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Detailed Single Year Tables

Description of Proposed Provision:
Increase the number of years used to calculate benefits for retirees and survivors (but not for disabled workers) from 35 to 38, phased in over the years 2016-2020.

 

Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
  Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll

Trust fund
ratio as of
January 1
Expressed as a percentage of
present-law taxable payroll
Calendar
year
Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Annual
balance
201514.1312.82-1.31
308
0.000.000.00
201613.8812.88-1.00
298
0.000.000.00
201713.8912.91-0.98
280
0.000.000.00
201813.9612.94-1.02
264
-0.010.000.01
201914.0712.95-1.12
249
-0.020.000.02
202014.2012.96-1.23
234
-0.030.000.03
202114.3012.98-1.32
220
-0.040.000.04
202214.4613.01-1.45
205
-0.060.000.06
202314.6513.03-1.62
191
-0.080.000.07
202414.8613.06-1.80
175
-0.100.000.09
202515.0513.08-1.97
161
-0.12-0.010.11
202615.2313.09-2.14
146
-0.13-0.010.13
202715.4013.10-2.30
131
-0.15-0.010.15
202815.5813.12-2.46
116
-0.17-0.010.16
202915.7413.13-2.61
100
-0.19-0.010.18
203015.8913.14-2.74
85
-0.21-0.010.20
203116.0213.15-2.86
68
-0.22-0.010.21
203216.1313.16-2.97
51
-0.24-0.010.23
203316.2213.17-3.05
34
-0.26-0.010.24
203416.2813.18-3.11
16
-0.27-0.010.25
203516.3413.18-3.16
----
-0.28-0.010.27
203616.3913.19-3.20
----
-0.29-0.020.28
203716.4113.19-3.22
----
-0.31-0.020.29
203816.4113.19-3.22
----
-0.32-0.020.30
203916.4013.20-3.21
----
-0.32-0.020.31
204016.3813.20-3.18
----
-0.33-0.020.31
204116.3513.20-3.15
----
-0.34-0.020.32
204216.3213.20-3.12
----
-0.35-0.020.33
204316.2913.20-3.09
----
-0.35-0.020.33
204416.2613.20-3.06
----
-0.36-0.020.34
204516.2313.20-3.04
----
-0.36-0.020.34
204616.2113.20-3.01
----
-0.37-0.020.35
204716.1913.20-2.99
----
-0.37-0.020.35
204816.1713.20-2.98
----
-0.38-0.020.36
204916.1613.20-2.96
----
-0.38-0.020.36
205016.1613.20-2.96
----
-0.38-0.020.36
205116.1713.20-2.97
----
-0.39-0.020.36
205216.1913.20-2.98
----
-0.39-0.020.37
205316.2113.20-3.01
----
-0.39-0.020.37
205416.2513.21-3.04
----
-0.39-0.020.37
205516.2913.21-3.08
----
-0.40-0.020.37
205616.3413.21-3.13
----
-0.40-0.020.38
205716.3913.22-3.17
----
-0.40-0.020.38
205816.4413.22-3.22
----
-0.40-0.020.38
205916.5013.23-3.27
----
-0.40-0.020.38
206016.5513.23-3.32
----
-0.41-0.020.38
206116.6013.23-3.36
----
-0.41-0.020.39
206216.6513.24-3.41
----
-0.41-0.020.39
206316.7013.24-3.46
----
-0.41-0.020.39
206416.7513.24-3.51
----
-0.41-0.020.39
206516.8013.25-3.56
----
-0.41-0.020.39
206616.8613.25-3.61
----
-0.42-0.020.39
206716.9113.25-3.66
----
-0.42-0.020.39
206816.9713.26-3.71
----
-0.42-0.020.40
206917.0313.26-3.76
----
-0.42-0.020.40
207017.0813.26-3.82
----
-0.42-0.020.40
207117.1313.27-3.86
----
-0.42-0.020.40
207217.1713.27-3.90
----
-0.42-0.020.40
207317.2113.27-3.94
----
-0.42-0.020.40
207417.2413.28-3.96
----
-0.42-0.020.40
207517.2613.28-3.98
----
-0.43-0.020.40
207617.2713.28-3.99
----
-0.43-0.020.40
207717.2813.28-4.00
----
-0.42-0.020.40
207817.2813.28-4.00
----
-0.42-0.020.40
207917.2813.28-4.00
----
-0.42-0.020.40
208017.2913.28-4.01
----
-0.42-0.020.40
208117.2913.28-4.01
----
-0.42-0.020.40
208217.3013.28-4.02
----
-0.42-0.020.40
208317.3213.28-4.04
----
-0.42-0.020.40
208417.3513.28-4.07
----
-0.42-0.020.40
208517.3813.28-4.10
----
-0.42-0.020.40
208617.4213.29-4.13
----
-0.42-0.020.40
208717.4613.29-4.17
----
-0.43-0.020.40
208817.5013.29-4.21
----
-0.43-0.020.40
208917.5413.29-4.25
----
-0.43-0.020.40
209017.5913.30-4.29
----
-0.43-0.020.40



 

Summarized Estimates

 
  Proposal
  Change from Present Law
Years Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance

Year of reserve
depletion
1

Cost
rate
Income
rate
Actuarial
balance
 
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report.
2015-2089 16.25% 13.85% -2.40%
2034
-0.30% -0.02% 0.28%
 
1 Under present law, the year of Trust Fund reserve depletion is 2034.

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Last reviewed or modified September 1, 2015