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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 16.62 | 12.99 | -3.64 | 248 | 2.74 | 0.11 | -2.64 | ||
2017 | 16.64 | 13.02 | -3.62 | 219 | 2.75 | 0.11 | -2.64 | ||
2018 | 16.73 | 13.05 | -3.68 | 191 | 2.76 | 0.11 | -2.65 | ||
2019 | 16.87 | 13.07 | -3.81 | 164 | 2.79 | 0.12 | -2.67 | ||
2020 | 17.04 | 13.09 | -3.96 | 137 | 2.82 | 0.12 | -2.69 | ||
2021 | 17.18 | 13.11 | -4.08 | 111 | 2.84 | 0.12 | -2.71 | ||
2022 | 17.39 | 13.14 | -4.25 | 85 | 2.87 | 0.13 | -2.75 | ||
2023 | 17.64 | 13.16 | -4.48 | 59 | 2.92 | 0.13 | -2.78 | ||
2024 | 17.92 | 13.20 | -4.72 | 33 | 2.96 | 0.14 | -2.83 | ||
2025 | 18.17 | 13.22 | -4.95 | 7 | 3.00 | 0.14 | -2.86 | ||
2026 | 18.41 | 13.24 | -5.17 | ---- | 3.04 | 0.14 | -2.90 | ||
2027 | 18.64 | 13.26 | -5.38 | ---- | 3.08 | 0.15 | -2.94 | ||
2028 | 18.87 | 13.28 | -5.60 | ---- | 3.12 | 0.15 | -2.97 | ||
2029 | 19.09 | 13.29 | -5.80 | ---- | 3.16 | 0.15 | -3.01 | ||
2030 | 19.29 | 13.31 | -5.98 | ---- | 3.19 | 0.16 | -3.04 | ||
2031 | 19.47 | 13.32 | -6.14 | ---- | 3.22 | 0.16 | -3.07 | ||
2032 | 19.62 | 13.34 | -6.29 | ---- | 3.25 | 0.16 | -3.09 | ||
2033 | 19.75 | 13.35 | -6.40 | ---- | 3.27 | 0.16 | -3.11 | ||
2034 | 19.84 | 13.35 | -6.48 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.16 | -3.12 | ||
2035 | 19.92 | 13.36 | -6.56 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.16 | -3.14 | ||
2036 | 19.99 | 13.37 | -6.62 | ---- | 3.31 | 0.16 | -3.15 | ||
2037 | 20.04 | 13.37 | -6.66 | ---- | 3.32 | 0.17 | -3.15 | ||
2038 | 20.05 | 13.38 | -6.67 | ---- | 3.32 | 0.17 | -3.16 | ||
2039 | 20.05 | 13.38 | -6.67 | ---- | 3.32 | 0.17 | -3.16 | ||
2040 | 20.03 | 13.38 | -6.65 | ---- | 3.32 | 0.17 | -3.15 | ||
2041 | 20.00 | 13.38 | -6.62 | ---- | 3.32 | 0.17 | -3.15 | ||
2042 | 19.98 | 13.38 | -6.59 | ---- | 3.31 | 0.17 | -3.14 | ||
2043 | 19.95 | 13.38 | -6.56 | ---- | 3.31 | 0.17 | -3.14 | ||
2044 | 19.92 | 13.38 | -6.54 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.17 | -3.13 | ||
2045 | 19.89 | 13.38 | -6.51 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.17 | -3.13 | ||
2046 | 19.87 | 13.38 | -6.48 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.17 | -3.13 | ||
2047 | 19.85 | 13.38 | -6.47 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.17 | -3.12 | ||
2048 | 19.84 | 13.39 | -6.45 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.17 | -3.12 | ||
2049 | 19.83 | 13.39 | -6.44 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.17 | -3.12 | ||
2050 | 19.83 | 13.39 | -6.44 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.17 | -3.12 | ||
2051 | 19.84 | 13.39 | -6.45 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.17 | -3.12 | ||
2052 | 19.87 | 13.39 | -6.48 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.17 | -3.13 | ||
2053 | 19.91 | 13.40 | -6.51 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.17 | -3.13 | ||
2054 | 19.95 | 13.40 | -6.55 | ---- | 3.31 | 0.17 | -3.14 | ||
2055 | 20.01 | 13.40 | -6.60 | ---- | 3.32 | 0.17 | -3.15 | ||
2056 | 20.07 | 13.41 | -6.66 | ---- | 3.33 | 0.17 | -3.16 | ||
2057 | 20.13 | 13.41 | -6.72 | ---- | 3.34 | 0.17 | -3.17 | ||
2058 | 20.20 | 13.42 | -6.78 | ---- | 3.35 | 0.17 | -3.18 | ||
2059 | 20.26 | 13.42 | -6.84 | ---- | 3.36 | 0.17 | -3.19 | ||
2060 | 20.33 | 13.43 | -6.90 | ---- | 3.37 | 0.17 | -3.20 | ||
2061 | 20.39 | 13.43 | -6.96 | ---- | 3.38 | 0.18 | -3.21 | ||
2062 | 20.45 | 13.44 | -7.02 | ---- | 3.39 | 0.18 | -3.22 | ||
2063 | 20.51 | 13.44 | -7.08 | ---- | 3.41 | 0.18 | -3.23 | ||
2064 | 20.58 | 13.44 | -7.13 | ---- | 3.42 | 0.18 | -3.24 | ||
2065 | 20.64 | 13.45 | -7.20 | ---- | 3.43 | 0.18 | -3.25 | ||
2066 | 20.71 | 13.45 | -7.26 | ---- | 3.44 | 0.18 | -3.26 | ||
2067 | 20.78 | 13.46 | -7.32 | ---- | 3.45 | 0.18 | -3.27 | ||
2068 | 20.85 | 13.46 | -7.39 | ---- | 3.46 | 0.18 | -3.28 | ||
2069 | 20.92 | 13.47 | -7.45 | ---- | 3.47 | 0.18 | -3.29 | ||
2070 | 20.99 | 13.47 | -7.52 | ---- | 3.49 | 0.18 | -3.30 | ||
2071 | 21.05 | 13.47 | -7.57 | ---- | 3.50 | 0.18 | -3.31 | ||
2072 | 21.10 | 13.48 | -7.62 | ---- | 3.50 | 0.18 | -3.32 | ||
2073 | 21.15 | 13.48 | -7.67 | ---- | 3.51 | 0.18 | -3.33 | ||
2074 | 21.18 | 13.48 | -7.70 | ---- | 3.52 | 0.18 | -3.33 | ||
2075 | 21.21 | 13.49 | -7.72 | ---- | 3.52 | 0.18 | -3.34 | ||
2076 | 21.22 | 13.49 | -7.74 | ---- | 3.53 | 0.18 | -3.34 | ||
2077 | 21.23 | 13.49 | -7.74 | ---- | 3.53 | 0.18 | -3.34 | ||
2078 | 21.23 | 13.49 | -7.75 | ---- | 3.53 | 0.18 | -3.34 | ||
2079 | 21.24 | 13.49 | -7.75 | ---- | 3.53 | 0.18 | -3.34 | ||
2080 | 21.24 | 13.49 | -7.75 | ---- | 3.53 | 0.18 | -3.34 | ||
2081 | 21.25 | 13.49 | -7.76 | ---- | 3.53 | 0.18 | -3.35 | ||
2082 | 21.26 | 13.49 | -7.77 | ---- | 3.53 | 0.18 | -3.35 | ||
2083 | 21.28 | 13.49 | -7.79 | ---- | 3.54 | 0.19 | -3.35 | ||
2084 | 21.32 | 13.49 | -7.83 | ---- | 3.54 | 0.19 | -3.36 | ||
2085 | 21.36 | 13.49 | -7.86 | ---- | 3.55 | 0.19 | -3.36 | ||
2086 | 21.40 | 13.50 | -7.91 | ---- | 3.56 | 0.19 | -3.37 | ||
2087 | 21.45 | 13.50 | -7.95 | ---- | 3.57 | 0.19 | -3.38 | ||
2088 | 21.50 | 13.50 | -8.00 | ---- | 3.57 | 0.19 | -3.39 | ||
2089 | 21.55 | 13.51 | -8.05 | ---- | 3.58 | 0.19 | -3.40 | ||
2090 | 21.61 | 13.51 | -8.10 | ---- | 3.59 | 0.19 | -3.40 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 19.79% | 14.02% | -5.77% | 2025 | 3.25% | 0.16% | -3.08% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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