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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.94 | -1.03 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 12.95 | -1.14 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 12.96 | -1.26 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.34 | 12.98 | -1.36 | 219 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 13.01 | -1.51 | 204 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.72 | 13.03 | -1.69 | 189 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2024 | 14.95 | 13.06 | -1.88 | 173 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2025 | 15.15 | 13.08 | -2.07 | 158 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2026 | 15.33 | 13.10 | -2.24 | 142 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2027 | 15.51 | 13.11 | -2.40 | 127 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2028 | 15.68 | 13.12 | -2.56 | 111 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2029 | 15.83 | 13.14 | -2.69 | 96 | -0.10 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
2030 | 15.96 | 13.15 | -2.81 | 80 | -0.14 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2031 | 16.06 | 13.16 | -2.91 | 63 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2032 | 16.14 | 13.16 | -2.98 | 46 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2033 | 16.19 | 13.17 | -3.02 | 28 | -0.29 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
2034 | 16.20 | 13.17 | -3.02 | 10 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2035 | 16.20 | 13.18 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2036 | 16.18 | 13.18 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
2037 | 16.14 | 13.18 | -2.96 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2038 | 16.07 | 13.18 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2039 | 15.98 | 13.17 | -2.80 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.71 | ||
2040 | 15.87 | 13.17 | -2.70 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.05 | 0.80 | ||
2041 | 15.75 | 13.16 | -2.58 | ---- | -0.94 | -0.05 | 0.89 | ||
2042 | 15.62 | 13.16 | -2.47 | ---- | -1.04 | -0.06 | 0.98 | ||
2043 | 15.49 | 13.15 | -2.34 | ---- | -1.15 | -0.06 | 1.08 | ||
2044 | 15.36 | 13.15 | -2.21 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.07 | 1.19 | ||
2045 | 15.22 | 13.14 | -2.08 | ---- | -1.37 | -0.07 | 1.30 | ||
2046 | 15.08 | 13.13 | -1.95 | ---- | -1.49 | -0.08 | 1.41 | ||
2047 | 14.94 | 13.13 | -1.81 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.09 | 1.53 | ||
2048 | 14.80 | 13.12 | -1.68 | ---- | -1.74 | -0.10 | 1.65 | ||
2049 | 14.66 | 13.12 | -1.55 | ---- | -1.87 | -0.10 | 1.77 | ||
2050 | 14.53 | 13.11 | -1.42 | ---- | -2.01 | -0.11 | 1.90 | ||
2051 | 14.41 | 13.10 | -1.30 | ---- | -2.14 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2052 | 14.29 | 13.10 | -1.19 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.13 | 2.16 | ||
2053 | 14.18 | 13.09 | -1.08 | ---- | -2.43 | -0.13 | 2.29 | ||
2054 | 14.07 | 13.09 | -0.98 | ---- | -2.57 | -0.14 | 2.43 | ||
2055 | 13.97 | 13.08 | -0.88 | ---- | -2.72 | -0.15 | 2.57 | ||
2056 | 13.87 | 13.08 | -0.79 | ---- | -2.87 | -0.16 | 2.71 | ||
2057 | 13.77 | 13.07 | -0.70 | ---- | -3.02 | -0.17 | 2.85 | ||
2058 | 13.68 | 13.07 | -0.61 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.18 | 2.99 | ||
2059 | 13.58 | 13.07 | -0.52 | ---- | -3.32 | -0.18 | 3.13 | ||
2060 | 13.49 | 13.06 | -0.43 | ---- | -3.46 | -0.19 | 3.27 | ||
2061 | 13.40 | 13.06 | -0.35 | ---- | -3.60 | -0.20 | 3.40 | ||
2062 | 13.32 | 13.05 | -0.26 | ---- | -3.74 | -0.21 | 3.53 | ||
2063 | 13.23 | 13.05 | -0.18 | ---- | -3.88 | -0.22 | 3.66 | ||
2064 | 13.15 | 13.04 | -0.11 | ---- | -4.01 | -0.22 | 3.79 | ||
2065 | 13.08 | 13.04 | -0.04 | ---- | -4.14 | -0.23 | 3.91 | ||
2066 | 13.01 | 13.04 | 0.03 | ---- | -4.26 | -0.24 | 4.03 | ||
2067 | 12.95 | 13.03 | 0.09 | ---- | -4.38 | -0.24 | 4.14 | ||
2068 | 12.89 | 13.03 | 0.14 | ---- | -4.50 | -0.25 | 4.25 | ||
2069 | 12.84 | 13.03 | 0.19 | ---- | -4.61 | -0.26 | 4.35 | ||
2070 | 12.79 | 13.03 | 0.24 | ---- | -4.71 | -0.26 | 4.45 | ||
2071 | 12.74 | 13.02 | 0.28 | ---- | -4.81 | -0.27 | 4.54 | ||
2072 | 12.70 | 13.02 | 0.32 | ---- | -4.90 | -0.27 | 4.63 | ||
2073 | 12.65 | 13.02 | 0.37 | ---- | -4.98 | -0.28 | 4.70 | ||
2074 | 12.61 | 13.02 | 0.41 | ---- | -5.06 | -0.28 | 4.77 | ||
2075 | 12.56 | 13.02 | 0.45 | ---- | -5.12 | -0.29 | 4.84 | ||
2076 | 12.51 | 13.01 | 0.50 | ---- | -5.18 | -0.29 | 4.89 | ||
2077 | 12.47 | 13.01 | 0.54 | ---- | -5.23 | -0.29 | 4.94 | ||
2078 | 12.43 | 13.01 | 0.58 | ---- | -5.28 | -0.29 | 4.98 | ||
2079 | 12.39 | 13.01 | 0.61 | ---- | -5.32 | -0.30 | 5.02 | ||
2080 | 12.36 | 13.00 | 0.65 | ---- | -5.35 | -0.30 | 5.05 | ||
2081 | 12.33 | 13.00 | 0.67 | ---- | -5.38 | -0.30 | 5.08 | ||
2082 | 12.31 | 13.00 | 0.69 | ---- | -5.41 | -0.30 | 5.11 | ||
2083 | 12.30 | 13.00 | 0.70 | ---- | -5.45 | -0.30 | 5.14 | ||
2084 | 12.30 | 13.00 | 0.70 | ---- | -5.48 | -0.31 | 5.17 | ||
2085 | 12.30 | 13.00 | 0.70 | ---- | -5.51 | -0.31 | 5.20 | ||
2086 | 12.31 | 13.00 | 0.69 | ---- | -5.54 | -0.31 | 5.23 | ||
2087 | 12.32 | 13.00 | 0.68 | ---- | -5.57 | -0.31 | 5.26 | ||
2088 | 12.33 | 13.00 | 0.67 | ---- | -5.60 | -0.31 | 5.28 | ||
2089 | 12.35 | 13.00 | 0.66 | ---- | -5.62 | -0.31 | 5.31 | ||
2090 | 12.37 | 13.01 | 0.64 | ---- | -5.65 | -0.32 | 5.33 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 14.45% | 13.75% | -0.70% | 2034 | -2.10% | -0.11% | 1.98% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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