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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 12.97 | -1.02 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 12.98 | -1.15 | 246 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.00 | -1.27 | 231 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.13 | -1.37 | 216 | 0.00 | 0.09 | 0.09 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.24 | -1.51 | 200 | 0.00 | 0.19 | 0.19 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 13.37 | -1.65 | 184 | 0.00 | 0.28 | 0.28 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 13.49 | -1.80 | 169 | 0.00 | 0.38 | 0.38 | ||
2026 | 15.47 | 13.60 | -1.87 | 154 | 0.00 | 0.47 | 0.47 | ||
2027 | 15.65 | 13.71 | -1.94 | 141 | 0.00 | 0.57 | 0.57 | ||
2028 | 15.81 | 13.82 | -1.99 | 127 | 0.00 | 0.66 | 0.66 | ||
2029 | 15.96 | 13.93 | -2.04 | 114 | 0.00 | 0.76 | 0.76 | ||
2030 | 16.10 | 14.03 | -2.07 | 102 | 0.00 | 0.85 | 0.86 | ||
2031 | 16.22 | 14.14 | -2.08 | 90 | 0.00 | 0.95 | 0.95 | ||
2032 | 16.32 | 14.24 | -2.08 | 78 | 0.00 | 1.04 | 1.05 | ||
2033 | 16.40 | 14.34 | -2.06 | 66 | 0.00 | 1.14 | 1.14 | ||
2034 | 16.46 | 14.44 | -2.02 | 54 | 0.00 | 1.23 | 1.24 | ||
2035 | 16.49 | 14.54 | -1.95 | 42 | 0.00 | 1.33 | 1.33 | ||
2036 | 16.55 | 14.64 | -1.91 | 31 | -0.01 | 1.42 | 1.43 | ||
2037 | 16.59 | 14.74 | -1.85 | 20 | -0.01 | 1.52 | 1.52 | ||
2038 | 16.61 | 14.84 | -1.77 | 10 | -0.01 | 1.61 | 1.62 | ||
2039 | 16.60 | 14.94 | -1.67 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.70 | 1.71 | ||
2040 | 16.58 | 15.03 | -1.55 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.80 | 1.81 | ||
2041 | 16.55 | 15.12 | -1.43 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.89 | 1.90 | ||
2042 | 16.52 | 15.13 | -1.39 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2043 | 16.49 | 15.13 | -1.36 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2044 | 16.46 | 15.13 | -1.33 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2045 | 16.44 | 15.13 | -1.31 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2046 | 16.41 | 15.13 | -1.28 | ---- | -0.01 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2047 | 16.39 | 15.13 | -1.26 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.91 | ||
2048 | 16.37 | 15.13 | -1.24 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2049 | 16.35 | 15.13 | -1.22 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2050 | 16.34 | 15.13 | -1.21 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2051 | 16.34 | 15.13 | -1.21 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2052 | 16.35 | 15.13 | -1.21 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2053 | 16.37 | 15.14 | -1.23 | ---- | -0.02 | 1.90 | 1.92 | ||
2054 | 16.40 | 15.14 | -1.26 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2055 | 16.44 | 15.14 | -1.29 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2056 | 16.48 | 15.15 | -1.33 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2057 | 16.53 | 15.15 | -1.37 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2058 | 16.57 | 15.16 | -1.42 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.93 | ||
2059 | 16.62 | 15.16 | -1.46 | ---- | -0.03 | 1.90 | 1.94 | ||
2060 | 16.67 | 15.16 | -1.51 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.94 | ||
2061 | 16.72 | 15.17 | -1.55 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.94 | ||
2062 | 16.77 | 15.17 | -1.60 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.94 | ||
2063 | 16.82 | 15.18 | -1.64 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.94 | ||
2064 | 16.86 | 15.18 | -1.68 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.95 | ||
2065 | 16.91 | 15.18 | -1.73 | ---- | -0.04 | 1.90 | 1.95 | ||
2066 | 16.96 | 15.19 | -1.77 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.90 | 1.95 | ||
2067 | 17.01 | 15.19 | -1.82 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.90 | 1.95 | ||
2068 | 17.06 | 15.19 | -1.87 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.90 | 1.95 | ||
2069 | 17.11 | 15.20 | -1.92 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.90 | 1.96 | ||
2070 | 17.16 | 15.20 | -1.96 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2071 | 17.21 | 15.21 | -2.00 | ---- | -0.05 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2072 | 17.25 | 15.21 | -2.04 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2073 | 17.28 | 15.21 | -2.07 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2074 | 17.31 | 15.21 | -2.10 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.96 | ||
2075 | 17.33 | 15.22 | -2.12 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2076 | 17.34 | 15.22 | -2.13 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2077 | 17.35 | 15.22 | -2.13 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2078 | 17.35 | 15.22 | -2.13 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2079 | 17.34 | 15.22 | -2.12 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2080 | 17.34 | 15.22 | -2.12 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2081 | 17.34 | 15.22 | -2.11 | ---- | -0.06 | 1.91 | 1.97 | ||
2082 | 17.34 | 15.22 | -2.12 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2083 | 17.35 | 15.22 | -2.13 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2084 | 17.37 | 15.22 | -2.15 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2085 | 17.40 | 15.23 | -2.17 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2086 | 17.44 | 15.23 | -2.21 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2087 | 17.47 | 15.23 | -2.24 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2088 | 17.52 | 15.24 | -2.28 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2089 | 17.56 | 15.24 | -2.32 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2090 | 17.61 | 15.24 | -2.36 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 | ||
2091 | 17.65 | 15.25 | -2.41 | ---- | -0.07 | 1.91 | 1.98 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.48% | 15.27% | -1.21% | 2038 | -0.03% | 1.43% | 1.45% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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