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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2015 | 14.13 | 12.82 | -1.31 | 308 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2016 | 13.88 | 12.88 | -1.00 | 298 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.89 | 12.46 | -1.43 | 280 | 0.00 | -0.45 | -0.45 | ||
2018 | 13.97 | 12.46 | -1.50 | 261 | 0.00 | -0.47 | -0.47 | ||
2019 | 14.08 | 12.48 | -1.60 | 242 | -0.01 | -0.47 | -0.46 | ||
2020 | 14.21 | 12.49 | -1.71 | 224 | -0.02 | -0.47 | -0.45 | ||
2021 | 14.31 | 12.51 | -1.80 | 207 | -0.04 | -0.47 | -0.44 | ||
2022 | 14.46 | 12.54 | -1.92 | 190 | -0.06 | -0.47 | -0.42 | ||
2023 | 14.64 | 12.56 | -2.09 | 172 | -0.08 | -0.47 | -0.39 | ||
2024 | 14.85 | 12.59 | -2.26 | 155 | -0.11 | -0.48 | -0.37 | ||
2025 | 15.02 | 12.60 | -2.42 | 137 | -0.14 | -0.48 | -0.34 | ||
2026 | 15.19 | 12.62 | -2.58 | 120 | -0.17 | -0.48 | -0.31 | ||
2027 | 15.36 | 12.63 | -2.73 | 103 | -0.20 | -0.48 | -0.28 | ||
2028 | 15.52 | 12.65 | -2.87 | 85 | -0.23 | -0.48 | -0.25 | ||
2029 | 15.67 | 12.66 | -3.01 | 67 | -0.26 | -0.48 | -0.22 | ||
2030 | 15.81 | 12.67 | -3.14 | 49 | -0.29 | -0.48 | -0.19 | ||
2031 | 15.93 | 12.68 | -3.25 | 30 | -0.32 | -0.49 | -0.17 | ||
2032 | 16.03 | 12.69 | -3.34 | 10 | -0.34 | -0.49 | -0.14 | ||
2033 | 16.11 | 12.70 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.37 | -0.49 | -0.12 | ||
2034 | 16.16 | 12.70 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.39 | -0.49 | -0.10 | ||
2035 | 16.21 | 12.71 | -3.50 | ---- | -0.41 | -0.49 | -0.08 | ||
2036 | 16.25 | 12.71 | -3.53 | ---- | -0.43 | -0.49 | -0.06 | ||
2037 | 16.26 | 12.72 | -3.55 | ---- | -0.45 | -0.49 | -0.04 | ||
2038 | 16.26 | 12.72 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.47 | -0.49 | -0.02 | ||
2039 | 16.24 | 12.72 | -3.52 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.50 | -0.01 | ||
2040 | 16.21 | 12.72 | -3.49 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.50 | 0.01 | ||
2041 | 16.17 | 12.72 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.52 | -0.50 | 0.02 | ||
2042 | 16.13 | 12.72 | -3.42 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.50 | 0.03 | ||
2043 | 16.10 | 12.72 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.50 | 0.04 | ||
2044 | 16.06 | 12.72 | -3.35 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.50 | 0.05 | ||
2045 | 16.03 | 12.72 | -3.32 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.50 | 0.06 | ||
2046 | 16.00 | 12.72 | -3.28 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.50 | 0.07 | ||
2047 | 15.98 | 12.72 | -3.26 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.50 | 0.08 | ||
2048 | 15.96 | 12.72 | -3.24 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.50 | 0.09 | ||
2049 | 15.94 | 12.72 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.50 | 0.09 | ||
2050 | 15.94 | 12.72 | -3.22 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.50 | 0.10 | ||
2051 | 15.95 | 12.72 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.50 | 0.10 | ||
2052 | 15.96 | 12.72 | -3.24 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.50 | 0.11 | ||
2053 | 15.99 | 12.72 | -3.26 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.50 | 0.11 | ||
2054 | 16.02 | 12.73 | -3.30 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.50 | 0.12 | ||
2055 | 16.06 | 12.73 | -3.33 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.50 | 0.12 | ||
2056 | 16.11 | 12.73 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.50 | 0.12 | ||
2057 | 16.16 | 12.74 | -3.42 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.50 | 0.13 | ||
2058 | 16.21 | 12.74 | -3.47 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.50 | 0.13 | ||
2059 | 16.26 | 12.74 | -3.52 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.50 | 0.13 | ||
2060 | 16.31 | 12.75 | -3.56 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.50 | 0.14 | ||
2061 | 16.36 | 12.75 | -3.61 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.50 | 0.14 | ||
2062 | 16.41 | 12.75 | -3.66 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.50 | 0.14 | ||
2063 | 16.46 | 12.76 | -3.70 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.50 | 0.14 | ||
2064 | 16.51 | 12.76 | -3.75 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.50 | 0.15 | ||
2065 | 16.56 | 12.76 | -3.80 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.51 | 0.15 | ||
2066 | 16.62 | 12.77 | -3.85 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.51 | 0.15 | ||
2067 | 16.67 | 12.77 | -3.90 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.51 | 0.15 | ||
2068 | 16.73 | 12.78 | -3.95 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.51 | 0.15 | ||
2069 | 16.78 | 12.78 | -4.00 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.51 | 0.16 | ||
2070 | 16.84 | 12.78 | -4.05 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.51 | 0.16 | ||
2071 | 16.89 | 12.79 | -4.10 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.16 | ||
2072 | 16.93 | 12.79 | -4.14 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.16 | ||
2073 | 16.96 | 12.79 | -4.17 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.16 | ||
2074 | 16.99 | 12.79 | -4.20 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2075 | 17.01 | 12.79 | -4.22 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2076 | 17.02 | 12.80 | -4.23 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2077 | 17.03 | 12.80 | -4.23 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2078 | 17.03 | 12.80 | -4.24 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2079 | 17.03 | 12.80 | -4.24 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2080 | 17.04 | 12.80 | -4.24 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2081 | 17.04 | 12.80 | -4.24 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2082 | 17.05 | 12.80 | -4.26 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2083 | 17.07 | 12.80 | -4.27 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2084 | 17.10 | 12.80 | -4.30 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2085 | 17.13 | 12.80 | -4.33 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2086 | 17.17 | 12.80 | -4.36 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2087 | 17.21 | 12.81 | -4.40 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.51 | 0.17 | ||
2088 | 17.25 | 12.81 | -4.44 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.51 | 0.18 | ||
2089 | 17.29 | 12.81 | -4.48 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.51 | 0.18 | ||
2090 | 17.33 | 12.81 | -4.52 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.51 | 0.18 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2015 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2015-2089 | 16.09% | 13.38% | -2.71% | 2032 | -0.46% | -0.48% | -0.02% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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