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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 13.16 | -0.73 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.25 | 0.25 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 13.40 | -0.57 | 266 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 13.60 | -0.48 | 253 | 0.00 | 0.65 | 0.65 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 13.77 | -0.46 | 242 | 0.00 | 0.81 | 0.81 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 13.93 | -0.42 | 233 | 0.00 | 0.94 | 0.94 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 14.08 | -0.44 | 224 | 0.00 | 1.07 | 1.07 | ||
2023 | 14.73 | 14.08 | -0.65 | 215 | 0.01 | 1.05 | 1.04 | ||
2024 | 14.97 | 14.09 | -0.88 | 206 | 0.01 | 1.03 | 1.02 | ||
2025 | 15.18 | 14.11 | -1.07 | 196 | 0.01 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2026 | 15.38 | 14.13 | -1.26 | 187 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2027 | 15.58 | 14.14 | -1.44 | 177 | 0.02 | 1.03 | 1.01 | ||
2028 | 15.78 | 14.16 | -1.62 | 167 | 0.03 | 1.03 | 1.00 | ||
2029 | 15.97 | 14.17 | -1.79 | 157 | 0.04 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
2030 | 16.14 | 14.19 | -1.95 | 146 | 0.04 | 1.03 | 0.99 | ||
2031 | 16.30 | 14.20 | -2.09 | 135 | 0.05 | 1.03 | 0.98 | ||
2032 | 16.43 | 14.21 | -2.22 | 123 | 0.06 | 1.04 | 0.98 | ||
2033 | 16.55 | 14.22 | -2.32 | 111 | 0.07 | 1.04 | 0.97 | ||
2034 | 16.63 | 14.23 | -2.40 | 98 | 0.08 | 1.04 | 0.96 | ||
2035 | 16.71 | 14.24 | -2.47 | 85 | 0.09 | 1.04 | 0.95 | ||
2036 | 16.77 | 14.25 | -2.53 | 71 | 0.10 | 1.04 | 0.95 | ||
2037 | 16.82 | 14.25 | -2.57 | 57 | 0.10 | 1.04 | 0.94 | ||
2038 | 16.84 | 14.26 | -2.59 | 43 | 0.11 | 1.04 | 0.93 | ||
2039 | 16.85 | 14.26 | -2.59 | 29 | 0.12 | 1.05 | 0.92 | ||
2040 | 16.85 | 14.26 | -2.58 | 14 | 0.13 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2041 | 16.83 | 14.26 | -2.57 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2042 | 16.82 | 14.27 | -2.55 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.05 | 0.90 | ||
2043 | 16.80 | 14.27 | -2.54 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.05 | 0.89 | ||
2044 | 16.79 | 14.27 | -2.52 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.05 | 0.88 | ||
2045 | 16.78 | 14.27 | -2.51 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.05 | 0.87 | ||
2046 | 16.77 | 14.27 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.06 | 0.86 | ||
2047 | 16.76 | 14.27 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.06 | 0.85 | ||
2048 | 16.76 | 14.28 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.06 | 0.84 | ||
2049 | 16.76 | 14.28 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.06 | 0.84 | ||
2050 | 16.78 | 14.28 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.06 | 0.83 | ||
2051 | 16.80 | 14.29 | -2.51 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.06 | 0.82 | ||
2052 | 16.83 | 14.29 | -2.54 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.07 | 0.81 | ||
2053 | 16.87 | 14.29 | -2.58 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.07 | 0.80 | ||
2054 | 16.92 | 14.30 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.07 | 0.79 | ||
2055 | 16.98 | 14.31 | -2.67 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.07 | 0.78 | ||
2056 | 17.04 | 14.31 | -2.73 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.07 | 0.77 | ||
2057 | 17.11 | 14.32 | -2.79 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.08 | 0.76 | ||
2058 | 17.17 | 14.32 | -2.85 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.08 | 0.75 | ||
2059 | 17.24 | 14.33 | -2.91 | ---- | 0.34 | 1.08 | 0.74 | ||
2060 | 17.30 | 14.33 | -2.97 | ---- | 0.35 | 1.08 | 0.73 | ||
2061 | 17.36 | 14.34 | -3.02 | ---- | 0.36 | 1.08 | 0.72 | ||
2062 | 17.43 | 14.34 | -3.08 | ---- | 0.37 | 1.09 | 0.72 | ||
2063 | 17.49 | 14.35 | -3.14 | ---- | 0.38 | 1.09 | 0.71 | ||
2064 | 17.55 | 14.36 | -3.19 | ---- | 0.39 | 1.09 | 0.70 | ||
2065 | 17.61 | 14.36 | -3.25 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.09 | 0.69 | ||
2066 | 17.68 | 14.37 | -3.31 | ---- | 0.40 | 1.09 | 0.69 | ||
2067 | 17.74 | 14.37 | -3.37 | ---- | 0.41 | 1.09 | 0.68 | ||
2068 | 17.81 | 14.38 | -3.43 | ---- | 0.42 | 1.10 | 0.68 | ||
2069 | 17.87 | 14.38 | -3.49 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.10 | 0.67 | ||
2070 | 17.93 | 14.39 | -3.55 | ---- | 0.43 | 1.10 | 0.67 | ||
2071 | 17.99 | 14.39 | -3.60 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.10 | 0.66 | ||
2072 | 18.04 | 14.40 | -3.64 | ---- | 0.44 | 1.10 | 0.66 | ||
2073 | 18.08 | 14.40 | -3.68 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.10 | 0.65 | ||
2074 | 18.12 | 14.40 | -3.71 | ---- | 0.45 | 1.10 | 0.65 | ||
2075 | 18.14 | 14.41 | -3.74 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.10 | 0.65 | ||
2076 | 18.16 | 14.41 | -3.75 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.65 | ||
2077 | 18.17 | 14.41 | -3.76 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2078 | 18.17 | 14.41 | -3.76 | ---- | 0.46 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2079 | 18.17 | 14.41 | -3.76 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2080 | 18.18 | 14.41 | -3.76 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2081 | 18.18 | 14.41 | -3.77 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2082 | 18.20 | 14.41 | -3.78 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2083 | 18.22 | 14.42 | -3.80 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2084 | 18.25 | 14.42 | -3.83 | ---- | 0.47 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2085 | 18.28 | 14.42 | -3.86 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2086 | 18.32 | 14.42 | -3.90 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2087 | 18.37 | 14.43 | -3.94 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.11 | 0.64 | ||
2088 | 18.41 | 14.43 | -3.98 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.12 | 0.63 | ||
2089 | 18.45 | 14.43 | -4.02 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.12 | 0.63 | ||
2090 | 18.50 | 14.44 | -4.06 | ---- | 0.48 | 1.12 | 0.63 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.76% | 14.86% | -1.90% | 2040 | 0.21% | 1.00% | 0.79% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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