.57 | -0.13 | 2.44 | ||
2060 | 14.33 | 13.12 | -1.21 | ---- | -2.62 | -0.14 | 2.49 | ||
2061 | 14.33 | 13.12 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.67 | -0.14 | 2.53 | ||
2062 | 14.34 | 13.12 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.72 | -0.14 | 2.58 | ||
2063 | 14.35 | 13.12 | -1.23 | ---- | -2.76 | -0.14 | 2.62 | ||
2064 | 14.36 | 13.12 | -1.24 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.15 | 2.65 | ||
2065 | 14.38 | 13.12 | -1.26 | ---- | -2.84 | -0.15 | 2.69 | ||
2066 | 14.40 | 13.12 | -1.28 | ---- | -2.87 | -0.15 | 2.72 | ||
2067 | 14.43 | 13.12 | -1.30 | ---- | -2.91 | -0.15 | 2.75 | ||
2068 | 14.45 | 13.13 | -1.33 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.15 | 2.78 | ||
2069 | 14.48 | 13.13 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.96 | -0.16 | 2.81 | ||
2070 | 14.51 | 13.13 | -1.38 | ---- | -2.99 | -0.16 | 2.83 | ||
2071 | 14.54 | 13.13 | -1.41 | ---- | -3.01 | -0.16 | 2.85 | ||
2072 | 14.56 | 13.13 | -1.43 | ---- | -3.03 | -0.16 | 2.87 | ||
2073 | 14.58 | 13.14 | -1.45 | ---- | -3.05 | -0.16 | 2.89 | ||
2074 | 14.60 | 13.14 | -1.46 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.16 | 2.90 | ||
2075 | 14.61 | 13.14 | -1.47 | ---- | -3.08 | -0.16 | 2.91 | ||
2076 | 14.61 | 13.14 | -1.47 | ---- | -3.08 | -0.16 | 2.92 | ||
2077 | 14.61 | 13.14 | -1.47 | ---- | -3.09 | -0.16 | 2.93 | ||
2078 | 14.61 | 13.14 | -1.47 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.16 | 2.93 | ||
2079 | 14.61 | 13.14 | -1.47 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.16 | 2.93 | ||
2080 | 14.61 | 13.14 | -1.47 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.16 | 2.94 | ||
2081 | 14.61 | 13.14 | -1.47 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.16 | 2.94 | ||
2082 | 14.62 | 13.14 | -1.48 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.17 | 2.94 | ||
2083 | 14.63 | 13.14 | -1.49 | ---- | -3.11 | -0.17 | 2.95 | ||
2084 | 14.65 | 13.14 | -1.51 | ---- | -3.12 | -0.17 | 2.95 | ||
2085 | 14.68 | 13.14 | -1.54 | ---- | -3.13 | -0.17 | 2.96 | ||
2086 | 14.71 | 13.14 | -1.57 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.17 | 2.97 | ||
2087 | 14.74 | 13.15 | -1.60 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.17 | 2.98 | ||
2088 | 14.78 | 13.15 | -1.63 | ---- | -3.15 | -0.17 | 2.98 | ||
2089 | 14.81 | 13.15 | -1.66 | ---- | -3.16 | -0.17 | 2.99 | ||
2090 | 14.85 | 13.15 | -1.69 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.17 | 3.00 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 14.96% | 13.78% | -1.18% | 2035 | -1.59% | -0.08% | 1.51% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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