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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.91 | -0.97 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.02 | 0.02 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.97 | -0.93 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.06 | 0.06 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 13.02 | -0.95 | 265 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.09 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 13.06 | -1.02 | 250 | 0.00 | 0.11 | 0.11 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 13.10 | -1.13 | 235 | 0.00 | 0.14 | 0.14 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 13.14 | -1.20 | 221 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.16 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 13.19 | -1.33 | 207 | 0.00 | 0.18 | 0.18 | ||
2023 | 14.73 | 13.23 | -1.50 | 193 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.19 | ||
2024 | 14.96 | 13.27 | -1.69 | 179 | 0.00 | 0.21 | 0.21 | ||
2025 | 15.17 | 13.31 | -1.86 | 165 | 0.01 | 0.23 | 0.22 | ||
2026 | 15.37 | 13.34 | -2.03 | 150 | 0.01 | 0.24 | 0.23 | ||
2027 | 15.57 | 13.37 | -2.20 | 136 | 0.01 | 0.25 | 0.24 | ||
2028 | 15.76 | 13.39 | -2.37 | 121 | 0.01 | 0.27 | 0.25 | ||
2029 | 15.94 | 13.42 | -2.52 | 107 | 0.01 | 0.28 | 0.26 | ||
2030 | 16.11 | 13.44 | -2.67 | 92 | 0.02 | 0.29 | 0.27 | ||
2031 | 16.26 | 13.47 | -2.80 | 76 | 0.02 | 0.30 | 0.28 | ||
2032 | 16.40 | 13.49 | -2.91 | 60 | 0.02 | 0.31 | 0.29 | ||
2033 | 16.50 | 13.51 | -3.00 | 43 | 0.03 | 0.32 | 0.30 | ||
2034 | 16.58 | 13.52 | -3.06 | 25 | 0.03 | 0.33 | 0.30 | ||
2035 | 16.65 | 13.54 | -3.11 | 8 | 0.03 | 0.34 | 0.31 | ||
2036 | 16.72 | 13.56 | -3.16 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.35 | 0.32 | ||
2037 | 16.76 | 13.57 | -3.19 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.36 | 0.32 | ||
2038 | 16.78 | 13.59 | -3.19 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.37 | 0.32 | ||
2039 | 16.78 | 13.60 | -3.18 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.38 | 0.33 | ||
2040 | 16.77 | 13.61 | -3.16 | ---- | 0.06 | 0.39 | 0.33 | ||
2041 | 16.76 | 13.62 | -3.14 | ---- | 0.07 | 0.40 | 0.34 | ||
2042 | 16.74 | 13.63 | -3.11 | ---- | 0.08 | 0.41 | 0.34 | ||
2043 | 16.73 | 13.64 | -3.09 | ---- | 0.09 | 0.42 | 0.34 | ||
2044 | 16.71 | 13.65 | -3.06 | ---- | 0.09 | 0.43 | 0.34 | ||
2045 | 16.70 | 13.66 | -3.04 | ---- | 0.10 | 0.44 | 0.34 | ||
2046 | 16.69 | 13.68 | -3.01 | ---- | 0.11 | 0.46 | 0.35 | ||
2047 | 16.69 | 13.68 | -3.01 | ---- | 0.13 | 0.46 | 0.33 | ||
2048 | 16.69 | 13.68 | -3.01 | ---- | 0.14 | 0.46 | 0.32 | ||
2049 | 16.69 | 13.68 | -3.01 | ---- | 0.15 | 0.46 | 0.31 | ||
2050 | 16.70 | 13.68 | -3.02 | ---- | 0.16 | 0.46 | 0.30 | ||
2051 | 16.73 | 13.69 | -3.05 | ---- | 0.18 | 0.47 | 0.28 | ||
2052 | 16.77 | 13.69 | -3.08 | ---- | 0.20 | 0.47 | 0.27 | ||
2053 | 16.82 | 13.69 | -3.12 | ---- | 0.21 | 0.47 | 0.25 | ||
2054 | 16.87 | 13.70 | -3.17 | ---- | 0.23 | 0.47 | 0.24 | ||
2055 | 16.93 | 13.70 | -3.23 | ---- | 0.24 | 0.47 | 0.23 | ||
2056 | 17.00 | 13.71 | -3.30 | ---- | 0.26 | 0.47 | 0.21 | ||
2057 | 17.08 | 13.71 | -3.36 | ---- | 0.28 | 0.47 | 0.19 | ||
2058 | 17.15 | 13.72 | -3.43 | ---- | 0.30 | 0.47 | 0.17 | ||
2059 | 17.22 | 13.72 | -3.50 | ---- | 0.32 | 0.47 | 0.15 | ||
2060 | 17.29 | 13.73 | -3.56 | ---- | 0.34 | 0.47 | 0.14 | ||
2061 | 17.36 | 13.73 | -3.63 | ---- | 0.36 | 0.47 | 0.12 | ||
2062 | 17.43 | 13.73 | -3.70 | ---- | 0.37 | 0.48 | 0.10 | ||
2063 | 17.50 | 13.74 | -3.76 | ---- | 0.39 | 0.48 | 0.08 | ||
2064 | 17.57 | 13.74 | -3.83 | ---- | 0.41 | 0.48 | 0.07 | ||
2065 | 17.64 | 13.75 | -3.89 | ---- | 0.42 | 0.48 | 0.05 | ||
2066 | 17.72 | 13.75 | -3.96 | ---- | 0.44 | 0.48 | 0.04 | ||
2067 | 17.79 | 13.76 | -4.03 | ---- | 0.46 | 0.48 | 0.02 | ||
2068 | 17.86 | 13.76 | -4.10 | ---- | 0.47 | 0.48 | 0.01 | ||
2069 | 17.93 | 13.77 | -4.17 | ---- | 0.49 | 0.48 | -0.01 | ||
2070 | 18.00 | 13.77 | -4.23 | ---- | 0.50 | 0.48 | -0.02 | ||
2071 | 18.07 | 13.77 | -4.30 | ---- | 0.52 | 0.48 | -0.04 | ||
2072 | 18.13 | 13.78 | -4.35 | ---- | 0.53 | 0.48 | -0.05 | ||
2073 | 18.18 | 13.78 | -4.39 | ---- | 0.54 | 0.48 | -0.06 | ||
2074 | 18.22 | 13.78 | -4.43 | ---- | 0.55 | 0.48 | -0.07 | ||
2075 | 18.25 | 13.79 | -4.46 | ---- | 0.56 | 0.49 | -0.08 | ||
2076 | 18.27 | 13.79 | -4.48 | ---- | 0.58 | 0.49 | -0.09 | ||
2077 | 18.29 | 13.79 | -4.50 | ---- | 0.58 | 0.49 | -0.10 | ||
2078 | 18.30 | 13.79 | -4.51 | ---- | 0.59 | 0.49 | -0.10 | ||
2079 | 18.30 | 13.79 | -4.51 | ---- | 0.60 | 0.49 | -0.11 | ||
2080 | 18.31 | 13.79 | -4.52 | ---- | 0.60 | 0.49 | -0.12 | ||
2081 | 18.33 | 13.79 | -4.54 | ---- | 0.61 | 0.49 | -0.13 | ||
2082 | 18.35 | 13.79 | -4.55 | ---- | 0.62 | 0.49 | -0.13 | ||
2083 | 18.37 | 13.79 | -4.58 | ---- | 0.62 | 0.49 | -0.14 | ||
2084 | 18.40 | 13.79 | -4.61 | ---- | 0.63 | 0.49 | -0.14 | ||
2085 | 18.44 | 13.80 | -4.65 | ---- | 0.63 | 0.49 | -0.15 | ||
2086 | 18.49 | 13.80 | -4.69 | ---- | 0.64 | 0.49 | -0.15 | ||
2087 | 18.53 | 13.80 | -4.73 | ---- | 0.65 | 0.49 | -0.16 | ||
2088 | 18.58 | 13.80 | -4.77 | ---- | 0.65 | 0.49 | -0.16 | ||
2089 | 18.62 | 13.81 | -4.82 | ---- | 0.65 | 0.49 | -0.16 | ||
2090 | 18.67 | 13.81 | -4.86 | ---- | 0.66 | 0.49 | -0.17 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.76% | 14.23% | -2.53% | 2035 | 0.22% | 0.37% | 0.15% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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