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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.94 | -1.03 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 12.95 | -1.14 | 248 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 12.96 | -1.26 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 12.98 | -1.36 | 219 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 13.01 | -1.51 | 204 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.72 | 13.03 | -1.69 | 189 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2024 | 14.95 | 13.06 | -1.89 | 173 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2025 | 15.15 | 13.08 | -2.07 | 158 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2026 | 15.35 | 13.10 | -2.25 | 142 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2027 | 15.54 | 13.11 | -2.42 | 127 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2028 | 15.72 | 13.13 | -2.60 | 111 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2029 | 15.90 | 13.14 | -2.76 | 95 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2030 | 16.06 | 13.15 | -2.90 | 78 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2031 | 16.19 | 13.16 | -3.02 | 61 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2032 | 16.30 | 13.17 | -3.13 | 43 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2033 | 16.39 | 13.18 | -3.21 | 25 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.09 | ||
2034 | 16.45 | 13.19 | -3.26 | 6 | -0.10 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2035 | 16.50 | 13.19 | -3.30 | ---- | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.12 | ||
2036 | 16.54 | 13.20 | -3.34 | ---- | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.13 | ||
2037 | 16.56 | 13.20 | -3.36 | ---- | -0.16 | 0.00 | 0.15 | ||
2038 | 16.55 | 13.21 | -3.35 | ---- | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2039 | 16.53 | 13.21 | -3.32 | ---- | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2040 | 16.50 | 13.21 | -3.29 | ---- | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2041 | 16.46 | 13.21 | -3.25 | ---- | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2042 | 16.41 | 13.21 | -3.20 | ---- | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2043 | 16.37 | 13.21 | -3.16 | ---- | -0.28 | -0.01 | 0.27 | ||
2044 | 16.32 | 13.21 | -3.11 | ---- | -0.30 | -0.01 | 0.29 | ||
2045 | 16.27 | 13.20 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.32 | -0.01 | 0.31 | ||
2046 | 16.23 | 13.20 | -3.02 | ---- | -0.35 | -0.01 | 0.34 | ||
2047 | 16.18 | 13.20 | -2.98 | ---- | -0.37 | -0.01 | 0.36 | ||
2048 | 16.15 | 13.20 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.40 | -0.01 | 0.39 | ||
2049 | 16.11 | 13.20 | -2.91 | ---- | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.41 | ||
2050 | 16.08 | 13.20 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.46 | -0.02 | 0.44 | ||
2051 | 16.06 | 13.20 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.02 | 0.47 | ||
2052 | 16.05 | 13.20 | -2.85 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.02 | 0.50 | ||
2053 | 16.05 | 13.20 | -2.84 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.02 | 0.53 | ||
2054 | 16.06 | 13.21 | -2.85 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.02 | 0.56 | ||
2055 | 16.07 | 13.21 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.02 | 0.59 | ||
2056 | 16.09 | 13.21 | -2.88 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.03 | 0.62 | ||
2057 | 16.12 | 13.21 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.03 | 0.65 | ||
2058 | 16.14 | 13.22 | -2.93 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.03 | 0.68 | ||
2059 | 16.17 | 13.22 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.03 | 0.70 | ||
2060 | 16.19 | 13.22 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.76 | -0.03 | 0.73 | ||
2061 | 16.21 | 13.22 | -2.99 | ---- | -0.79 | -0.03 | 0.76 | ||
2062 | 16.24 | 13.23 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.03 | 0.79 | ||
2063 | 16.26 | 13.23 | -3.03 | ---- | -0.85 | -0.04 | 0.81 | ||
2064 | 16.28 | 13.23 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.88 | -0.04 | 0.84 | ||
2065 | 16.31 | 13.23 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.91 | -0.04 | 0.87 | ||
2066 | 16.33 | 13.23 | -3.10 | ---- | -0.94 | -0.04 | 0.90 | ||
2067 | 16.36 | 13.24 | -3.13 | ---- | -0.97 | -0.04 | 0.93 | ||
2068 | 16.39 | 13.24 | -3.15 | ---- | -1.00 | -0.04 | 0.96 | ||
2069 | 16.42 | 13.24 | -3.18 | ---- | -1.03 | -0.04 | 0.98 | ||
2070 | 16.44 | 13.24 | -3.20 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.04 | 1.01 | ||
2071 | 16.46 | 13.25 | -3.22 | ---- | -1.09 | -0.05 | 1.05 | ||
2072 | 16.47 | 13.25 | -3.23 | ---- | -1.12 | -0.05 | 1.07 | ||
2073 | 16.48 | 13.25 | -3.23 | ---- | -1.15 | -0.05 | 1.10 | ||
2074 | 16.49 | 13.25 | -3.24 | ---- | -1.18 | -0.05 | 1.13 | ||
2075 | 16.48 | 13.25 | -3.23 | ---- | -1.20 | -0.05 | 1.15 | ||
2076 | 16.48 | 13.25 | -3.23 | ---- | -1.21 | -0.05 | 1.16 | ||
2077 | 16.47 | 13.25 | -3.22 | ---- | -1.23 | -0.05 | 1.18 | ||
2078 | 16.45 | 13.25 | -3.20 | ---- | -1.26 | -0.05 | 1.21 | ||
2079 | 16.41 | 13.25 | -3.17 | ---- | -1.29 | -0.06 | 1.24 | ||
2080 | 16.38 | 13.24 | -3.13 | ---- | -1.33 | -0.06 | 1.27 | ||
2081 | 16.36 | 13.24 | -3.12 | ---- | -1.35 | -0.06 | 1.30 | ||
2082 | 16.34 | 13.24 | -3.10 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.06 | 1.32 | ||
2083 | 16.33 | 13.24 | -3.09 | ---- | -1.42 | -0.06 | 1.36 | ||
2084 | 16.32 | 13.24 | -3.08 | ---- | -1.45 | -0.06 | 1.39 | ||
2085 | 16.32 | 13.24 | -3.08 | ---- | -1.49 | -0.06 | 1.42 | ||
2086 | 16.31 | 13.24 | -3.07 | ---- | -1.54 | -0.07 | 1.47 | ||
2087 | 16.31 | 13.24 | -3.07 | ---- | -1.57 | -0.07 | 1.50 | ||
2088 | 16.33 | 13.24 | -3.08 | ---- | -1.60 | -0.07 | 1.53 | ||
2089 | 16.35 | 13.24 | -3.11 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.07 | 1.55 | ||
2090 | 16.38 | 13.25 | -3.14 | ---- | -1.63 | -0.07 | 1.56 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.04% | 13.84% | -2.20% | 2034 | -0.51% | -0.02% | 0.48% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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