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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.85 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.98 | 12.97 | -1.01 | 262 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2020 | 14.12 | 12.98 | -1.14 | 247 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2021 | 14.25 | 13.00 | -1.24 | 232 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2022 | 14.45 | 13.03 | -1.42 | 217 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2023 | 14.71 | 13.06 | -1.65 | 201 | -0.05 | 0.00 | 0.05 | ||
2024 | 14.95 | 13.09 | -1.86 | 184 | -0.07 | 0.00 | 0.07 | ||
2025 | 15.19 | 13.11 | -2.09 | 168 | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
2026 | 15.35 | 13.12 | -2.23 | 152 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2027 | 15.50 | 13.13 | -2.36 | 136 | -0.15 | -0.01 | 0.14 | ||
2028 | 15.63 | 13.15 | -2.49 | 120 | -0.18 | -0.01 | 0.17 | ||
2029 | 15.76 | 13.16 | -2.60 | 104 | -0.21 | -0.01 | 0.20 | ||
2030 | 15.86 | 13.17 | -2.69 | 88 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2031 | 15.95 | 13.18 | -2.77 | 72 | -0.27 | -0.01 | 0.26 | ||
2032 | 16.03 | 13.18 | -2.84 | 55 | -0.30 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
2033 | 16.08 | 13.19 | -2.89 | 38 | -0.33 | -0.02 | 0.31 | ||
2034 | 16.11 | 13.19 | -2.92 | 21 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2035 | 16.12 | 13.19 | -2.92 | 4 | -0.38 | -0.02 | 0.36 | ||
2036 | 16.15 | 13.20 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.40 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
2037 | 16.17 | 13.20 | -2.97 | ---- | -0.43 | -0.02 | 0.40 | ||
2038 | 16.17 | 13.20 | -2.96 | ---- | -0.45 | -0.02 | 0.42 | ||
2039 | 16.14 | 13.21 | -2.94 | ---- | -0.47 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
2040 | 16.11 | 13.20 | -2.90 | ---- | -0.48 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
2041 | 16.06 | 13.20 | -2.86 | ---- | -0.50 | -0.03 | 0.47 | ||
2042 | 16.02 | 13.20 | -2.82 | ---- | -0.51 | -0.03 | 0.49 | ||
2043 | 15.97 | 13.20 | -2.77 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
2044 | 15.93 | 13.20 | -2.73 | ---- | -0.54 | -0.03 | 0.51 | ||
2045 | 15.89 | 13.20 | -2.70 | ---- | -0.55 | -0.03 | 0.52 | ||
2046 | 15.86 | 13.20 | -2.66 | ---- | -0.57 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2047 | 15.82 | 13.20 | -2.63 | ---- | -0.58 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2048 | 15.80 | 13.20 | -2.60 | ---- | -0.59 | -0.03 | 0.55 | ||
2049 | 15.77 | 13.20 | -2.57 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.56 | ||
2050 | 15.75 | 13.20 | -2.56 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2051 | 15.75 | 13.20 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.61 | -0.03 | 0.58 | ||
2052 | 15.75 | 13.20 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.62 | -0.04 | 0.58 | ||
2053 | 15.77 | 13.20 | -2.57 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.04 | 0.59 | ||
2054 | 15.79 | 13.20 | -2.59 | ---- | -0.63 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
2055 | 15.82 | 13.21 | -2.62 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.60 | ||
2056 | 15.86 | 13.21 | -2.65 | ---- | -0.64 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2057 | 15.91 | 13.21 | -2.69 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2058 | 15.95 | 13.22 | -2.74 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
2059 | 16.00 | 13.22 | -2.78 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
2060 | 16.05 | 13.22 | -2.82 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.62 | ||
2061 | 16.09 | 13.23 | -2.87 | ---- | -0.66 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2062 | 16.14 | 13.23 | -2.91 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2063 | 16.19 | 13.23 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2064 | 16.23 | 13.24 | -3.00 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.63 | ||
2065 | 16.28 | 13.24 | -3.04 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2066 | 16.33 | 13.24 | -3.09 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2067 | 16.38 | 13.25 | -3.13 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2068 | 16.43 | 13.25 | -3.18 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2069 | 16.48 | 13.25 | -3.23 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2070 | 16.53 | 13.26 | -3.27 | ---- | -0.68 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2071 | 16.58 | 13.26 | -3.32 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2072 | 16.62 | 13.26 | -3.35 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2073 | 16.65 | 13.27 | -3.38 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2074 | 16.68 | 13.27 | -3.41 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2075 | 16.70 | 13.27 | -3.43 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2076 | 16.71 | 13.27 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2077 | 16.72 | 13.27 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2078 | 16.72 | 13.27 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2079 | 16.72 | 13.27 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2080 | 16.71 | 13.27 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2081 | 16.71 | 13.27 | -3.44 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2082 | 16.72 | 13.27 | -3.45 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2083 | 16.73 | 13.27 | -3.46 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2084 | 16.75 | 13.27 | -3.48 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2085 | 16.78 | 13.28 | -3.51 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2086 | 16.82 | 13.28 | -3.54 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2087 | 16.85 | 13.28 | -3.57 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2088 | 16.90 | 13.28 | -3.61 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2089 | 16.94 | 13.29 | -3.65 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2090 | 16.98 | 13.29 | -3.69 | ---- | -0.69 | -0.04 | 0.65 | ||
2091 | 17.03 | 13.29 | -3.74 | ---- | -0.70 | -0.04 | 0.66 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 16.03% | 13.82% | -2.21% | 2035 | -0.47% | -0.03% | 0.44% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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