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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Progressive price indexing (50th percentile) of PIA factors for individuals newly eligible for OASI benefits in 2020 through 2059: Create a new bend point at the 50th percentile of the AIME distribution of newly retired workers. Maintain current-law benefits for earners at the 50th percentile and below. Reduce the 32 and 15 percent factors above the 50th percentile such that the initial benefit for a worker with AIME equal to the taxable maximum grows by inflation rather than the growth in the SSA average wage index. Disabled workers are: (a) not affected prior to normal retirement age; and (b) subject to a proportional reduction in benefits, based on the worker's years of disability, upon conversion to retired-worker beneficiary status.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201514.1312.82-1.31
308
0.000.000.00
201613.8812.88-1.00
298
0.000.000.00
201713.8912.91-0.98
280
0.000.000.00
201813.9712.94-1.03
264
0.000.000.00
201914.0912.95-1.14
248
0.000.000.00
202014.2312.96-1.26
233
0.000.000.00
202114.3412.98-1.36
219
0.000.000.00
202214.5113.01-1.50
204
-0.010.000.01
202314.7113.03-1.68
189
-0.010.000.01
202414.9313.06-1.87
173
-0.020.000.02
202515.1313.08-2.05
158
-0.040.000.03
202615.3113.09-2.22
143
-0.050.000.05
202715.4913.11-2.38
128
-0.070.000.07
202815.6513.12-2.53
112
-0.10-0.010.09
202915.8113.14-2.67
96
-0.12-0.010.12
203015.9413.15-2.79
80
-0.15-0.010.15
203116.0613.16-2.90
64
-0.19-0.010.18
203216.1513.16-2.99
47
-0.22-0.010.21
203316.2213.17-3.05
29
-0.26-0.010.25
203416.2513.18-3.08
11
-0.30-0.020.28
203516.2813.18-3.10
----
-0.34-0.020.32
203616.3013.18-3.11
----
-0.38-0.020.36
203716.2913.19-3.11
----
-0.43-0.020.40
203816.2613.19-3.07
----
-0.47-0.030.44
203916.2113.19-3.03
----
-0.51-0.030.49
204016.1513.18-2.97
----
-0.56-0.030.53
204116.0813.18-2.90
----
-0.60-0.030.57
204216.0113.18-2.83
----
-0.65-0.040.62
204315.9413.18-2.76
----
-0.70-0.040.66
204415.8713.18-2.69
----
-0.75-0.040.71
204515.7913.17-2.62
----
-0.80-0.040.76
204615.7213.17-2.55
----
-0.85-0.050.81
204715.6513.17-2.49
----
-0.91-0.050.86
204815.5913.17-2.42
----
-0.96-0.050.91
204915.5313.16-2.36
----
-1.01-0.060.96
205015.4813.16-2.31
----
-1.07-0.061.01
205115.4313.16-2.27
----
-1.12-0.061.06
205215.4013.16-2.24
----
-1.17-0.061.11
205315.3713.16-2.21
----
-1.23-0.071.16
205415.3613.16-2.20
----
-1.29-0.071.22
205515.3413.16-2.19
----
-1.34-0.071.27
205615.3413.16-2.18
----
-1.40-0.081.32
205715.3313.16-2.17
----
-1.46-0.081.38
205815.3313.16-2.17
----
-1.51-0.081.43
205915.3313.16-2.17
----
-1.57-0.091.48
206015.3313.16-2.16
----
-1.63-0.091.54
206115.3313.16-2.16
----
-1.68-0.091.59
206215.3213.16-2.16
----
-1.73-0.101.64
206315.3313.16-2.16
----
-1.78-0.101.68
206415.3313.16-2.16
----
-1.83-0.101.73
206515.3313.17-2.17
----
-1.88-0.101.78
206615.3413.17-2.18
----
-1.93-0.111.82
206715.3613.17-2.19
----
-1.97-0.111.86
206815.3713.17-2.20
----
-2.02-0.111.90
206915.3913.17-2.22
----
-2.06-0.111.94
207015.4013.17-2.23
----
-2.10-0.121.98
207115.4213.17-2.25
----
-2.13-0.122.01
207215.4313.17-2.26
----
-2.17-0.122.05
207315.4413.17-2.26
----
-2.20-0.122.08
207415.4413.18-2.26
----
-2.23-0.122.10
207515.4313.18-2.26
----
-2.25-0.132.13
207615.4213.18-2.25
----
-2.27-0.132.15
207715.4113.17-2.24
----
-2.29-0.132.16
207815.4013.17-2.22
----
-2.31-0.132.18
207915.3913.17-2.21
----
-2.32-0.132.19
208015.3813.17-2.20
----
-2.33-0.132.20
208115.3713.17-2.20
----
-2.35-0.132.21
208215.3713.17-2.20
----
-2.36-0.132.22
208315.3813.17-2.21
----
-2.37-0.132.23
208415.4013.17-2.22
----
-2.38-0.132.25
208515.4213.17-2.24
----
-2.39-0.132.26
208615.4513.18-2.27
----
-2.40-0.132.27
208715.4713.18-2.30
----
-2.41-0.132.28
208815.5113.18-2.33
----
-2.42-0.142.29
208915.5413.18-2.36
----
-2.43-0.142.30
209015.5713.18-2.39
----
-2.44-0.142.30



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report.
2015-2089 15.54% 13.81% -1.73%
2034
-1.00% -0.05% 0.95%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified September 1, 2015