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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.94 | -1.03 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 12.95 | -1.14 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.22 | 12.96 | -1.26 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.33 | 12.98 | -1.35 | 219 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2022 | 14.50 | 13.01 | -1.49 | 204 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2023 | 14.69 | 13.03 | -1.66 | 189 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2024 | 14.90 | 13.06 | -1.84 | 174 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2025 | 15.08 | 13.08 | -2.01 | 159 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2026 | 15.25 | 13.09 | -2.16 | 144 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2027 | 15.41 | 13.10 | -2.30 | 129 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2028 | 15.56 | 13.12 | -2.44 | 114 | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
2029 | 15.69 | 13.13 | -2.56 | 99 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.22 | ||
2030 | 15.81 | 13.14 | -2.67 | 84 | -0.29 | -0.02 | 0.27 | ||
2031 | 15.90 | 13.15 | -2.76 | 68 | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
2032 | 15.98 | 13.16 | -2.82 | 52 | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
2033 | 16.02 | 13.16 | -2.86 | 35 | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.43 | ||
2034 | 16.04 | 13.16 | -2.88 | 18 | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
2035 | 16.05 | 13.17 | -2.88 | 1 | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2036 | 16.04 | 13.17 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.03 | 0.60 | ||
2037 | 16.02 | 13.17 | -2.85 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2038 | 15.97 | 13.17 | -2.80 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.04 | 0.72 | ||
2039 | 15.90 | 13.17 | -2.73 | ---- | -0.83 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2040 | 15.82 | 13.17 | -2.65 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2041 | 15.73 | 13.16 | -2.56 | ---- | -0.96 | -0.05 | 0.91 | ||
2042 | 15.63 | 13.16 | -2.47 | ---- | -1.03 | -0.06 | 0.98 | ||
2043 | 15.54 | 13.16 | -2.38 | ---- | -1.10 | -0.06 | 1.04 | ||
2044 | 15.44 | 13.15 | -2.29 | ---- | -1.17 | -0.06 | 1.11 | ||
2045 | 15.35 | 13.15 | -2.20 | ---- | -1.25 | -0.07 | 1.18 | ||
2046 | 15.26 | 13.14 | -2.11 | ---- | -1.32 | -0.07 | 1.25 | ||
2047 | 15.17 | 13.14 | -2.03 | ---- | -1.39 | -0.08 | 1.32 | ||
2048 | 15.08 | 13.14 | -1.94 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.08 | 1.39 | ||
2049 | 15.00 | 13.13 | -1.86 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.08 | 1.46 | ||
2050 | 14.92 | 13.13 | -1.79 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.09 | 1.53 | ||
2051 | 14.86 | 13.13 | -1.73 | ---- | -1.69 | -0.09 | 1.60 | ||
2052 | 14.80 | 13.13 | -1.68 | ---- | -1.77 | -0.10 | 1.67 | ||
2053 | 14.75 | 13.12 | -1.63 | ---- | -1.85 | -0.10 | 1.75 | ||
2054 | 14.71 | 13.12 | -1.59 | ---- | -1.93 | -0.11 | 1.82 | ||
2055 | 14.68 | 13.12 | -1.56 | ---- | -2.01 | -0.11 | 1.90 | ||
2056 | 14.65 | 13.12 | -1.53 | ---- | -2.09 | -0.12 | 1.97 | ||
2057 | 14.63 | 13.12 | -1.50 | ---- | -2.17 | -0.12 | 2.05 | ||
2058 | 14.60 | 13.12 | -1.48 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.12 | 2.12 | ||
2059 | 14.58 | 13.12 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.13 | 2.20 | ||
2060 | 14.55 | 13.12 | -1.43 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.13 | 2.27 | ||
2061 | 14.53 | 13.12 | -1.41 | ---- | -2.48 | -0.14 | 2.34 | ||
2062 | 14.51 | 13.12 | -1.39 | ---- | -2.55 | -0.14 | 2.41 | ||
2063 | 14.48 | 13.12 | -1.37 | ---- | -2.62 | -0.15 | 2.48 | ||
2064 | 14.46 | 13.12 | -1.35 | ---- | -2.70 | -0.15 | 2.55 | ||
2065 | 14.45 | 13.12 | -1.33 | ---- | -2.77 | -0.15 | 2.62 | ||
2066 | 14.43 | 13.12 | -1.31 | ---- | -2.84 | -0.16 | 2.68 | ||
2067 | 14.42 | 13.12 | -1.30 | ---- | -2.92 | -0.16 | 2.75 | ||
2068 | 14.40 | 13.11 | -1.29 | ---- | -2.99 | -0.17 | 2.82 | ||
2069 | 14.39 | 13.11 | -1.27 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.17 | 2.89 | ||
2070 | 14.37 | 13.11 | -1.26 | ---- | -3.13 | -0.17 | 2.96 | ||
2071 | 14.35 | 13.11 | -1.24 | ---- | -3.20 | -0.18 | 3.02 | ||
2072 | 14.33 | 13.11 | -1.21 | ---- | -3.27 | -0.18 | 3.09 | ||
2073 | 14.30 | 13.11 | -1.19 | ---- | -3.34 | -0.19 | 3.15 | ||
2074 | 14.26 | 13.11 | -1.15 | ---- | -3.40 | -0.19 | 3.21 | ||
2075 | 14.22 | 13.11 | -1.11 | ---- | -3.46 | -0.19 | 3.27 | ||
2076 | 14.18 | 13.11 | -1.07 | ---- | -3.52 | -0.20 | 3.33 | ||
2077 | 14.13 | 13.10 | -1.02 | ---- | -3.58 | -0.20 | 3.38 | ||
2078 | 14.08 | 13.10 | -0.98 | ---- | -3.63 | -0.20 | 3.43 | ||
2079 | 14.03 | 13.10 | -0.93 | ---- | -3.68 | -0.21 | 3.48 | ||
2080 | 13.98 | 13.09 | -0.88 | ---- | -3.73 | -0.21 | 3.52 | ||
2081 | 13.93 | 13.09 | -0.84 | ---- | -3.78 | -0.21 | 3.57 | ||
2082 | 13.89 | 13.09 | -0.80 | ---- | -3.84 | -0.21 | 3.62 | ||
2083 | 13.86 | 13.09 | -0.77 | ---- | -3.89 | -0.22 | 3.67 | ||
2084 | 13.83 | 13.09 | -0.74 | ---- | -3.95 | -0.22 | 3.73 | ||
2085 | 13.80 | 13.08 | -0.72 | ---- | -4.01 | -0.22 | 3.78 | ||
2086 | 13.78 | 13.08 | -0.69 | ---- | -4.07 | -0.23 | 3.84 | ||
2087 | 13.76 | 13.08 | -0.67 | ---- | -4.13 | -0.23 | 3.90 | ||
2088 | 13.74 | 13.08 | -0.66 | ---- | -4.19 | -0.23 | 3.96 | ||
2089 | 13.72 | 13.08 | -0.64 | ---- | -4.25 | -0.24 | 4.01 | ||
2090 | 13.70 | 13.08 | -0.62 | ---- | -4.31 | -0.24 | 4.07 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 14.97% | 13.78% | -1.20% | 2035 | -1.57% | -0.09% | 1.49% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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