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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 14.22 | 0.33 | 298 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 14.34 | 0.45 | 289 | 0.00 | 1.43 | 1.43 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 14.41 | 0.45 | 283 | 0.00 | 1.48 | 1.48 | ||
2019 | 14.08 | 14.47 | 0.39 | 277 | 0.00 | 1.52 | 1.52 | ||
2020 | 14.22 | 14.52 | 0.30 | 271 | 0.00 | 1.56 | 1.56 | ||
2021 | 14.34 | 14.58 | 0.24 | 266 | 0.00 | 1.60 | 1.60 | ||
2022 | 14.51 | 14.65 | 0.14 | 261 | -0.01 | 1.64 | 1.64 | ||
2023 | 14.72 | 14.70 | -0.02 | 255 | -0.01 | 1.67 | 1.68 | ||
2024 | 14.95 | 14.77 | -0.18 | 249 | -0.01 | 1.71 | 1.71 | ||
2025 | 15.16 | 14.84 | -0.32 | 243 | -0.01 | 1.76 | 1.77 | ||
2026 | 15.35 | 14.91 | -0.44 | 238 | -0.01 | 1.82 | 1.82 | ||
2027 | 15.55 | 14.99 | -0.56 | 233 | -0.01 | 1.87 | 1.88 | ||
2028 | 15.74 | 15.06 | -0.68 | 228 | -0.01 | 1.93 | 1.95 | ||
2029 | 15.92 | 15.14 | -0.78 | 224 | -0.01 | 2.00 | 2.01 | ||
2030 | 16.08 | 15.22 | -0.86 | 220 | -0.01 | 2.07 | 2.08 | ||
2031 | 16.23 | 15.30 | -0.93 | 216 | -0.01 | 2.14 | 2.15 | ||
2032 | 16.36 | 15.39 | -0.97 | 212 | -0.02 | 2.21 | 2.23 | ||
2033 | 16.46 | 15.47 | -0.99 | 207 | -0.02 | 2.29 | 2.31 | ||
2034 | 16.53 | 15.51 | -1.02 | 203 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2035 | 16.60 | 15.52 | -1.08 | 199 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2036 | 16.66 | 15.52 | -1.13 | 195 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2037 | 16.69 | 15.53 | -1.17 | 190 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2038 | 16.70 | 15.53 | -1.17 | 185 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2039 | 16.70 | 15.54 | -1.16 | 181 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2040 | 16.68 | 15.54 | -1.15 | 176 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2041 | 16.66 | 15.54 | -1.12 | 172 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2042 | 16.63 | 15.54 | -1.09 | 168 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2043 | 16.61 | 15.54 | -1.07 | 164 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2044 | 16.58 | 15.54 | -1.04 | 160 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2045 | 16.56 | 15.54 | -1.02 | 156 | -0.04 | 2.33 | 2.36 | ||
2046 | 16.53 | 15.54 | -0.99 | 152 | -0.04 | 2.33 | 2.37 | ||
2047 | 16.52 | 15.54 | -0.97 | 148 | -0.04 | 2.33 | 2.37 | ||
2048 | 16.50 | 15.54 | -0.96 | 144 | -0.04 | 2.33 | 2.37 | ||
2049 | 16.49 | 15.55 | -0.95 | 140 | -0.05 | 2.33 | 2.37 | ||
2050 | 16.49 | 15.55 | -0.94 | 137 | -0.05 | 2.33 | 2.38 | ||
2051 | 16.50 | 15.55 | -0.95 | 133 | -0.05 | 2.33 | 2.38 | ||
2052 | 16.52 | 15.55 | -0.97 | 129 | -0.05 | 2.33 | 2.38 | ||
2053 | 16.55 | 15.56 | -0.99 | 124 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2054 | 16.58 | 15.56 | -1.02 | 120 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2055 | 16.63 | 15.56 | -1.06 | 115 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2056 | 16.68 | 15.57 | -1.11 | 110 | -0.06 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2057 | 16.73 | 15.57 | -1.15 | 105 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2058 | 16.78 | 15.58 | -1.20 | 99 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2059 | 16.83 | 15.58 | -1.25 | 93 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2060 | 16.88 | 15.59 | -1.29 | 87 | -0.07 | 2.34 | 2.41 | ||
2061 | 16.93 | 15.59 | -1.34 | 81 | -0.07 | 2.34 | 2.41 | ||
2062 | 16.98 | 15.60 | -1.38 | 74 | -0.08 | 2.34 | 2.41 | ||
2063 | 17.03 | 15.60 | -1.43 | 67 | -0.08 | 2.34 | 2.42 | ||
2064 | 17.08 | 15.61 | -1.48 | 59 | -0.08 | 2.34 | 2.42 | ||
2065 | 17.14 | 15.61 | -1.53 | 52 | -0.08 | 2.34 | 2.42 | ||
2066 | 17.19 | 15.61 | -1.58 | 43 | -0.08 | 2.34 | 2.42 | ||
2067 | 17.25 | 15.62 | -1.63 | 35 | -0.08 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2068 | 17.30 | 15.62 | -1.68 | 26 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2069 | 17.36 | 15.63 | -1.73 | 17 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2070 | 17.41 | 15.63 | -1.78 | 8 | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.43 | ||
2071 | 17.46 | 15.64 | -1.83 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2072 | 17.51 | 15.64 | -1.86 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2073 | 17.54 | 15.65 | -1.90 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2074 | 17.57 | 15.65 | -1.92 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2075 | 17.59 | 15.65 | -1.94 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2076 | 17.60 | 15.65 | -1.95 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2077 | 17.61 | 15.66 | -1.95 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2078 | 17.61 | 15.66 | -1.95 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2079 | 17.61 | 15.66 | -1.95 | ---- | -0.09 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2080 | 17.61 | 15.66 | -1.95 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2081 | 17.62 | 15.66 | -1.96 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2082 | 17.63 | 15.66 | -1.97 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2083 | 17.65 | 15.67 | -1.99 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2084 | 17.68 | 15.67 | -2.01 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2085 | 17.71 | 15.67 | -2.04 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2086 | 17.75 | 15.68 | -2.07 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 | ||
2087 | 17.79 | 15.68 | -2.11 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.37 | 2.46 | ||
2088 | 17.83 | 15.68 | -2.15 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.37 | 2.46 | ||
2089 | 17.88 | 15.69 | -2.19 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.37 | 2.46 | ||
2090 | 17.92 | 15.69 | -2.23 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.37 | 2.47 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.50% | 16.00% | -0.50% | 2070 | -0.05% | 2.13% | 2.18% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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