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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.95 | -0.94 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.04 | 0.04 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 13.02 | -0.95 | 264 | 0.00 | 0.08 | 0.08 | ||
2019 | 14.09 | 13.07 | -1.01 | 249 | 0.00 | 0.12 | 0.12 | ||
2020 | 14.23 | 13.12 | -1.10 | 235 | 0.00 | 0.16 | 0.16 | ||
2021 | 14.35 | 13.18 | -1.17 | 221 | 0.00 | 0.20 | 0.20 | ||
2022 | 14.52 | 13.24 | -1.28 | 208 | 0.00 | 0.23 | 0.23 | ||
2023 | 14.73 | 13.30 | -1.43 | 194 | 0.00 | 0.27 | 0.27 | ||
2024 | 14.96 | 13.36 | -1.60 | 180 | 0.00 | 0.30 | 0.30 | ||
2025 | 15.17 | 13.41 | -1.75 | 166 | 0.00 | 0.33 | 0.33 | ||
2026 | 15.37 | 13.46 | -1.90 | 153 | 0.00 | 0.37 | 0.36 | ||
2027 | 15.56 | 13.51 | -2.05 | 139 | 0.01 | 0.40 | 0.39 | ||
2028 | 15.76 | 13.56 | -2.20 | 125 | 0.01 | 0.43 | 0.42 | ||
2029 | 15.94 | 13.60 | -2.34 | 112 | 0.01 | 0.46 | 0.45 | ||
2030 | 16.11 | 13.64 | -2.46 | 98 | 0.01 | 0.49 | 0.48 | ||
2031 | 16.26 | 13.69 | -2.57 | 83 | 0.01 | 0.52 | 0.51 | ||
2032 | 16.39 | 13.72 | -2.67 | 69 | 0.02 | 0.55 | 0.53 | ||
2033 | 16.50 | 13.76 | -2.74 | 53 | 0.02 | 0.57 | 0.56 | ||
2034 | 16.57 | 13.79 | -2.78 | 37 | 0.02 | 0.60 | 0.58 | ||
2035 | 16.65 | 13.83 | -2.82 | 21 | 0.03 | 0.63 | 0.60 | ||
2036 | 16.71 | 13.86 | -2.85 | 5 | 0.03 | 0.66 | 0.63 | ||
2037 | 16.75 | 13.89 | -2.86 | ---- | 0.03 | 0.68 | 0.65 | ||
2038 | 16.77 | 13.92 | -2.85 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.71 | 0.67 | ||
2039 | 16.77 | 13.95 | -2.82 | ---- | 0.04 | 0.73 | 0.69 | ||
2040 | 16.76 | 13.97 | -2.79 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.76 | 0.71 | ||
2041 | 16.74 | 14.00 | -2.74 | ---- | 0.05 | 0.78 | 0.73 | ||
2042 | 16.72 | 14.02 | -2.70 | ---- | 0.06 | 0.80 | 0.75 | ||
2043 | 16.70 | 14.04 | -2.66 | ---- | 0.06 | 0.83 | 0.77 | ||
2044 | 16.68 | 14.07 | -2.62 | ---- | 0.07 | 0.85 | 0.78 | ||
2045 | 16.67 | 14.09 | -2.58 | ---- | 0.07 | 0.87 | 0.80 | ||
2046 | 16.65 | 14.11 | -2.54 | ---- | 0.08 | 0.89 | 0.81 | ||
2047 | 16.64 | 14.13 | -2.51 | ---- | 0.08 | 0.92 | 0.83 | ||
2048 | 16.64 | 14.16 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.09 | 0.94 | 0.85 | ||
2049 | 16.64 | 14.18 | -2.46 | ---- | 0.10 | 0.96 | 0.86 | ||
2050 | 16.65 | 14.20 | -2.45 | ---- | 0.10 | 0.98 | 0.87 | ||
2051 | 16.67 | 14.22 | -2.44 | ---- | 0.11 | 1.00 | 0.89 | ||
2052 | 16.69 | 14.24 | -2.45 | ---- | 0.12 | 1.02 | 0.90 | ||
2053 | 16.73 | 14.27 | -2.46 | ---- | 0.13 | 1.04 | 0.91 | ||
2054 | 16.78 | 14.28 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.13 | 1.05 | 0.92 | ||
2055 | 16.83 | 14.29 | -2.54 | ---- | 0.14 | 1.05 | 0.91 | ||
2056 | 16.89 | 14.29 | -2.60 | ---- | 0.15 | 1.06 | 0.91 | ||
2057 | 16.95 | 14.30 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.16 | 1.06 | 0.90 | ||
2058 | 17.01 | 14.30 | -2.71 | ---- | 0.17 | 1.06 | 0.89 | ||
2059 | 17.07 | 14.31 | -2.77 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.89 | ||
2060 | 17.14 | 14.31 | -2.82 | ---- | 0.18 | 1.06 | 0.88 | ||
2061 | 17.20 | 14.32 | -2.88 | ---- | 0.19 | 1.06 | 0.87 | ||
2062 | 17.26 | 14.32 | -2.93 | ---- | 0.20 | 1.07 | 0.87 | ||
2063 | 17.32 | 14.33 | -2.99 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.07 | 0.86 | ||
2064 | 17.38 | 14.33 | -3.04 | ---- | 0.21 | 1.07 | 0.85 | ||
2065 | 17.44 | 14.34 | -3.10 | ---- | 0.22 | 1.07 | 0.85 | ||
2066 | 17.50 | 14.35 | -3.16 | ---- | 0.23 | 1.07 | 0.84 | ||
2067 | 17.57 | 14.35 | -3.22 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.07 | 0.84 | ||
2068 | 17.63 | 14.36 | -3.28 | ---- | 0.24 | 1.07 | 0.83 | ||
2069 | 17.70 | 14.36 | -3.33 | ---- | 0.25 | 1.08 | 0.83 | ||
2070 | 17.76 | 14.37 | -3.39 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.08 | 0.82 | ||
2071 | 17.82 | 14.37 | -3.44 | ---- | 0.26 | 1.08 | 0.82 | ||
2072 | 17.86 | 14.38 | -3.49 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.08 | 0.81 | ||
2073 | 17.91 | 14.38 | -3.53 | ---- | 0.27 | 1.08 | 0.81 | ||
2074 | 17.94 | 14.38 | -3.56 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.08 | 0.80 | ||
2075 | 17.97 | 14.38 | -3.58 | ---- | 0.28 | 1.08 | 0.80 | ||
2076 | 17.99 | 14.39 | -3.60 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.09 | 0.80 | ||
2077 | 18.00 | 14.39 | -3.61 | ---- | 0.29 | 1.09 | 0.79 | ||
2078 | 18.00 | 14.39 | -3.61 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.09 | 0.79 | ||
2079 | 18.01 | 14.39 | -3.62 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.09 | 0.79 | ||
2080 | 18.01 | 14.39 | -3.62 | ---- | 0.30 | 1.09 | 0.79 | ||
2081 | 18.02 | 14.39 | -3.63 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2082 | 18.04 | 14.40 | -3.64 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2083 | 18.06 | 14.40 | -3.66 | ---- | 0.31 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2084 | 18.09 | 14.40 | -3.69 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2085 | 18.13 | 14.40 | -3.72 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.09 | 0.78 | ||
2086 | 18.17 | 14.41 | -3.76 | ---- | 0.32 | 1.10 | 0.77 | ||
2087 | 18.21 | 14.41 | -3.80 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.10 | 0.77 | ||
2088 | 18.26 | 14.41 | -3.84 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.10 | 0.77 | ||
2089 | 18.30 | 14.42 | -3.89 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.10 | 0.77 | ||
2090 | 18.35 | 14.42 | -3.93 | ---- | 0.33 | 1.10 | 0.77 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.66% | 14.61% | -2.05% | 2036 | 0.12% | 0.75% | 0.63% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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