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Description of Proposed Provision:
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  | Financial Estimates for the OASDI Trust Fund Program |
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Proposal |
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Change from Present Law |
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Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll |
Trust fund ratio as of January 1 |
Expressed as a percentage of present-law taxable payroll | ||||||
Calendar year |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Annual balance |
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2016 | 14.05 | 12.94 | -1.10 | 303 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2017 | 13.72 | 12.92 | -0.80 | 293 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2018 | 13.86 | 12.96 | -0.90 | 277 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2019 | 13.99 | 12.97 | -1.02 | 262 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2020 | 14.13 | 12.98 | -1.15 | 246 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2021 | 14.27 | 13.00 | -1.26 | 231 | 0.00 | 0.00 | 0.00 | ||
2022 | 14.48 | 13.03 | -1.45 | 216 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2023 | 14.74 | 13.06 | -1.69 | 200 | -0.01 | 0.00 | 0.01 | ||
2024 | 15.00 | 13.09 | -1.91 | 183 | -0.03 | 0.00 | 0.02 | ||
2025 | 15.24 | 13.11 | -2.14 | 166 | -0.04 | 0.00 | 0.04 | ||
2026 | 15.41 | 13.12 | -2.29 | 150 | -0.06 | 0.00 | 0.06 | ||
2027 | 15.56 | 13.14 | -2.42 | 133 | -0.09 | 0.00 | 0.08 | ||
2028 | 15.69 | 13.15 | -2.54 | 117 | -0.12 | -0.01 | 0.11 | ||
2029 | 15.81 | 13.16 | -2.65 | 101 | -0.16 | -0.01 | 0.15 | ||
2030 | 15.90 | 13.17 | -2.74 | 85 | -0.20 | -0.01 | 0.19 | ||
2031 | 15.98 | 13.18 | -2.80 | 69 | -0.24 | -0.01 | 0.23 | ||
2032 | 16.03 | 13.18 | -2.85 | 52 | -0.29 | -0.02 | 0.28 | ||
2033 | 16.06 | 13.19 | -2.87 | 35 | -0.35 | -0.02 | 0.33 | ||
2034 | 16.06 | 13.19 | -2.87 | 18 | -0.41 | -0.02 | 0.38 | ||
2035 | 16.03 | 13.19 | -2.84 | 1 | -0.47 | -0.03 | 0.44 | ||
2036 | 16.02 | 13.19 | -2.83 | ---- | -0.53 | -0.03 | 0.50 | ||
2037 | 16.00 | 13.19 | -2.80 | ---- | -0.60 | -0.03 | 0.57 | ||
2038 | 15.94 | 13.19 | -2.75 | ---- | -0.67 | -0.04 | 0.64 | ||
2039 | 15.86 | 13.19 | -2.67 | ---- | -0.75 | -0.04 | 0.70 | ||
2040 | 15.77 | 13.19 | -2.58 | ---- | -0.82 | -0.05 | 0.77 | ||
2041 | 15.66 | 13.18 | -2.48 | ---- | -0.90 | -0.05 | 0.85 | ||
2042 | 15.56 | 13.18 | -2.38 | ---- | -0.98 | -0.05 | 0.92 | ||
2043 | 15.44 | 13.17 | -2.27 | ---- | -1.06 | -0.06 | 1.00 | ||
2044 | 15.32 | 13.17 | -2.15 | ---- | -1.15 | -0.06 | 1.08 | ||
2045 | 15.21 | 13.16 | -2.05 | ---- | -1.24 | -0.07 | 1.17 | ||
2046 | 15.10 | 13.16 | -1.94 | ---- | -1.33 | -0.07 | 1.25 | ||
2047 | 14.98 | 13.15 | -1.83 | ---- | -1.42 | -0.08 | 1.34 | ||
2048 | 14.87 | 13.15 | -1.72 | ---- | -1.52 | -0.09 | 1.43 | ||
2049 | 14.75 | 13.14 | -1.61 | ---- | -1.62 | -0.09 | 1.53 | ||
2050 | 14.64 | 13.13 | -1.51 | ---- | -1.72 | -0.10 | 1.62 | ||
2051 | 14.54 | 13.13 | -1.41 | ---- | -1.81 | -0.10 | 1.71 | ||
2052 | 14.46 | 13.13 | -1.33 | ---- | -1.91 | -0.11 | 1.80 | ||
2053 | 14.38 | 13.12 | -1.26 | ---- | -2.01 | -0.11 | 1.90 | ||
2054 | 14.32 | 13.12 | -1.20 | ---- | -2.11 | -0.12 | 1.99 | ||
2055 | 14.26 | 13.12 | -1.14 | ---- | -2.20 | -0.13 | 2.08 | ||
2056 | 14.21 | 13.12 | -1.10 | ---- | -2.29 | -0.13 | 2.16 | ||
2057 | 14.18 | 13.11 | -1.06 | ---- | -2.38 | -0.14 | 2.25 | ||
2058 | 14.14 | 13.11 | -1.03 | ---- | -2.46 | -0.14 | 2.32 | ||
2059 | 14.12 | 13.11 | -1.00 | ---- | -2.54 | -0.15 | 2.39 | ||
2060 | 14.10 | 13.11 | -0.98 | ---- | -2.61 | -0.15 | 2.46 | ||
2061 | 14.08 | 13.11 | -0.97 | ---- | -2.68 | -0.15 | 2.52 | ||
2062 | 14.07 | 13.11 | -0.96 | ---- | -2.74 | -0.16 | 2.58 | ||
2063 | 14.06 | 13.11 | -0.95 | ---- | -2.80 | -0.16 | 2.64 | ||
2064 | 14.06 | 13.11 | -0.94 | ---- | -2.85 | -0.16 | 2.69 | ||
2065 | 14.06 | 13.11 | -0.94 | ---- | -2.90 | -0.17 | 2.73 | ||
2066 | 14.06 | 13.11 | -0.95 | ---- | -2.94 | -0.17 | 2.77 | ||
2067 | 14.07 | 13.12 | -0.96 | ---- | -2.99 | -0.17 | 2.81 | ||
2068 | 14.09 | 13.12 | -0.97 | ---- | -3.03 | -0.17 | 2.85 | ||
2069 | 14.10 | 13.12 | -0.99 | ---- | -3.06 | -0.18 | 2.89 | ||
2070 | 14.12 | 13.12 | -1.00 | ---- | -3.09 | -0.18 | 2.92 | ||
2071 | 14.14 | 13.12 | -1.02 | ---- | -3.12 | -0.18 | 2.94 | ||
2072 | 14.15 | 13.12 | -1.03 | ---- | -3.15 | -0.18 | 2.97 | ||
2073 | 14.17 | 13.12 | -1.04 | ---- | -3.17 | -0.18 | 2.99 | ||
2074 | 14.18 | 13.12 | -1.05 | ---- | -3.19 | -0.18 | 3.01 | ||
2075 | 14.18 | 13.13 | -1.06 | ---- | -3.21 | -0.18 | 3.02 | ||
2076 | 14.18 | 13.13 | -1.06 | ---- | -3.22 | -0.19 | 3.04 | ||
2077 | 14.18 | 13.13 | -1.05 | ---- | -3.23 | -0.19 | 3.04 | ||
2078 | 14.18 | 13.13 | -1.05 | ---- | -3.23 | -0.19 | 3.05 | ||
2079 | 14.17 | 13.13 | -1.04 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.05 | ||
2080 | 14.16 | 13.12 | -1.04 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.05 | ||
2081 | 14.16 | 13.12 | -1.04 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.05 | ||
2082 | 14.17 | 13.12 | -1.04 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.05 | ||
2083 | 14.18 | 13.13 | -1.05 | ---- | -3.24 | -0.19 | 3.06 | ||
2084 | 14.19 | 13.13 | -1.07 | ---- | -3.25 | -0.19 | 3.06 | ||
2085 | 14.21 | 13.13 | -1.09 | ---- | -3.25 | -0.19 | 3.07 | ||
2086 | 14.24 | 13.13 | -1.11 | ---- | -3.26 | -0.19 | 3.07 | ||
2087 | 14.27 | 13.13 | -1.14 | ---- | -3.27 | -0.19 | 3.08 | ||
2088 | 14.31 | 13.13 | -1.17 | ---- | -3.28 | -0.19 | 3.09 | ||
2089 | 14.34 | 13.14 | -1.20 | ---- | -3.29 | -0.19 | 3.10 | ||
2090 | 14.38 | 13.14 | -1.24 | ---- | -3.30 | -0.19 | 3.11 | ||
2091 | 14.41 | 13.14 | -1.27 | ---- | -3.31 | -0.19 | 3.12 |
  | Summarized Estimates |
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  |
Proposal |
  |
Change from Present Law |
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Years | Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
Year of reserve depletion1 |
Cost rate |
Income rate |
Actuarial balance |
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Based on Intermediate Assumptions of the 2016 Trustees Report. | |||||||||
2016-2090 | 14.91% | 13.75% | -1.15% | 2035 | -1.60% | -0.09% | 1.51% | ||
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1 Under present law, the year of Trust
Fund reserve depletion is 2034. |
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