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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 15.19 | 1.48 | 293 | 0.00 | 2.28 | 2.28 | ||
2018 | 13.85 | 15.39 | 1.54 | 293 | -0.01 | 2.44 | 2.44 | ||
2019 | 13.98 | 15.40 | 1.42 | 294 | -0.01 | 2.43 | 2.44 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 15.39 | 1.26 | 294 | -0.01 | 2.41 | 2.41 | ||
2021 | 14.26 | 15.40 | 1.13 | 294 | -0.01 | 2.39 | 2.40 | ||
2022 | 14.48 | 15.41 | 0.93 | 293 | -0.01 | 2.38 | 2.38 | ||
2023 | 14.75 | 15.41 | 0.66 | 290 | -0.01 | 2.35 | 2.36 | ||
2024 | 15.01 | 15.43 | 0.41 | 286 | -0.01 | 2.34 | 2.34 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 15.42 | 0.15 | 281 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
2026 | 15.46 | 15.44 | -0.02 | 277 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
2027 | 15.64 | 15.45 | -0.18 | 273 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.32 | ||
2028 | 15.80 | 15.47 | -0.33 | 270 | -0.01 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
2029 | 15.95 | 15.48 | -0.47 | 266 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
2030 | 16.09 | 15.49 | -0.59 | 263 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
2031 | 16.20 | 15.51 | -0.70 | 261 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
2032 | 16.31 | 15.51 | -0.79 | 258 | -0.02 | 2.31 | 2.33 | ||
2033 | 16.39 | 15.52 | -0.86 | 255 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2034 | 16.44 | 15.53 | -0.91 | 252 | -0.02 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2035 | 16.47 | 15.53 | -0.94 | 248 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2036 | 16.53 | 15.54 | -0.99 | 245 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.34 | ||
2037 | 16.57 | 15.54 | -1.03 | 241 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2038 | 16.58 | 15.55 | -1.04 | 237 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2039 | 16.58 | 15.55 | -1.03 | 233 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2040 | 16.56 | 15.55 | -1.01 | 230 | -0.03 | 2.32 | 2.35 | ||
2041 | 16.53 | 15.55 | -0.97 | 227 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2042 | 16.49 | 15.55 | -0.94 | 223 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2043 | 16.46 | 15.55 | -0.91 | 220 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2044 | 16.42 | 15.55 | -0.87 | 217 | -0.04 | 2.32 | 2.36 | ||
2045 | 16.40 | 15.55 | -0.85 | 215 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2046 | 16.38 | 15.55 | -0.83 | 212 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2047 | 16.35 | 15.55 | -0.80 | 209 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2048 | 16.33 | 15.55 | -0.78 | 207 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.37 | ||
2049 | 16.31 | 15.55 | -0.76 | 205 | -0.05 | 2.32 | 2.38 | ||
2050 | 16.30 | 15.55 | -0.75 | 202 | -0.06 | 2.32 | 2.38 | ||
2051 | 16.30 | 15.56 | -0.74 | 200 | -0.06 | 2.32 | 2.38 | ||
2052 | 16.31 | 15.56 | -0.75 | 197 | -0.06 | 2.32 | 2.38 | ||
2053 | 16.33 | 15.56 | -0.77 | 195 | -0.06 | 2.32 | 2.39 | ||
2054 | 16.36 | 15.56 | -0.79 | 192 | -0.07 | 2.32 | 2.39 | ||
2055 | 16.40 | 15.57 | -0.83 | 189 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.39 | ||
2056 | 16.44 | 15.57 | -0.87 | 185 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2057 | 16.48 | 15.58 | -0.91 | 182 | -0.07 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2058 | 16.53 | 15.58 | -0.95 | 178 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2059 | 16.58 | 15.59 | -0.99 | 174 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.40 | ||
2060 | 16.63 | 15.59 | -1.04 | 169 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2061 | 16.68 | 15.59 | -1.08 | 165 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2062 | 16.72 | 15.60 | -1.13 | 160 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2063 | 16.77 | 15.60 | -1.17 | 155 | -0.08 | 2.33 | 2.41 | ||
2064 | 16.82 | 15.61 | -1.21 | 149 | -0.09 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
2065 | 16.87 | 15.61 | -1.26 | 143 | -0.09 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
2066 | 16.92 | 15.62 | -1.30 | 137 | -0.09 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
2067 | 16.97 | 15.62 | -1.35 | 131 | -0.09 | 2.33 | 2.42 | ||
2068 | 17.02 | 15.62 | -1.40 | 124 | -0.09 | 2.33 | 2.43 | ||
2069 | 17.07 | 15.63 | -1.44 | 117 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2070 | 17.12 | 15.63 | -1.49 | 110 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2071 | 17.17 | 15.64 | -1.53 | 102 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2072 | 17.21 | 15.64 | -1.57 | 95 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2073 | 17.25 | 15.65 | -1.60 | 86 | -0.09 | 2.34 | 2.43 | ||
2074 | 17.27 | 15.65 | -1.63 | 78 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
2075 | 17.30 | 15.65 | -1.64 | 70 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
2076 | 17.31 | 15.65 | -1.66 | 61 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
2077 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.66 | 53 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
2078 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.66 | 44 | -0.10 | 2.34 | 2.44 | ||
2079 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.65 | 35 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2080 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.65 | 26 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2081 | 17.30 | 15.66 | -1.64 | 17 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.44 | ||
2082 | 17.31 | 15.66 | -1.65 | 8 | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2083 | 17.32 | 15.66 | -1.66 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2084 | 17.34 | 15.67 | -1.68 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2085 | 17.37 | 15.67 | -1.70 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2086 | 17.41 | 15.67 | -1.74 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.35 | 2.45 | ||
2087 | 17.45 | 15.68 | -1.77 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2088 | 17.49 | 15.68 | -1.81 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2089 | 17.53 | 15.68 | -1.85 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2090 | 17.58 | 15.69 | -1.89 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.45 | ||
2091 | 17.63 | 15.69 | -1.94 | ---- | -0.10 | 2.36 | 2.46 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.45% | 16.15% | -0.30% | 2082 | -0.05% | 2.30% | 2.36% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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