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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.87 | 12.91 | -0.96 | 281 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2018 | 13.92 | 12.94 | -0.99 | 265 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2019 | 14.02 | 12.95 | -1.07 | 250 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 12.97 | -1.17 | 236 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.10 | ||
2021 | 14.23 | 12.99 | -1.24 | 222 | -0.12 | 0.00 | 0.12 | ||
2022 | 14.38 | 13.02 | -1.36 | 208 | -0.14 | 0.00 | 0.15 | ||
2023 | 14.55 | 13.04 | -1.52 | 194 | -0.17 | 0.00 | 0.17 | ||
2024 | 14.76 | 13.07 | -1.69 | 180 | -0.20 | 0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2025 | 14.94 | 13.09 | -1.85 | 165 | -0.23 | 0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2026 | 15.07 | 13.11 | -1.96 | 152 | -0.29 | 0.01 | 0.30 | ||
2027 | 15.19 | 13.12 | -2.06 | 138 | -0.37 | 0.01 | 0.38 | ||
2028 | 15.30 | 13.14 | -2.16 | 125 | -0.45 | 0.01 | 0.47 | ||
2029 | 15.39 | 13.15 | -2.23 | 112 | -0.54 | 0.01 | 0.56 | ||
2030 | 15.46 | 13.17 | -2.29 | 98 | -0.64 | 0.01 | 0.65 | ||
2031 | 15.50 | 13.17 | -2.33 | 85 | -0.74 | 0.01 | 0.75 | ||
2032 | 15.53 | 13.18 | -2.35 | 71 | -0.84 | 0.00 | 0.85 | ||
2033 | 15.55 | 13.19 | -2.36 | 57 | -0.93 | 0.00 | 0.93 | ||
2034 | 15.54 | 13.19 | -2.35 | 43 | -1.01 | 0.00 | 1.01 | ||
2035 | 15.53 | 13.19 | -2.34 | 29 | -1.09 | -0.01 | 1.08 | ||
2036 | 15.52 | 13.19 | -2.33 | 15 | -1.16 | -0.01 | 1.15 | ||
2037 | 15.50 | 13.20 | -2.30 | 0 | -1.22 | -0.01 | 1.21 | ||
2038 | 15.46 | 13.20 | -2.26 | ---- | -1.27 | -0.02 | 1.26 | ||
2039 | 15.41 | 13.20 | -2.21 | ---- | -1.32 | -0.02 | 1.30 | ||
2040 | 15.36 | 13.19 | -2.16 | ---- | -1.36 | -0.02 | 1.34 | ||
2041 | 15.31 | 13.19 | -2.11 | ---- | -1.38 | -0.02 | 1.36 | ||
2042 | 15.25 | 13.19 | -2.06 | ---- | -1.41 | -0.02 | 1.39 | ||
2043 | 15.20 | 13.19 | -2.01 | ---- | -1.44 | -0.02 | 1.42 | ||
2044 | 15.15 | 13.19 | -1.96 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.02 | 1.44 | ||
2045 | 15.10 | 13.19 | -1.91 | ---- | -1.50 | -0.03 | 1.47 | ||
2046 | 15.05 | 13.19 | -1.86 | ---- | -1.52 | -0.03 | 1.49 | ||
2047 | 15.01 | 13.19 | -1.82 | ---- | -1.55 | -0.03 | 1.52 | ||
2048 | 14.96 | 13.19 | -1.78 | ---- | -1.59 | -0.03 | 1.56 | ||
2049 | 14.92 | 13.19 | -1.73 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.03 | 1.59 | ||
2050 | 14.88 | 13.19 | -1.69 | ---- | -1.66 | -0.03 | 1.63 | ||
2051 | 14.84 | 13.19 | -1.65 | ---- | -1.71 | -0.03 | 1.68 | ||
2052 | 14.81 | 13.19 | -1.63 | ---- | -1.76 | -0.04 | 1.72 | ||
2053 | 14.81 | 13.19 | -1.62 | ---- | -1.80 | -0.04 | 1.76 | ||
2054 | 14.81 | 13.19 | -1.62 | ---- | -1.83 | -0.04 | 1.79 | ||
2055 | 14.83 | 13.19 | -1.63 | ---- | -1.86 | -0.04 | 1.82 | ||
2056 | 14.86 | 13.20 | -1.66 | ---- | -1.88 | -0.04 | 1.84 | ||
2057 | 14.89 | 13.20 | -1.69 | ---- | -1.90 | -0.04 | 1.86 | ||
2058 | 14.92 | 13.20 | -1.72 | ---- | -1.93 | -0.04 | 1.88 | ||
2059 | 14.95 | 13.20 | -1.74 | ---- | -1.95 | -0.04 | 1.91 | ||
2060 | 14.97 | 13.21 | -1.76 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.05 | 1.94 | ||
2061 | 15.00 | 13.21 | -1.79 | ---- | -2.01 | -0.05 | 1.96 | ||
2062 | 15.02 | 13.21 | -1.81 | ---- | -2.04 | -0.05 | 1.99 | ||
2063 | 15.04 | 13.21 | -1.82 | ---- | -2.07 | -0.05 | 2.02 | ||
2064 | 15.05 | 13.21 | -1.84 | ---- | -2.11 | -0.05 | 2.06 | ||
2065 | 15.07 | 13.22 | -1.86 | ---- | -2.14 | -0.05 | 2.09 | ||
2066 | 15.09 | 13.22 | -1.87 | ---- | -2.19 | -0.06 | 2.13 | ||
2067 | 15.10 | 13.22 | -1.88 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.06 | 2.17 | ||
2068 | 15.12 | 13.22 | -1.90 | ---- | -2.26 | -0.06 | 2.20 | ||
2069 | 15.15 | 13.22 | -1.92 | ---- | -2.30 | -0.06 | 2.24 | ||
2070 | 15.17 | 13.23 | -1.94 | ---- | -2.33 | -0.06 | 2.27 | ||
2071 | 15.19 | 13.23 | -1.96 | ---- | -2.36 | -0.06 | 2.30 | ||
2072 | 15.20 | 13.23 | -1.97 | ---- | -2.39 | -0.06 | 2.33 | ||
2073 | 15.21 | 13.23 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.07 | 2.36 | ||
2074 | 15.21 | 13.23 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.45 | -0.07 | 2.38 | ||
2075 | 15.21 | 13.23 | -1.97 | ---- | -2.48 | -0.07 | 2.41 | ||
2076 | 15.19 | 13.23 | -1.96 | ---- | -2.51 | -0.07 | 2.43 | ||
2077 | 15.18 | 13.23 | -1.95 | ---- | -2.53 | -0.08 | 2.45 | ||
2078 | 15.15 | 13.22 | -1.93 | ---- | -2.56 | -0.08 | 2.48 | ||
2079 | 15.12 | 13.22 | -1.89 | ---- | -2.59 | -0.08 | 2.51 | ||
2080 | 15.08 | 13.22 | -1.86 | ---- | -2.62 | -0.08 | 2.54 | ||
2081 | 15.05 | 13.22 | -1.82 | ---- | -2.67 | -0.08 | 2.59 | ||
2082 | 15.02 | 13.22 | -1.80 | ---- | -2.71 | -0.08 | 2.63 | ||
2083 | 15.01 | 13.22 | -1.78 | ---- | -2.74 | -0.08 | 2.66 | ||
2084 | 15.00 | 13.22 | -1.78 | ---- | -2.77 | -0.08 | 2.69 | ||
2085 | 15.01 | 13.22 | -1.78 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.08 | 2.72 | ||
2086 | 15.02 | 13.22 | -1.80 | ---- | -2.83 | -0.09 | 2.74 | ||
2087 | 15.04 | 13.22 | -1.82 | ---- | -2.85 | -0.09 | 2.76 | ||
2088 | 15.06 | 13.22 | -1.84 | ---- | -2.86 | -0.09 | 2.77 | ||
2089 | 15.10 | 13.22 | -1.87 | ---- | -2.87 | -0.09 | 2.78 | ||
2090 | 15.14 | 13.22 | -1.91 | ---- | -2.88 | -0.10 | 2.78 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 15.12% | 13.83% | -1.29% | 2037 | -1.42% | -0.03% | 1.39% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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