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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 12.97 | -1.02 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 12.98 | -1.15 | 246 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.00 | -1.27 | 231 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.49 | 13.03 | -1.46 | 216 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2023 | 14.76 | 13.06 | -1.70 | 200 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2024 | 15.02 | 13.09 | -1.93 | 183 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2025 | 15.28 | 13.11 | -2.17 | 166 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2026 | 15.45 | 13.13 | -2.33 | 149 | -0.02 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2027 | 15.62 | 13.14 | -2.48 | 132 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.03 | ||
2028 | 15.77 | 13.15 | -2.62 | 116 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2029 | 15.90 | 13.17 | -2.74 | 99 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2030 | 16.01 | 13.18 | -2.83 | 82 | -0.09 | -0.01 | 0.09 | ||
2031 | 16.09 | 13.18 | -2.91 | 66 | -0.13 | -0.01 | 0.12 | ||
2032 | 16.15 | 13.19 | -2.96 | 48 | -0.17 | -0.01 | 0.16 | ||
2033 | 16.18 | 13.19 | -2.99 | 31 | -0.22 | -0.01 | 0.21 | ||
2034 | 16.18 | 13.20 | -2.99 | 13 | -0.28 | -0.02 | 0.26 | ||
2035 | 16.15 | 13.20 | -2.96 | ---- | -0.34 | -0.02 | 0.32 | ||
2036 | 16.15 | 13.20 | -2.95 | ---- | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.39 | ||
2037 | 16.11 | 13.20 | -2.91 | ---- | -0.49 | -0.03 | 0.46 | ||
2038 | 16.05 | 13.20 | -2.85 | ---- | -0.56 | -0.03 | 0.53 | ||
2039 | 15.96 | 13.20 | -2.77 | ---- | -0.65 | -0.04 | 0.61 | ||
2040 | 15.86 | 13.19 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.73 | -0.04 | 0.69 | ||
2041 | 15.74 | 13.19 | -2.55 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.05 | 0.78 | ||
2042 | 15.61 | 13.18 | -2.43 | ---- | -0.92 | -0.05 | 0.87 | ||
2043 | 15.48 | 13.17 | -2.31 | ---- | -1.02 | -0.06 | 0.96 | ||
2044 | 15.34 | 13.17 | -2.17 | ---- | -1.13 | -0.06 | 1.06 | ||
2045 | 15.21 | 13.16 | -2.05 | ---- | -1.24 | -0.07 | 1.17 | ||
2046 | 15.07 | 13.15 | -1.92 | ---- | -1.35 | -0.08 | 1.27 | ||
2047 | 14.93 | 13.15 | -1.78 | ---- | -1.47 | -0.08 | 1.39 | ||
2048 | 14.79 | 13.14 | -1.65 | ---- | -1.59 | -0.09 | 1.50 | ||
2049 | 14.65 | 13.13 | -1.52 | ---- | -1.72 | -0.10 | 1.62 | ||
2050 | 14.51 | 13.13 | -1.38 | ---- | -1.85 | -0.10 | 1.74 | ||
2051 | 14.38 | 13.12 | -1.26 | ---- | -1.98 | -0.11 | 1.87 | ||
2052 | 14.26 | 13.11 | -1.14 | ---- | -2.12 | -0.12 | 2.00 | ||
2053 | 14.14 | 13.11 | -1.03 | ---- | -2.25 | -0.13 | 2.13 | ||
2054 | 14.03 | 13.10 | -0.92 | ---- | -2.40 | -0.14 | 2.26 | ||
2055 | 13.92 | 13.10 | -0.82 | ---- | -2.54 | -0.14 | 2.40 | ||
2056 | 13.82 | 13.09 | -0.73 | ---- | -2.69 | -0.15 | 2.53 | ||
2057 | 13.72 | 13.09 | -0.63 | ---- | -2.83 | -0.16 | 2.67 | ||
2058 | 13.63 | 13.08 | -0.54 | ---- | -2.98 | -0.17 | 2.81 | ||
2059 | 13.53 | 13.08 | -0.45 | ---- | -3.13 | -0.18 | 2.95 | ||
2060 | 13.44 | 13.08 | -0.36 | ---- | -3.27 | -0.19 | 3.08 | ||
2061 | 13.35 | 13.07 | -0.28 | ---- | -3.41 | -0.20 | 3.22 | ||
2062 | 13.26 | 13.07 | -0.19 | ---- | -3.55 | -0.20 | 3.35 | ||
2063 | 13.17 | 13.06 | -0.11 | ---- | -3.69 | -0.21 | 3.47 | ||
2064 | 13.09 | 13.06 | -0.03 | ---- | -3.82 | -0.22 | 3.60 | ||
2065 | 13.01 | 13.05 | 0.05 | ---- | -3.95 | -0.23 | 3.72 | ||
2066 | 12.93 | 13.05 | 0.12 | ---- | -4.08 | -0.23 | 3.84 | ||
2067 | 12.86 | 13.05 | 0.19 | ---- | -4.20 | -0.24 | 3.96 | ||
2068 | 12.79 | 13.04 | 0.25 | ---- | -4.32 | -0.25 | 4.07 | ||
2069 | 12.74 | 13.04 | 0.30 | ---- | -4.43 | -0.25 | 4.18 | ||
2070 | 12.68 | 13.04 | 0.36 | ---- | -4.54 | -0.26 | 4.28 | ||
2071 | 12.63 | 13.03 | 0.41 | ---- | -4.64 | -0.27 | 4.37 | ||
2072 | 12.58 | 13.03 | 0.46 | ---- | -4.73 | -0.27 | 4.46 | ||
2073 | 12.52 | 13.03 | 0.50 | ---- | -4.82 | -0.28 | 4.54 | ||
2074 | 12.48 | 13.03 | 0.55 | ---- | -4.89 | -0.28 | 4.61 | ||
2075 | 12.43 | 13.02 | 0.60 | ---- | -4.97 | -0.29 | 4.68 | ||
2076 | 12.38 | 13.02 | 0.65 | ---- | -5.03 | -0.29 | 4.74 | ||
2077 | 12.33 | 13.02 | 0.69 | ---- | -5.08 | -0.29 | 4.79 | ||
2078 | 12.28 | 13.02 | 0.74 | ---- | -5.13 | -0.30 | 4.83 | ||
2079 | 12.23 | 13.01 | 0.78 | ---- | -5.17 | -0.30 | 4.87 | ||
2080 | 12.19 | 13.01 | 0.82 | ---- | -5.21 | -0.30 | 4.91 | ||
2081 | 12.16 | 13.01 | 0.85 | ---- | -5.24 | -0.30 | 4.94 | ||
2082 | 12.13 | 13.01 | 0.87 | ---- | -5.27 | -0.30 | 4.97 | ||
2083 | 12.11 | 13.01 | 0.89 | ---- | -5.30 | -0.31 | 5.00 | ||
2084 | 12.10 | 13.01 | 0.90 | ---- | -5.34 | -0.31 | 5.03 | ||
2085 | 12.10 | 13.01 | 0.90 | ---- | -5.37 | -0.31 | 5.06 | ||
2086 | 12.10 | 13.01 | 0.90 | ---- | -5.40 | -0.31 | 5.09 | ||
2087 | 12.11 | 13.01 | 0.89 | ---- | -5.43 | -0.31 | 5.12 | ||
2088 | 12.13 | 13.01 | 0.88 | ---- | -5.46 | -0.32 | 5.14 | ||
2089 | 12.14 | 13.01 | 0.87 | ---- | -5.49 | -0.32 | 5.17 | ||
2090 | 12.16 | 13.01 | 0.85 | ---- | -5.52 | -0.32 | 5.20 | ||
2091 | 12.18 | 13.01 | 0.83 | ---- | -5.54 | -0.32 | 5.22 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 14.34% | 13.72% | -0.62% | 2034 | -2.16% | -0.12% | 2.04% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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