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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 16.43 | 13.03 | -3.40 | 245 | 2.71 | 0.11 | -2.60 | ||
2018 | 16.60 | 13.07 | -3.53 | 216 | 2.74 | 0.12 | -2.63 | ||
2019 | 16.75 | 13.09 | -3.67 | 189 | 2.77 | 0.12 | -2.65 | ||
2020 | 16.93 | 13.10 | -3.83 | 162 | 2.80 | 0.12 | -2.67 | ||
2021 | 17.10 | 13.13 | -3.97 | 135 | 2.83 | 0.13 | -2.70 | ||
2022 | 17.36 | 13.17 | -4.19 | 109 | 2.87 | 0.13 | -2.74 | ||
2023 | 17.68 | 13.20 | -4.49 | 83 | 2.92 | 0.14 | -2.79 | ||
2024 | 18.00 | 13.23 | -4.77 | 56 | 2.98 | 0.14 | -2.83 | ||
2025 | 18.31 | 13.26 | -5.06 | 29 | 3.03 | 0.15 | -2.88 | ||
2026 | 18.54 | 13.28 | -5.26 | 1 | 3.07 | 0.15 | -2.92 | ||
2027 | 18.75 | 13.30 | -5.45 | ---- | 3.10 | 0.15 | -2.95 | ||
2028 | 18.95 | 13.31 | -5.64 | ---- | 3.14 | 0.16 | -2.98 | ||
2029 | 19.13 | 13.33 | -5.81 | ---- | 3.17 | 0.16 | -3.01 | ||
2030 | 19.30 | 13.34 | -5.95 | ---- | 3.19 | 0.16 | -3.03 | ||
2031 | 19.44 | 13.35 | -6.09 | ---- | 3.22 | 0.16 | -3.06 | ||
2032 | 19.57 | 13.36 | -6.20 | ---- | 3.24 | 0.17 | -3.07 | ||
2033 | 19.66 | 13.37 | -6.29 | ---- | 3.26 | 0.17 | -3.09 | ||
2034 | 19.73 | 13.38 | -6.35 | ---- | 3.27 | 0.17 | -3.10 | ||
2035 | 19.77 | 13.38 | -6.39 | ---- | 3.27 | 0.17 | -3.11 | ||
2036 | 19.84 | 13.39 | -6.45 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.17 | -3.12 | ||
2037 | 19.89 | 13.40 | -6.50 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.17 | -3.13 | ||
2038 | 19.91 | 13.40 | -6.51 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.17 | -3.13 | ||
2039 | 19.91 | 13.40 | -6.51 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.17 | -3.13 | ||
2040 | 19.89 | 13.40 | -6.48 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.17 | -3.12 | ||
2041 | 19.85 | 13.40 | -6.45 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.17 | -3.12 | ||
2042 | 19.82 | 13.40 | -6.41 | ---- | 3.28 | 0.17 | -3.11 | ||
2043 | 19.78 | 13.40 | -6.37 | ---- | 3.28 | 0.17 | -3.11 | ||
2044 | 19.74 | 13.40 | -6.34 | ---- | 3.27 | 0.17 | -3.10 | ||
2045 | 19.72 | 13.40 | -6.32 | ---- | 3.27 | 0.17 | -3.10 | ||
2046 | 19.69 | 13.40 | -6.29 | ---- | 3.26 | 0.17 | -3.09 | ||
2047 | 19.66 | 13.40 | -6.26 | ---- | 3.26 | 0.17 | -3.09 | ||
2048 | 19.64 | 13.40 | -6.24 | ---- | 3.26 | 0.17 | -3.08 | ||
2049 | 19.62 | 13.40 | -6.22 | ---- | 3.25 | 0.17 | -3.08 | ||
2050 | 19.61 | 13.40 | -6.21 | ---- | 3.25 | 0.17 | -3.08 | ||
2051 | 19.61 | 13.40 | -6.21 | ---- | 3.25 | 0.17 | -3.08 | ||
2052 | 19.63 | 13.41 | -6.22 | ---- | 3.25 | 0.17 | -3.08 | ||
2053 | 19.65 | 13.41 | -6.24 | ---- | 3.26 | 0.17 | -3.09 | ||
2054 | 19.69 | 13.41 | -6.28 | ---- | 3.27 | 0.17 | -3.09 | ||
2055 | 19.74 | 13.42 | -6.32 | ---- | 3.27 | 0.17 | -3.10 | ||
2056 | 19.79 | 13.42 | -6.37 | ---- | 3.28 | 0.17 | -3.11 | ||
2057 | 19.85 | 13.43 | -6.42 | ---- | 3.29 | 0.18 | -3.12 | ||
2058 | 19.91 | 13.43 | -6.48 | ---- | 3.30 | 0.18 | -3.13 | ||
2059 | 19.97 | 13.44 | -6.54 | ---- | 3.31 | 0.18 | -3.14 | ||
2060 | 20.03 | 13.44 | -6.59 | ---- | 3.32 | 0.18 | -3.15 | ||
2061 | 20.09 | 13.44 | -6.65 | ---- | 3.33 | 0.18 | -3.16 | ||
2062 | 20.15 | 13.45 | -6.70 | ---- | 3.34 | 0.18 | -3.17 | ||
2063 | 20.21 | 13.45 | -6.76 | ---- | 3.35 | 0.18 | -3.17 | ||
2064 | 20.27 | 13.46 | -6.81 | ---- | 3.36 | 0.18 | -3.18 | ||
2065 | 20.33 | 13.46 | -6.87 | ---- | 3.37 | 0.18 | -3.19 | ||
2066 | 20.39 | 13.46 | -6.93 | ---- | 3.39 | 0.18 | -3.20 | ||
2067 | 20.46 | 13.47 | -6.99 | ---- | 3.40 | 0.18 | -3.21 | ||
2068 | 20.52 | 13.47 | -7.05 | ---- | 3.41 | 0.18 | -3.22 | ||
2069 | 20.58 | 13.48 | -7.11 | ---- | 3.42 | 0.18 | -3.23 | ||
2070 | 20.65 | 13.48 | -7.16 | ---- | 3.43 | 0.18 | -3.24 | ||
2071 | 20.70 | 13.49 | -7.22 | ---- | 3.44 | 0.19 | -3.25 | ||
2072 | 20.75 | 13.49 | -7.26 | ---- | 3.45 | 0.19 | -3.26 | ||
2073 | 20.79 | 13.49 | -7.30 | ---- | 3.45 | 0.19 | -3.27 | ||
2074 | 20.83 | 13.49 | -7.33 | ---- | 3.46 | 0.19 | -3.27 | ||
2075 | 20.86 | 13.50 | -7.36 | ---- | 3.46 | 0.19 | -3.28 | ||
2076 | 20.87 | 13.50 | -7.37 | ---- | 3.47 | 0.19 | -3.28 | ||
2077 | 20.88 | 13.50 | -7.38 | ---- | 3.47 | 0.19 | -3.28 | ||
2078 | 20.88 | 13.50 | -7.38 | ---- | 3.47 | 0.19 | -3.28 | ||
2079 | 20.87 | 13.50 | -7.37 | ---- | 3.47 | 0.19 | -3.28 | ||
2080 | 20.87 | 13.50 | -7.37 | ---- | 3.47 | 0.19 | -3.28 | ||
2081 | 20.87 | 13.50 | -7.37 | ---- | 3.47 | 0.19 | -3.28 | ||
2082 | 20.87 | 13.50 | -7.38 | ---- | 3.47 | 0.19 | -3.28 | ||
2083 | 20.89 | 13.50 | -7.39 | ---- | 3.47 | 0.19 | -3.28 | ||
2084 | 20.92 | 13.50 | -7.41 | ---- | 3.48 | 0.19 | -3.29 | ||
2085 | 20.95 | 13.50 | -7.45 | ---- | 3.48 | 0.19 | -3.29 | ||
2086 | 20.99 | 13.51 | -7.49 | ---- | 3.49 | 0.19 | -3.30 | ||
2087 | 21.04 | 13.51 | -7.53 | ---- | 3.50 | 0.19 | -3.31 | ||
2088 | 21.09 | 13.51 | -7.58 | ---- | 3.51 | 0.19 | -3.32 | ||
2089 | 21.14 | 13.52 | -7.63 | ---- | 3.51 | 0.19 | -3.32 | ||
2090 | 21.20 | 13.52 | -7.68 | ---- | 3.52 | 0.19 | -3.33 | ||
2091 | 21.26 | 13.52 | -7.73 | ---- | 3.53 | 0.19 | -3.34 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
||
Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 19.74% | 14.01% | -5.73% | 2026 | 3.24% | 0.17% | -3.07% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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