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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.91 | -0.98 | 280 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.96 | 12.94 | -1.02 | 264 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2019 | 14.07 | 12.95 | -1.12 | 249 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2020 | 14.20 | 12.96 | -1.23 | 234 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2021 | 14.30 | 12.98 | -1.32 | 220 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2022 | 14.46 | 13.01 | -1.45 | 205 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2023 | 14.64 | 13.03 | -1.62 | 191 | -0.08 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2024 | 14.85 | 13.06 | -1.79 | 176 | -0.11 | -0.01 | 0.10 | ||
2025 | 15.03 | 13.07 | -1.96 | 161 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2026 | 15.20 | 13.09 | -2.11 | 146 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2027 | 15.36 | 13.10 | -2.26 | 132 | -0.19 | -0.01 | 0.18 | ||
2028 | 15.52 | 13.12 | -2.41 | 117 | -0.23 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2029 | 15.67 | 13.13 | -2.54 | 102 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2030 | 15.81 | 13.14 | -2.67 | 87 | -0.29 | -0.02 | 0.27 | ||
2031 | 15.92 | 13.15 | -2.77 | 71 | -0.32 | -0.02 | 0.30 | ||
2032 | 16.02 | 13.16 | -2.87 | 54 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2033 | 16.10 | 13.16 | -2.94 | 37 | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2034 | 16.15 | 13.17 | -2.98 | 20 | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
2035 | 16.19 | 13.18 | -3.02 | 2 | -0.42 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2036 | 16.23 | 13.18 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
2037 | 16.25 | 13.18 | -3.07 | ---- | -0.47 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
2038 | 16.24 | 13.19 | -3.06 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
2039 | 16.22 | 13.19 | -3.03 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.48 | ||
2040 | 16.19 | 13.19 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
2041 | 16.15 | 13.19 | -2.96 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
2042 | 16.11 | 13.19 | -2.93 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
2043 | 16.07 | 13.18 | -2.89 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.54 | ||
2044 | 16.04 | 13.18 | -2.85 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2045 | 16.01 | 13.18 | -2.82 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
2046 | 15.97 | 13.18 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2047 | 15.95 | 13.18 | -2.77 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2048 | 15.93 | 13.18 | -2.75 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2049 | 15.91 | 13.18 | -2.73 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.03 | 0.59 | ||
2050 | 15.91 | 13.19 | -2.72 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.03 | 0.60 | ||
2051 | 15.91 | 13.19 | -2.73 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2052 | 15.93 | 13.19 | -2.74 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2053 | 15.95 | 13.19 | -2.76 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
2054 | 15.98 | 13.19 | -2.79 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
2055 | 16.02 | 13.20 | -2.83 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2056 | 16.07 | 13.20 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2057 | 16.12 | 13.20 | -2.91 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2058 | 16.17 | 13.21 | -2.96 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2059 | 16.22 | 13.21 | -3.01 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2060 | 16.27 | 13.21 | -3.05 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2061 | 16.32 | 13.22 | -3.10 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2062 | 16.37 | 13.22 | -3.14 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2063 | 16.41 | 13.22 | -3.19 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2064 | 16.46 | 13.23 | -3.24 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2065 | 16.52 | 13.23 | -3.29 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2066 | 16.57 | 13.23 | -3.34 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 | ||
2067 | 16.63 | 13.24 | -3.39 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2068 | 16.68 | 13.24 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2069 | 16.74 | 13.25 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2070 | 16.79 | 13.25 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.67 | ||
2071 | 16.84 | 13.25 | -3.59 | ---- | -0.71 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2072 | 16.88 | 13.25 | -3.62 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2073 | 16.92 | 13.26 | -3.66 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2074 | 16.94 | 13.26 | -3.69 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2075 | 16.96 | 13.26 | -3.70 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2076 | 16.98 | 13.26 | -3.72 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2077 | 16.98 | 13.26 | -3.72 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2078 | 16.99 | 13.26 | -3.73 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2079 | 16.99 | 13.26 | -3.73 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2080 | 16.99 | 13.26 | -3.73 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2081 | 17.00 | 13.26 | -3.74 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2082 | 17.01 | 13.26 | -3.75 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2083 | 17.03 | 13.26 | -3.77 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2084 | 17.06 | 13.27 | -3.79 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2085 | 17.09 | 13.27 | -3.82 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2086 | 17.13 | 13.27 | -3.86 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2087 | 17.17 | 13.27 | -3.89 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2088 | 17.21 | 13.28 | -3.93 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2089 | 17.25 | 13.28 | -3.97 | ---- | -0.72 | -0.04 | 0.68 | ||
2090 | 17.29 | 13.28 | -4.01 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.68 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.06% | 13.84% | -2.23% | 2035 | -0.48% | -0.03% | 0.45% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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