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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.73 | 12.95 | -0.78 | 279 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2019 | 13.74 | 12.96 | -0.78 | 267 | -0.25 | -0.01 | 0.24 | ||
2020 | 13.77 | 12.96 | -0.80 | 255 | -0.37 | -0.02 | 0.35 | ||
2021 | 13.79 | 12.98 | -0.80 | 244 | -0.49 | -0.02 | 0.46 | ||
2022 | 13.89 | 13.01 | -0.88 | 233 | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2023 | 14.04 | 13.02 | -1.01 | 222 | -0.72 | -0.03 | 0.69 | ||
2024 | 14.19 | 13.05 | -1.14 | 210 | -0.83 | -0.04 | 0.79 | ||
2025 | 14.34 | 13.06 | -1.28 | 198 | -0.95 | -0.05 | 0.90 | ||
2026 | 14.42 | 13.07 | -1.35 | 187 | -1.05 | -0.05 | 0.99 | ||
2027 | 14.50 | 13.08 | -1.42 | 176 | -1.14 | -0.06 | 1.09 | ||
2028 | 14.58 | 13.09 | -1.49 | 166 | -1.23 | -0.06 | 1.17 | ||
2029 | 14.65 | 13.10 | -1.54 | 156 | -1.32 | -0.07 | 1.25 | ||
2030 | 14.70 | 13.11 | -1.59 | 146 | -1.40 | -0.07 | 1.33 | ||
2031 | 14.74 | 13.11 | -1.63 | 137 | -1.48 | -0.08 | 1.40 | ||
2032 | 14.78 | 13.12 | -1.66 | 127 | -1.55 | -0.08 | 1.47 | ||
2033 | 14.80 | 13.12 | -1.67 | 117 | -1.61 | -0.08 | 1.53 | ||
2034 | 14.79 | 13.12 | -1.67 | 107 | -1.67 | -0.09 | 1.58 | ||
2035 | 14.77 | 13.13 | -1.65 | 98 | -1.72 | -0.09 | 1.63 | ||
2036 | 14.78 | 13.13 | -1.65 | 88 | -1.78 | -0.09 | 1.68 | ||
2037 | 14.78 | 13.13 | -1.65 | 78 | -1.82 | -0.10 | 1.73 | ||
2038 | 14.75 | 13.13 | -1.62 | 68 | -1.86 | -0.10 | 1.76 | ||
2039 | 14.71 | 13.13 | -1.58 | 58 | -1.90 | -0.10 | 1.80 | ||
2040 | 14.66 | 13.13 | -1.54 | 48 | -1.93 | -0.10 | 1.82 | ||
2041 | 14.61 | 13.13 | -1.48 | 39 | -1.95 | -0.10 | 1.85 | ||
2042 | 14.56 | 13.13 | -1.44 | 29 | -1.97 | -0.11 | 1.86 | ||
2043 | 14.51 | 13.12 | -1.39 | 20 | -1.99 | -0.11 | 1.88 | ||
2044 | 14.47 | 13.12 | -1.35 | 11 | -2.00 | -0.11 | 1.89 | ||
2045 | 14.44 | 13.12 | -1.32 | 2 | -2.01 | -0.11 | 1.90 | ||
2046 | 14.41 | 13.12 | -1.29 | ---- | -2.01 | -0.11 | 1.91 | ||
2047 | 14.38 | 13.12 | -1.26 | ---- | -2.02 | -0.11 | 1.91 | ||
2048 | 14.36 | 13.12 | -1.24 | ---- | -2.02 | -0.11 | 1.91 | ||
2049 | 14.35 | 13.12 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.02 | -0.11 | 1.91 | ||
2050 | 14.34 | 13.12 | -1.21 | ---- | -2.02 | -0.11 | 1.91 | ||
2051 | 14.34 | 13.12 | -1.21 | ---- | -2.02 | -0.11 | 1.91 | ||
2052 | 14.35 | 13.12 | -1.22 | ---- | -2.02 | -0.11 | 1.91 | ||
2053 | 14.37 | 13.13 | -1.24 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.11 | 1.92 | ||
2054 | 14.40 | 13.13 | -1.27 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.11 | 1.92 | ||
2055 | 14.43 | 13.13 | -1.30 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.11 | 1.92 | ||
2056 | 14.47 | 13.14 | -1.34 | ---- | -2.03 | -0.11 | 1.92 | ||
2057 | 14.52 | 13.14 | -1.38 | ---- | -2.04 | -0.11 | 1.93 | ||
2058 | 14.56 | 13.14 | -1.42 | ---- | -2.05 | -0.11 | 1.93 | ||
2059 | 14.60 | 13.15 | -1.46 | ---- | -2.05 | -0.11 | 1.94 | ||
2060 | 14.64 | 13.15 | -1.50 | ---- | -2.06 | -0.11 | 1.95 | ||
2061 | 14.69 | 13.15 | -1.53 | ---- | -2.07 | -0.11 | 1.96 | ||
2062 | 14.73 | 13.16 | -1.57 | ---- | -2.08 | -0.11 | 1.97 | ||
2063 | 14.77 | 13.16 | -1.61 | ---- | -2.09 | -0.11 | 1.98 | ||
2064 | 14.80 | 13.16 | -1.64 | ---- | -2.10 | -0.12 | 1.99 | ||
2065 | 14.84 | 13.16 | -1.68 | ---- | -2.11 | -0.12 | 2.00 | ||
2066 | 14.88 | 13.17 | -1.72 | ---- | -2.13 | -0.12 | 2.01 | ||
2067 | 14.92 | 13.17 | -1.75 | ---- | -2.14 | -0.12 | 2.02 | ||
2068 | 14.96 | 13.17 | -1.79 | ---- | -2.15 | -0.12 | 2.03 | ||
2069 | 15.00 | 13.17 | -1.83 | ---- | -2.16 | -0.12 | 2.04 | ||
2070 | 15.04 | 13.18 | -1.87 | ---- | -2.17 | -0.12 | 2.05 | ||
2071 | 15.08 | 13.18 | -1.90 | ---- | -2.19 | -0.12 | 2.07 | ||
2072 | 15.11 | 13.18 | -1.93 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.12 | 2.08 | ||
2073 | 15.13 | 13.18 | -1.95 | ---- | -2.21 | -0.12 | 2.09 | ||
2074 | 15.15 | 13.19 | -1.97 | ---- | -2.22 | -0.12 | 2.10 | ||
2075 | 15.16 | 13.19 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.23 | -0.12 | 2.10 | ||
2076 | 15.17 | 13.19 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.24 | -0.12 | 2.11 | ||
2077 | 15.16 | 13.19 | -1.98 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.12 | 2.12 | ||
2078 | 15.16 | 13.19 | -1.97 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.12 | 2.13 | ||
2079 | 15.15 | 13.19 | -1.96 | ---- | -2.26 | -0.13 | 2.13 | ||
2080 | 15.14 | 13.19 | -1.95 | ---- | -2.26 | -0.13 | 2.14 | ||
2081 | 15.13 | 13.19 | -1.95 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.13 | 2.14 | ||
2082 | 15.13 | 13.19 | -1.95 | ---- | -2.27 | -0.13 | 2.15 | ||
2083 | 15.14 | 13.19 | -1.96 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.13 | 2.15 | ||
2084 | 15.16 | 13.19 | -1.97 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.13 | 2.15 | ||
2085 | 15.18 | 13.19 | -2.00 | ---- | -2.28 | -0.13 | 2.16 | ||
2086 | 15.22 | 13.19 | -2.02 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.13 | 2.16 | ||
2087 | 15.25 | 13.19 | -2.06 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.13 | 2.17 | ||
2088 | 15.29 | 13.20 | -2.09 | ---- | -2.30 | -0.13 | 2.17 | ||
2089 | 15.33 | 13.20 | -2.13 | ---- | -2.30 | -0.13 | 2.18 | ||
2090 | 15.37 | 13.20 | -2.17 | ---- | -2.31 | -0.13 | 2.18 | ||
2091 | 15.41 | 13.20 | -2.20 | ---- | -2.32 | -0.13 | 2.19 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 14.77% | 13.75% | -1.01% | 2045 | -1.74% | -0.09% | 1.64% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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