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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.72 | 12.95 | -0.77 | 280 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.13 | ||
2019 | 13.72 | 12.96 | -0.77 | 267 | -0.26 | -0.01 | 0.25 | ||
2020 | 13.74 | 12.96 | -0.78 | 256 | -0.39 | -0.02 | 0.37 | ||
2021 | 13.75 | 12.98 | -0.77 | 245 | -0.52 | -0.02 | 0.49 | ||
2022 | 13.85 | 13.00 | -0.84 | 234 | -0.64 | -0.03 | 0.61 | ||
2023 | 13.99 | 13.02 | -0.97 | 223 | -0.77 | -0.04 | 0.73 | ||
2024 | 14.13 | 13.05 | -1.09 | 212 | -0.89 | -0.04 | 0.85 | ||
2025 | 14.28 | 13.06 | -1.22 | 200 | -1.01 | -0.05 | 0.96 | ||
2026 | 14.36 | 13.07 | -1.28 | 189 | -1.11 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2027 | 14.43 | 13.08 | -1.35 | 179 | -1.22 | -0.06 | 1.16 | ||
2028 | 14.50 | 13.09 | -1.41 | 169 | -1.31 | -0.07 | 1.25 | ||
2029 | 14.56 | 13.10 | -1.46 | 160 | -1.41 | -0.07 | 1.33 | ||
2030 | 14.61 | 13.10 | -1.51 | 151 | -1.49 | -0.08 | 1.42 | ||
2031 | 14.65 | 13.11 | -1.54 | 142 | -1.57 | -0.08 | 1.49 | ||
2032 | 14.68 | 13.11 | -1.57 | 133 | -1.65 | -0.09 | 1.56 | ||
2033 | 14.69 | 13.12 | -1.58 | 124 | -1.71 | -0.09 | 1.63 | ||
2034 | 14.69 | 13.12 | -1.57 | 115 | -1.78 | -0.09 | 1.68 | ||
2035 | 14.66 | 13.12 | -1.54 | 106 | -1.83 | -0.10 | 1.74 | ||
2036 | 14.67 | 13.12 | -1.55 | 96 | -1.89 | -0.10 | 1.79 | ||
2037 | 14.66 | 13.12 | -1.54 | 87 | -1.94 | -0.10 | 1.83 | ||
2038 | 14.64 | 13.12 | -1.51 | 78 | -1.98 | -0.11 | 1.87 | ||
2039 | 14.59 | 13.12 | -1.47 | 69 | -2.01 | -0.11 | 1.91 | ||
2040 | 14.54 | 13.12 | -1.42 | 60 | -2.05 | -0.11 | 1.94 | ||
2041 | 14.49 | 13.12 | -1.37 | 51 | -2.07 | -0.11 | 1.96 | ||
2042 | 14.44 | 13.12 | -1.32 | 43 | -2.09 | -0.11 | 1.98 | ||
2043 | 14.39 | 13.12 | -1.27 | 34 | -2.11 | -0.11 | 2.00 | ||
2044 | 14.35 | 13.12 | -1.23 | 26 | -2.12 | -0.11 | 2.01 | ||
2045 | 14.32 | 13.12 | -1.20 | 18 | -2.13 | -0.11 | 2.02 | ||
2046 | 14.29 | 13.12 | -1.17 | 10 | -2.14 | -0.12 | 2.02 | ||
2047 | 14.26 | 13.11 | -1.14 | 2 | -2.14 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2048 | 14.24 | 13.12 | -1.12 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2049 | 14.22 | 13.12 | -1.11 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2050 | 14.21 | 13.12 | -1.10 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2051 | 14.21 | 13.12 | -1.09 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2052 | 14.22 | 13.12 | -1.10 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2053 | 14.24 | 13.12 | -1.12 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2054 | 14.27 | 13.12 | -1.15 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2055 | 14.31 | 13.13 | -1.18 | ---- | -2.16 | -0.12 | 2.04 | ||
2056 | 14.35 | 13.13 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.16 | -0.12 | 2.04 | ||
2057 | 14.39 | 13.13 | -1.26 | ---- | -2.16 | -0.12 | 2.05 | ||
2058 | 14.44 | 13.14 | -1.30 | ---- | -2.17 | -0.12 | 2.05 | ||
2059 | 14.48 | 13.14 | -1.34 | ---- | -2.18 | -0.12 | 2.06 | ||
2060 | 14.52 | 13.14 | -1.38 | ---- | -2.19 | -0.12 | 2.07 | ||
2061 | 14.56 | 13.15 | -1.41 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.12 | 2.08 | ||
2062 | 14.60 | 13.15 | -1.45 | ---- | -2.21 | -0.12 | 2.09 | ||
2063 | 14.64 | 13.15 | -1.49 | ---- | -2.22 | -0.12 | 2.10 | ||
2064 | 14.67 | 13.15 | -1.52 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.12 | 2.11 | ||
2065 | 14.71 | 13.16 | -1.56 | ---- | -2.24 | -0.12 | 2.12 | ||
2066 | 14.75 | 13.16 | -1.59 | ---- | -2.26 | -0.12 | 2.13 | ||
2067 | 14.79 | 13.16 | -1.63 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.12 | 2.14 | ||
2068 | 14.83 | 13.16 | -1.67 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.13 | 2.16 | ||
2069 | 14.87 | 13.17 | -1.70 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.13 | 2.17 | ||
2070 | 14.91 | 13.17 | -1.74 | ---- | -2.31 | -0.13 | 2.18 | ||
2071 | 14.94 | 13.17 | -1.77 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.13 | 2.19 | ||
2072 | 14.97 | 13.17 | -1.80 | ---- | -2.33 | -0.13 | 2.20 | ||
2073 | 15.00 | 13.18 | -1.82 | ---- | -2.34 | -0.13 | 2.21 | ||
2074 | 15.02 | 13.18 | -1.84 | ---- | -2.35 | -0.13 | 2.22 | ||
2075 | 15.03 | 13.18 | -1.85 | ---- | -2.36 | -0.13 | 2.23 | ||
2076 | 15.03 | 13.18 | -1.85 | ---- | -2.37 | -0.13 | 2.24 | ||
2077 | 15.03 | 13.18 | -1.85 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.13 | 2.25 | ||
2078 | 15.02 | 13.18 | -1.84 | ---- | -2.39 | -0.13 | 2.26 | ||
2079 | 15.01 | 13.18 | -1.83 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.13 | 2.26 | ||
2080 | 15.00 | 13.18 | -1.82 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.13 | 2.27 | ||
2081 | 14.99 | 13.18 | -1.82 | ---- | -2.41 | -0.13 | 2.27 | ||
2082 | 15.00 | 13.18 | -1.82 | ---- | -2.41 | -0.13 | 2.28 | ||
2083 | 15.00 | 13.18 | -1.83 | ---- | -2.41 | -0.13 | 2.28 | ||
2084 | 15.02 | 13.18 | -1.84 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.13 | 2.28 | ||
2085 | 15.05 | 13.18 | -1.86 | ---- | -2.42 | -0.13 | 2.29 | ||
2086 | 15.08 | 13.18 | -1.89 | ---- | -2.43 | -0.13 | 2.29 | ||
2087 | 15.11 | 13.18 | -1.92 | ---- | -2.43 | -0.13 | 2.30 | ||
2088 | 15.15 | 13.19 | -1.96 | ---- | -2.44 | -0.14 | 2.30 | ||
2089 | 15.19 | 13.19 | -2.00 | ---- | -2.44 | -0.14 | 2.31 | ||
2090 | 15.23 | 13.19 | -2.03 | ---- | -2.45 | -0.14 | 2.31 | ||
2091 | 15.26 | 13.20 | -2.07 | ---- | -2.46 | -0.14 | 2.32 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 14.66% | 13.75% | -0.91% | 2047 | -1.84% | -0.10% | 1.75% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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