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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 15.19 | 1.48 | 293 | 0.00 | 2.28 | 2.28 | ||
2018 | 13.85 | 15.39 | 1.54 | 293 | 0.00 | 2.44 | 2.44 | ||
2019 | 13.98 | 15.40 | 1.41 | 294 | 0.00 | 2.43 | 2.43 | ||
2020 | 14.14 | 15.39 | 1.25 | 294 | 0.00 | 2.41 | 2.41 | ||
2021 | 14.28 | 15.40 | 1.12 | 294 | 0.01 | 2.40 | 2.39 | ||
2022 | 14.51 | 15.42 | 0.91 | 292 | 0.02 | 2.38 | 2.36 | ||
2023 | 14.79 | 15.42 | 0.63 | 289 | 0.03 | 2.36 | 2.33 | ||
2024 | 15.06 | 15.43 | 0.37 | 285 | 0.04 | 2.34 | 2.30 | ||
2025 | 15.34 | 15.43 | 0.09 | 279 | 0.05 | 2.32 | 2.27 | ||
2026 | 15.54 | 15.45 | -0.09 | 275 | 0.07 | 2.32 | 2.25 | ||
2027 | 15.73 | 15.47 | -0.27 | 270 | 0.08 | 2.32 | 2.24 | ||
2028 | 15.91 | 15.48 | -0.43 | 266 | 0.10 | 2.33 | 2.23 | ||
2029 | 16.08 | 15.50 | -0.59 | 262 | 0.12 | 2.33 | 2.21 | ||
2030 | 16.24 | 15.51 | -0.73 | 258 | 0.14 | 2.33 | 2.20 | ||
2031 | 16.38 | 15.52 | -0.85 | 254 | 0.15 | 2.33 | 2.18 | ||
2032 | 16.50 | 15.54 | -0.96 | 250 | 0.17 | 2.34 | 2.16 | ||
2033 | 16.60 | 15.55 | -1.05 | 245 | 0.19 | 2.34 | 2.15 | ||
2034 | 16.68 | 15.55 | -1.12 | 241 | 0.21 | 2.34 | 2.13 | ||
2035 | 16.73 | 15.56 | -1.17 | 236 | 0.23 | 2.35 | 2.11 | ||
2036 | 16.81 | 15.57 | -1.24 | 231 | 0.25 | 2.35 | 2.10 | ||
2037 | 16.87 | 15.58 | -1.29 | 225 | 0.27 | 2.35 | 2.08 | ||
2038 | 16.91 | 15.58 | -1.32 | 219 | 0.29 | 2.36 | 2.06 | ||
2039 | 16.92 | 15.59 | -1.33 | 214 | 0.31 | 2.36 | 2.05 | ||
2040 | 16.92 | 15.59 | -1.33 | 208 | 0.33 | 2.36 | 2.03 | ||
2041 | 16.91 | 15.60 | -1.32 | 203 | 0.35 | 2.36 | 2.01 | ||
2042 | 16.90 | 15.60 | -1.30 | 197 | 0.37 | 2.37 | 2.00 | ||
2043 | 16.89 | 15.60 | -1.29 | 191 | 0.39 | 2.37 | 1.98 | ||
2044 | 16.87 | 15.60 | -1.27 | 186 | 0.41 | 2.37 | 1.97 | ||
2045 | 16.88 | 15.61 | -1.27 | 180 | 0.43 | 2.38 | 1.95 | ||
2046 | 16.87 | 15.61 | -1.26 | 175 | 0.45 | 2.38 | 1.93 | ||
2047 | 16.87 | 15.61 | -1.25 | 169 | 0.46 | 2.38 | 1.92 | ||
2048 | 16.87 | 15.62 | -1.25 | 164 | 0.48 | 2.38 | 1.90 | ||
2049 | 16.87 | 15.62 | -1.25 | 158 | 0.50 | 2.39 | 1.89 | ||
2050 | 16.88 | 15.62 | -1.26 | 152 | 0.52 | 2.39 | 1.87 | ||
2051 | 16.90 | 15.63 | -1.27 | 146 | 0.54 | 2.39 | 1.86 | ||
2052 | 16.93 | 15.63 | -1.30 | 140 | 0.55 | 2.40 | 1.84 | ||
2053 | 16.97 | 15.64 | -1.33 | 134 | 0.57 | 2.40 | 1.83 | ||
2054 | 17.02 | 15.64 | -1.37 | 127 | 0.59 | 2.40 | 1.81 | ||
2055 | 17.07 | 15.65 | -1.43 | 121 | 0.61 | 2.40 | 1.79 | ||
2056 | 17.14 | 15.65 | -1.48 | 113 | 0.63 | 2.41 | 1.78 | ||
2057 | 17.20 | 15.66 | -1.54 | 106 | 0.65 | 2.41 | 1.76 | ||
2058 | 17.27 | 15.67 | -1.60 | 98 | 0.66 | 2.41 | 1.75 | ||
2059 | 17.34 | 15.67 | -1.66 | 89 | 0.68 | 2.42 | 1.74 | ||
2060 | 17.40 | 15.68 | -1.72 | 81 | 0.69 | 2.42 | 1.72 | ||
2061 | 17.46 | 15.69 | -1.78 | 72 | 0.71 | 2.42 | 1.71 | ||
2062 | 17.53 | 15.69 | -1.84 | 62 | 0.72 | 2.42 | 1.70 | ||
2063 | 17.59 | 15.70 | -1.89 | 53 | 0.73 | 2.43 | 1.69 | ||
2064 | 17.65 | 15.70 | -1.95 | 43 | 0.74 | 2.43 | 1.68 | ||
2065 | 17.71 | 15.71 | -2.00 | 32 | 0.75 | 2.43 | 1.68 | ||
2066 | 17.77 | 15.72 | -2.06 | 21 | 0.77 | 2.43 | 1.67 | ||
2067 | 17.84 | 15.72 | -2.11 | 10 | 0.77 | 2.43 | 1.66 | ||
2068 | 17.90 | 15.73 | -2.17 | ---- | 0.78 | 2.44 | 1.65 | ||
2069 | 17.96 | 15.73 | -2.23 | ---- | 0.79 | 2.44 | 1.65 | ||
2070 | 18.02 | 15.74 | -2.28 | ---- | 0.80 | 2.44 | 1.64 | ||
2071 | 18.07 | 15.74 | -2.33 | ---- | 0.81 | 2.44 | 1.63 | ||
2072 | 18.12 | 15.75 | -2.37 | ---- | 0.81 | 2.44 | 1.63 | ||
2073 | 18.16 | 15.75 | -2.41 | ---- | 0.82 | 2.45 | 1.63 | ||
2074 | 18.20 | 15.76 | -2.44 | ---- | 0.83 | 2.45 | 1.62 | ||
2075 | 18.22 | 15.76 | -2.46 | ---- | 0.83 | 2.45 | 1.62 | ||
2076 | 18.24 | 15.76 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.83 | 2.45 | 1.62 | ||
2077 | 18.25 | 15.76 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.45 | 1.62 | ||
2078 | 18.25 | 15.77 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.45 | 1.62 | ||
2079 | 18.24 | 15.77 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.46 | 1.62 | ||
2080 | 18.24 | 15.77 | -2.47 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.46 | 1.62 | ||
2081 | 18.24 | 15.77 | -2.47 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.46 | 1.62 | ||
2082 | 18.25 | 15.77 | -2.48 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.46 | 1.62 | ||
2083 | 18.26 | 15.77 | -2.49 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.46 | 1.62 | ||
2084 | 18.28 | 15.78 | -2.51 | ---- | 0.84 | 2.46 | 1.62 | ||
2085 | 18.31 | 15.78 | -2.54 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.46 | 1.62 | ||
2086 | 18.35 | 15.78 | -2.57 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.46 | 1.62 | ||
2087 | 18.39 | 15.79 | -2.61 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.47 | 1.62 | ||
2088 | 18.44 | 15.79 | -2.65 | ---- | 0.85 | 2.47 | 1.61 | ||
2089 | 18.49 | 15.79 | -2.69 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.47 | 1.61 | ||
2090 | 18.54 | 15.80 | -2.74 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.47 | 1.61 | ||
2091 | 18.58 | 15.80 | -2.78 | ---- | 0.86 | 2.47 | 1.61 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.96% | 16.21% | -0.76% | 2067 | 0.46% | 2.36% | 1.90% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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