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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.94 | -1.03 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 12.95 | -1.14 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 12.96 | -1.26 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.34 | 12.98 | -1.36 | 219 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.51 | 13.01 | -1.50 | 204 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2023 | 14.71 | 13.03 | -1.68 | 189 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2024 | 14.93 | 13.06 | -1.87 | 173 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2025 | 15.13 | 13.08 | -2.05 | 158 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2026 | 15.31 | 13.09 | -2.22 | 143 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2027 | 15.49 | 13.11 | -2.38 | 128 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2028 | 15.65 | 13.12 | -2.53 | 112 | -0.10 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
2029 | 15.81 | 13.14 | -2.67 | 96 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2030 | 15.94 | 13.15 | -2.79 | 80 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2031 | 16.06 | 13.16 | -2.90 | 64 | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
2032 | 16.15 | 13.16 | -2.99 | 47 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2033 | 16.22 | 13.17 | -3.05 | 29 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2034 | 16.25 | 13.18 | -3.08 | 11 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
2035 | 16.28 | 13.18 | -3.10 | ---- | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
2036 | 16.30 | 13.18 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2037 | 16.29 | 13.19 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2038 | 16.26 | 13.19 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.47 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
2039 | 16.21 | 13.19 | -3.03 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
2040 | 16.15 | 13.18 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2041 | 16.08 | 13.18 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2042 | 16.01 | 13.18 | -2.83 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
2043 | 15.94 | 13.18 | -2.76 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2044 | 15.87 | 13.18 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2045 | 15.79 | 13.17 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.80 | -0.04 | 0.76 | ||
2046 | 15.72 | 13.17 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.05 | 0.81 | ||
2047 | 15.65 | 13.17 | -2.49 | ---- | -0.91 | -0.05 | 0.86 | ||
2048 | 15.59 | 13.17 | -2.42 | ---- | -0.96 | -0.05 | 0.91 | ||
2049 | 15.53 | 13.16 | -2.36 | ---- | -1.01 | -0.06 | 0.96 | ||
2050 | 15.48 | 13.16 | -2.31 | ---- | -1.07 | -0.06 | 1.01 | ||
2051 | 15.43 | 13.16 | -2.27 | ---- | -1.12 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2052 | 15.40 | 13.16 | -2.24 | ---- | -1.17 | -0.06 | 1.11 | ||
2053 | 15.37 | 13.16 | -2.21 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.07 | 1.16 | ||
2054 | 15.36 | 13.16 | -2.20 | ---- | -1.29 | -0.07 | 1.22 | ||
2055 | 15.34 | 13.16 | -2.19 | ---- | -1.34 | -0.07 | 1.27 | ||
2056 | 15.34 | 13.16 | -2.18 | ---- | -1.40 | -0.08 | 1.32 | ||
2057 | 15.33 | 13.16 | -2.17 | ---- | -1.46 | -0.08 | 1.38 | ||
2058 | 15.33 | 13.16 | -2.17 | ---- | -1.51 | -0.08 | 1.43 | ||
2059 | 15.33 | 13.16 | -2.17 | ---- | -1.57 | -0.09 | 1.48 | ||
2060 | 15.33 | 13.16 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.63 | -0.09 | 1.54 | ||
2061 | 15.33 | 13.16 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.68 | -0.09 | 1.59 | ||
2062 | 15.32 | 13.16 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.73 | -0.10 | 1.64 | ||
2063 | 15.33 | 13.16 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.78 | -0.10 | 1.68 | ||
2064 | 15.33 | 13.16 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.83 | -0.10 | 1.73 | ||
2065 | 15.33 | 13.17 | -2.17 | ---- | -1.88 | -0.10 | 1.78 | ||
2066 | 15.34 | 13.17 | -2.18 | ---- | -1.93 | -0.11 | 1.82 | ||
2067 | 15.36 | 13.17 | -2.19 | ---- | -1.97 | -0.11 | 1.86 | ||
2068 | 15.37 | 13.17 | -2.20 | ---- | -2.02 | -0.11 | 1.90 | ||
2069 | 15.39 | 13.17 | -2.22 | ---- | -2.06 | -0.11 | 1.94 | ||
2070 | 15.40 | 13.17 | -2.23 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.12 | 1.98 | ||
2071 | 15.42 | 13.17 | -2.25 | ---- | -2.13 | -0.12 | 2.01 | ||
2072 | 15.43 | 13.17 | -2.26 | ---- | -2.17 | -0.12 | 2.05 | ||
2073 | 15.44 | 13.17 | -2.26 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.12 | 2.08 | ||
2074 | 15.44 | 13.18 | -2.26 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.12 | 2.10 | ||
2075 | 15.43 | 13.18 | -2.26 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.13 | 2.13 | ||
2076 | 15.42 | 13.18 | -2.25 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.13 | 2.15 | ||
2077 | 15.41 | 13.17 | -2.24 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.13 | 2.16 | ||
2078 | 15.40 | 13.17 | -2.22 | ---- | -2.31 | -0.13 | 2.18 | ||
2079 | 15.39 | 13.17 | -2.21 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.13 | 2.19 | ||
2080 | 15.38 | 13.17 | -2.20 | ---- | -2.33 | -0.13 | 2.20 | ||
2081 | 15.37 | 13.17 | -2.20 | ---- | -2.35 | -0.13 | 2.21 | ||
2082 | 15.37 | 13.17 | -2.20 | ---- | -2.36 | -0.13 | 2.22 | ||
2083 | 15.38 | 13.17 | -2.21 | ---- | -2.37 | -0.13 | 2.23 | ||
2084 | 15.40 | 13.17 | -2.22 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.13 | 2.25 | ||
2085 | 15.42 | 13.17 | -2.24 | ---- | -2.39 | -0.13 | 2.26 | ||
2086 | 15.45 | 13.18 | -2.27 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.13 | 2.27 | ||
2087 | 15.47 | 13.18 | -2.30 | ---- | -2.41 | -0.13 | 2.28 | ||
2088 | 15.51 | 13.18 | -2.33 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.14 | 2.29 | ||
2089 | 15.54 | 13.18 | -2.36 | ---- | -2.43 | -0.14 | 2.30 | ||
2090 | 15.57 | 13.18 | -2.39 | ---- | -2.44 | -0.14 | 2.30 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 15.54% | 13.81% | -1.73% | 2034 | -1.00% | -0.05% | 0.95% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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