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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.94 | -1.03 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 12.95 | -1.14 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 12.96 | -1.26 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 12.98 | -1.36 | 219 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 13.01 | -1.51 | 204 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.72 | 13.03 | -1.69 | 189 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2024 | 14.95 | 13.06 | -1.89 | 173 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2025 | 15.16 | 13.08 | -2.08 | 158 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2026 | 15.35 | 13.10 | -2.26 | 142 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2027 | 15.54 | 13.11 | -2.43 | 126 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2028 | 15.72 | 13.13 | -2.59 | 111 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2029 | 15.89 | 13.14 | -2.75 | 95 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2030 | 16.03 | 13.15 | -2.88 | 78 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2031 | 16.16 | 13.16 | -3.00 | 61 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2032 | 16.26 | 13.17 | -3.09 | 43 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2033 | 16.34 | 13.18 | -3.16 | 25 | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2034 | 16.38 | 13.18 | -3.20 | 7 | -0.17 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2035 | 16.41 | 13.19 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2036 | 16.44 | 13.19 | -3.25 | ---- | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2037 | 16.44 | 13.19 | -3.24 | ---- | -0.28 | -0.02 | 0.27 | ||
2038 | 16.41 | 13.19 | -3.21 | ---- | -0.32 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
2039 | 16.36 | 13.19 | -3.17 | ---- | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.35 | ||
2040 | 16.30 | 13.19 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
2041 | 16.23 | 13.19 | -3.04 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2042 | 16.16 | 13.19 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
2043 | 16.08 | 13.19 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2044 | 16.00 | 13.18 | -2.82 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2045 | 15.93 | 13.18 | -2.75 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2046 | 15.85 | 13.18 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2047 | 15.78 | 13.17 | -2.60 | ---- | -0.78 | -0.04 | 0.74 | ||
2048 | 15.71 | 13.17 | -2.53 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.05 | 0.80 | ||
2049 | 15.64 | 13.17 | -2.47 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2050 | 15.57 | 13.17 | -2.41 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.05 | 0.91 | ||
2051 | 15.52 | 13.17 | -2.36 | ---- | -1.03 | -0.06 | 0.97 | ||
2052 | 15.48 | 13.16 | -2.31 | ---- | -1.10 | -0.06 | 1.04 | ||
2053 | 15.44 | 13.16 | -2.28 | ---- | -1.16 | -0.06 | 1.10 | ||
2054 | 15.41 | 13.16 | -2.25 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.07 | 1.16 | ||
2055 | 15.39 | 13.16 | -2.23 | ---- | -1.30 | -0.07 | 1.23 | ||
2056 | 15.37 | 13.16 | -2.21 | ---- | -1.37 | -0.08 | 1.30 | ||
2057 | 15.35 | 13.16 | -2.19 | ---- | -1.44 | -0.08 | 1.36 | ||
2058 | 15.34 | 13.16 | -2.17 | ---- | -1.51 | -0.08 | 1.43 | ||
2059 | 15.32 | 13.16 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.58 | -0.09 | 1.49 | ||
2060 | 15.30 | 13.16 | -2.14 | ---- | -1.65 | -0.09 | 1.56 | ||
2061 | 15.29 | 13.16 | -2.13 | ---- | -1.72 | -0.10 | 1.62 | ||
2062 | 15.28 | 13.16 | -2.11 | ---- | -1.78 | -0.10 | 1.68 | ||
2063 | 15.26 | 13.16 | -2.10 | ---- | -1.85 | -0.10 | 1.74 | ||
2064 | 15.25 | 13.16 | -2.09 | ---- | -1.91 | -0.11 | 1.80 | ||
2065 | 15.25 | 13.16 | -2.08 | ---- | -1.97 | -0.11 | 1.86 | ||
2066 | 15.24 | 13.16 | -2.08 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.11 | 1.92 | ||
2067 | 15.24 | 13.16 | -2.08 | ---- | -2.09 | -0.12 | 1.97 | ||
2068 | 15.24 | 13.16 | -2.08 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2069 | 15.25 | 13.16 | -2.09 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.12 | 2.08 | ||
2070 | 15.25 | 13.16 | -2.09 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.13 | 2.12 | ||
2071 | 15.26 | 13.16 | -2.09 | ---- | -2.30 | -0.13 | 2.17 | ||
2072 | 15.26 | 13.16 | -2.09 | ---- | -2.34 | -0.13 | 2.21 | ||
2073 | 15.25 | 13.16 | -2.09 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.13 | 2.25 | ||
2074 | 15.25 | 13.16 | -2.08 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.13 | 2.28 | ||
2075 | 15.23 | 13.16 | -2.07 | ---- | -2.45 | -0.14 | 2.31 | ||
2076 | 15.22 | 13.16 | -2.05 | ---- | -2.48 | -0.14 | 2.34 | ||
2077 | 15.20 | 13.16 | -2.04 | ---- | -2.50 | -0.14 | 2.37 | ||
2078 | 15.18 | 13.16 | -2.02 | ---- | -2.53 | -0.14 | 2.39 | ||
2079 | 15.16 | 13.16 | -2.00 | ---- | -2.55 | -0.14 | 2.40 | ||
2080 | 15.14 | 13.16 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.56 | -0.14 | 2.42 | ||
2081 | 15.13 | 13.16 | -1.97 | ---- | -2.58 | -0.14 | 2.44 | ||
2082 | 15.13 | 13.16 | -1.97 | ---- | -2.60 | -0.14 | 2.45 | ||
2083 | 15.14 | 13.16 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.61 | -0.15 | 2.47 | ||
2084 | 15.15 | 13.16 | -1.99 | ---- | -2.63 | -0.15 | 2.48 | ||
2085 | 15.17 | 13.16 | -2.01 | ---- | -2.64 | -0.15 | 2.50 | ||
2086 | 15.19 | 13.16 | -2.03 | ---- | -2.66 | -0.15 | 2.51 | ||
2087 | 15.21 | 13.16 | -2.05 | ---- | -2.67 | -0.15 | 2.52 | ||
2088 | 15.24 | 13.17 | -2.08 | ---- | -2.68 | -0.15 | 2.53 | ||
2089 | 15.27 | 13.17 | -2.11 | ---- | -2.70 | -0.15 | 2.55 | ||
2090 | 15.31 | 13.17 | -2.14 | ---- | -2.71 | -0.15 | 2.56 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 15.54% | 13.81% | -1.73% | 2034 | -1.00% | -0.05% | 0.95% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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