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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.94 | -1.03 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 12.95 | -1.14 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.22 | 12.96 | -1.26 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.34 | 12.98 | -1.35 | 219 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2022 | 14.50 | 13.01 | -1.49 | 204 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2023 | 14.70 | 13.03 | -1.67 | 189 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2024 | 14.91 | 13.06 | -1.85 | 174 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2025 | 15.10 | 13.08 | -2.02 | 159 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2026 | 15.27 | 13.09 | -2.18 | 144 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.09 | ||
2027 | 15.43 | 13.11 | -2.33 | 129 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2028 | 15.59 | 13.12 | -2.47 | 114 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2029 | 15.73 | 13.13 | -2.59 | 98 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2030 | 15.84 | 13.14 | -2.70 | 83 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2031 | 15.94 | 13.15 | -2.79 | 67 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.29 | ||
2032 | 16.01 | 13.16 | -2.86 | 50 | -0.36 | -0.02 | 0.34 | ||
2033 | 16.06 | 13.16 | -2.90 | 34 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2034 | 16.07 | 13.17 | -2.90 | 16 | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
2035 | 16.07 | 13.17 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
2036 | 16.06 | 13.17 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2037 | 16.03 | 13.17 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2038 | 15.97 | 13.17 | -2.80 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2039 | 15.89 | 13.17 | -2.72 | ---- | -0.84 | -0.05 | 0.79 | ||
2040 | 15.80 | 13.17 | -2.63 | ---- | -0.92 | -0.05 | 0.87 | ||
2041 | 15.69 | 13.16 | -2.53 | ---- | -1.00 | -0.05 | 0.94 | ||
2042 | 15.59 | 13.16 | -2.43 | ---- | -1.08 | -0.06 | 1.02 | ||
2043 | 15.48 | 13.15 | -2.32 | ---- | -1.17 | -0.06 | 1.10 | ||
2044 | 15.36 | 13.15 | -2.21 | ---- | -1.25 | -0.07 | 1.19 | ||
2045 | 15.25 | 13.14 | -2.11 | ---- | -1.35 | -0.07 | 1.27 | ||
2046 | 15.13 | 13.14 | -2.00 | ---- | -1.44 | -0.08 | 1.36 | ||
2047 | 15.02 | 13.13 | -1.89 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.08 | 1.45 | ||
2048 | 14.91 | 13.13 | -1.78 | ---- | -1.64 | -0.09 | 1.55 | ||
2049 | 14.80 | 13.12 | -1.68 | ---- | -1.74 | -0.10 | 1.64 | ||
2050 | 14.71 | 13.12 | -1.59 | ---- | -1.83 | -0.10 | 1.73 | ||
2051 | 14.62 | 13.12 | -1.50 | ---- | -1.93 | -0.11 | 1.83 | ||
2052 | 14.54 | 13.11 | -1.43 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.11 | 1.92 | ||
2053 | 14.47 | 13.11 | -1.36 | ---- | -2.13 | -0.12 | 2.01 | ||
2054 | 14.42 | 13.11 | -1.31 | ---- | -2.22 | -0.12 | 2.10 | ||
2055 | 14.37 | 13.11 | -1.27 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.13 | 2.19 | ||
2056 | 14.34 | 13.10 | -1.23 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.13 | 2.27 | ||
2057 | 14.30 | 13.10 | -1.20 | ---- | -2.49 | -0.14 | 2.35 | ||
2058 | 14.28 | 13.10 | -1.18 | ---- | -2.57 | -0.14 | 2.42 | ||
2059 | 14.26 | 13.10 | -1.16 | ---- | -2.64 | -0.15 | 2.49 | ||
2060 | 14.24 | 13.10 | -1.14 | ---- | -2.71 | -0.15 | 2.56 | ||
2061 | 14.23 | 13.10 | -1.13 | ---- | -2.77 | -0.15 | 2.62 | ||
2062 | 14.23 | 13.10 | -1.12 | ---- | -2.83 | -0.16 | 2.67 | ||
2063 | 14.23 | 13.10 | -1.12 | ---- | -2.88 | -0.16 | 2.72 | ||
2064 | 14.23 | 13.10 | -1.12 | ---- | -2.93 | -0.16 | 2.77 | ||
2065 | 14.24 | 13.10 | -1.13 | ---- | -2.98 | -0.17 | 2.82 | ||
2066 | 14.25 | 13.11 | -1.14 | ---- | -3.02 | -0.17 | 2.86 | ||
2067 | 14.27 | 13.11 | -1.16 | ---- | -3.07 | -0.17 | 2.89 | ||
2068 | 14.29 | 13.11 | -1.18 | ---- | -3.10 | -0.17 | 2.93 | ||
2069 | 14.31 | 13.11 | -1.20 | ---- | -3.14 | -0.17 | 2.96 | ||
2070 | 14.33 | 13.11 | -1.22 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.18 | 2.99 | ||
2071 | 14.36 | 13.11 | -1.24 | ---- | -3.20 | -0.18 | 3.02 | ||
2072 | 14.37 | 13.11 | -1.26 | ---- | -3.22 | -0.18 | 3.04 | ||
2073 | 14.39 | 13.12 | -1.27 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.18 | 3.06 | ||
2074 | 14.40 | 13.12 | -1.28 | ---- | -3.26 | -0.18 | 3.08 | ||
2075 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.28 | -0.18 | 3.09 | ||
2076 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.29 | -0.18 | 3.10 | ||
2077 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.29 | -0.18 | 3.11 | ||
2078 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.30 | -0.18 | 3.11 | ||
2079 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.30 | -0.18 | 3.11 | ||
2080 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.30 | -0.18 | 3.12 | ||
2081 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -3.30 | -0.18 | 3.12 | ||
2082 | 14.42 | 13.12 | -1.30 | ---- | -3.30 | -0.18 | 3.12 | ||
2083 | 14.44 | 13.12 | -1.32 | ---- | -3.31 | -0.18 | 3.12 | ||
2084 | 14.46 | 13.12 | -1.34 | ---- | -3.31 | -0.19 | 3.13 | ||
2085 | 14.49 | 13.12 | -1.36 | ---- | -3.32 | -0.19 | 3.14 | ||
2086 | 14.52 | 13.12 | -1.39 | ---- | -3.33 | -0.19 | 3.14 | ||
2087 | 14.55 | 13.13 | -1.42 | ---- | -3.34 | -0.19 | 3.15 | ||
2088 | 14.58 | 13.13 | -1.45 | ---- | -3.35 | -0.19 | 3.16 | ||
2089 | 14.61 | 13.13 | -1.48 | ---- | -3.36 | -0.19 | 3.17 | ||
2090 | 14.65 | 13.13 | -1.51 | ---- | -3.37 | -0.19 | 3.18 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 14.99% | 13.78% | -1.21% | 2034 | -1.56% | -0.09% | 1.47% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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